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Author Topic: Moose Draw Odds - 2012  (Read 15407 times)

Offline idahohuntr

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Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« on: May 02, 2013, 10:12:34 PM »
Draw odds for any moose - 2012 attached below.
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Offline Ridgerunner

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Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2013, 10:29:59 PM »
Those are encouraging.  It's only OIL for a very select few with those kind of odds.

Offline Gringo31

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Re: Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #2 on: May 02, 2013, 11:01:10 PM »
After 20 years you have a 1% chance of being drawn  :tup:
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Offline kentrek

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Re: Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #3 on: May 02, 2013, 11:11:12 PM »
i think ive said this in other threads but when looking at this one needs to realize that those are the odds for you drawing "that" year and not all the years combined.. cumulative odds would reveal the once in a life time chances that the state offers

if the odds were 1% after 20 years of applying then it would take 2000 years to have 100% odds lol things are not that bad...yet lol

the best part about these types of odds is comparing two different units side by side with odds vs trophy quality..which i thought was pretty useful esp for deer and elk draws



good work idahohuntr   :tup:

Offline PolarBear

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Re: Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #4 on: May 02, 2013, 11:11:33 PM »
So what are the odds after 28 years?   :bash:  I wish that I could transfer my OIL points to my daughter, only then might she be able to draw by the time she reaches 50 years old.
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Offline kentrek

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Re: Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #5 on: May 02, 2013, 11:22:58 PM »
sorry for making this confusing  but..

 for the odds for getting a tag after 20 years is each years odds added to each other..so from the first years odds all the way to the 20th years odds

small example

year 1 odds=.01
year 2 odds=.02
year3 odds=.03

odds for drawing once out of those three years is .06


hope this helps



Offline JoeE

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Re: Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2013, 03:37:09 AM »
Ugh    :bash: ... This is why I'm going moose hunting in Alaska next year. How are the odds for a Shiras in Idaho?

Offline X-Force

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Re: Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #7 on: May 03, 2013, 07:42:35 AM »
Depends on the unit but it only took my dad 2 years to draw a tag that consistently produces 40" bulls. I think he was the only permit holder to not harvest.
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Offline Ridgerunner

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Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #8 on: May 03, 2013, 07:58:39 AM »
Makes me appreciate my draw even more.  If a guy is serious about killing a Shiras there is no doubt he should be applying in Idaho every year , draw odds are so much better it's not even funny and it is close.  I think a lot of people apply because it's relatively cheap but as the years add up and the costs continue to climb you'll start seeing fewer applicants although not enough to make the odds decent.

Offline bobcat

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Re: Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #9 on: May 03, 2013, 08:02:50 AM »
I'd like to but can't afford to buy the $2,200 Idaho moose tag.

Offline shanevg

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Re: Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #10 on: May 03, 2013, 08:28:36 AM »
So you're saying there's a chance!   :chuckle: :chuckle:

I took the plunge for ID moose this year for exactly that reason. I want to hunt Shiras in my lifetime and $2200 is a heck of a lot cheaper than going to AK for a moose hunt.  Last year ID results were posted 5/18 and I'm counting down the days! 

Offline Gringo31

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Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2013, 08:33:43 AM »
I did the same Shane.

Good Luck'
We must reject the idea that every time a law's broken, society is guilty rather than the lawbreaker. It is time to restore the American precept that each individual is accountable for his actions.
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Offline benhuntin

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Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #12 on: May 03, 2013, 08:35:39 AM »
So you're saying there's a chance!   :chuckle: :chuckle:

I took the plunge for ID moose this year for exactly that reason. I want to hunt Shiras in my lifetime and $2200 is a heck of a lot cheaper than going to AK for a moose hunt.  Last year ID results were posted 5/18 and I'm counting down the days!
what tag?  We put in also. Hope it's not the same one.
If it aint broke, dont fix it.

Offline Gringo31

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Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2013, 08:41:54 AM »
Unit 1-1
We must reject the idea that every time a law's broken, society is guilty rather than the lawbreaker. It is time to restore the American precept that each individual is accountable for his actions.
-Ronald Reagan

Offline benhuntin

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Moose Draw Odds - 2012
« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2013, 08:43:39 AM »
Unit 1-1
there goes those odds.  Good luck
If it aint broke, dont fix it.

 

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