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Author Topic: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded  (Read 56022 times)

Offline RadSav

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #100 on: March 28, 2016, 04:16:16 PM »
Appears to have updated....

It has updated on Mondays for as long as I have paid attention.  Would be nice if it updated daily, but I assume that would raise the price of tickets or decrease revenue.

1883 tix sold as of now.

That is still below the annual average.  But I do think it is high for this early in raffle purchases.  If I remember right we didn't see it break 1500 last year until after permit app results were posted.  Maybe we will break the 2009 record!

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #101 on: March 28, 2016, 04:37:45 PM »
Appears to have updated....

It has updated on Mondays for as long as I have paid attention.  Would be nice if it updated daily, but I assume that would raise the price of tickets or decrease revenue.

1883 tix sold as of now.

That is still below the annual average.  But I do think it is high for this early in raffle purchases.  If I remember right we didn't see it break 1500 last year until after permit app results were posted.  Maybe we will break the 2009 record!
In 2015 2,354 tickets were sold.

In 2014 3,150 tickets were sold.

http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/raffles/big_game_raffle_ticket_sales.pdf
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Offline JoeE

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #102 on: March 28, 2016, 07:30:59 PM »
So who's going to offer up their spare bedroom to rent out to Bushcraft when he doesn't win and his wife boots him out for dropping 10k for nothing?? J/K I hope you win it Bushcraft, you are a lot braver than I am!

Offline Bushcraft

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #103 on: March 28, 2016, 07:44:54 PM »
Appears to have updated....

It has updated on Mondays for as long as I have paid attention.  Would be nice if it updated daily, but I assume that would raise the price of tickets or decrease revenue.

1883 tix sold as of now.

That is still below the annual average.  But I do think it is high for this early in raffle purchases.  If I remember right we didn't see it break 1500 last year until after permit app results were posted.  Maybe we will break the 2009 record!

Among other last minute odd-destroying flood fiascos, the 2009 "record" with multiple people piling in unbeknownst to one another (thereby screwing each of their respective odds) is precisely what I was hoping to avoid with my early courtesy announcement.

There is no good defendable reason in this day and age that the raffle ticket numbers can't be updated in real time.  Perhaps WDFW does it this way to try and make more money off everyone on the raffles by under-representing the actual odds.  Of course, Lady Luck will have the final say, but someone will have to dig deep and check their sanity in order for them to obtain an 85% chance (even more if I use the reserve set aside). If someone else spoke up early, I wouldn't have tried.  No way would I take those poor odds.  It would be far easier and a 100% certainty to just call Bolen Lewis or Milligan and go after a giant world class billy with some good guys.

On a somewhat related note, the moose odds appear to be the easiest/best option to flood at this point, particularly since there are two tags at play in the same raffle. If I weren't completely bonkers for a goat right now, I'd be hammering that moose raffle since I know where a great Shiras bull likes to hang out. He's bound to be bigger this year unless the wolves got him.
« Last Edit: March 28, 2016, 10:10:15 PM by Bushcraft »
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Offline Rainier10

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #104 on: March 29, 2016, 08:00:26 AM »
There are a bunch of good raffles that still have low sales compared to what is typically sold but there is a ton of time left to buy them.  I am sure you are going to see numbers start jumping the first week of July as guys start positioning themselves in the categories that have the best odds.

My guess is we are going to see the highest raffle ticket sales this year.  Going to be interesting to watch the numbers jump.
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Offline Bango skank

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #105 on: March 29, 2016, 02:08:52 PM »
I bought a few dozen moose tickets already just incase i find myself out of state in july like i was last year.  I plan on buying a whole mess more before the deadline

Offline Ghost Hunter

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #106 on: March 30, 2016, 10:39:03 AM »
So there's still a chance I could win... :chuckle:

Double down?   :dunno: :chuckle: :tup:
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Offline rackattack

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #107 on: March 30, 2016, 06:13:10 PM »
Bushcraft you definitely made a impact on the goat raffle. :bow:  Hope you draw.

Offline PlateauNDN

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #108 on: March 30, 2016, 06:15:39 PM »
So there's still a chance I could win... :chuckle:

Double down?   :dunno: :chuckle: :tup:

Back-to-back years for goat?!?!?!  A guy could dream right? :chuckle:
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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #109 on: March 30, 2016, 06:23:49 PM »
So what unit are you looking to hunt in if you win the raffle bushcraft?  :dunno:
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Offline Cat hunter

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #110 on: April 03, 2016, 02:02:30 PM »
It has always made sense to me to wait until the special hunts drawing results are out before buying raffle tickets. I would hate to wind up with two oil tags in one year :o.

Offline trophyhunt

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #111 on: April 03, 2016, 02:40:37 PM »
It has always made sense to me to wait until the special hunts drawing results are out before buying raffle tickets. I would hate to wind up with two oil tags in one year :o.
:yeah:

Offline shanevg

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #112 on: April 03, 2016, 07:59:31 PM »
It has always made sense to me to wait until the special hunts drawing results are out before buying raffle tickets. I would hate to wind up with two oil tags in one year :o.
:yeah:

2 goat tags in one year sounds like a blast to me!   :IBCOOL:

Offline Bushcraft

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #113 on: April 11, 2016, 11:05:32 AM »
It has always made sense to me to wait until the special hunts drawing results are out before buying raffle tickets. I would hate to wind up with two oil tags in one year :o.
:yeah:

Has anyone ever won more than one special permit OIL in the same year?  Obviously the odds of such a multi-OIL miracle happening are exceedingly small, but I'm not sure it would be all that problematic unless one's time was severely limited, i.e., vacation days.  At a minimum and assuming a guy is in good shape and had knowledgeable hunting partners that could help glass, a sheep hunt in this state is about a three day deal (particularly the Cali's) since everyone knows where they are generally located and the bios are very helpful.  I imagine moose would be a few more days due to their preferred thicker foliaged habitat...unless one was holding out for a giant.  Goats could be as easy as a day hike if you just want to get one (particularly a nanny, which I vehemently disagree with taking), or a multi-month game of hide-and-seek if trying to go after one in particular with a bow...and still might not get it.   :'(

I met a guy out in the boonies who had drawn the Southeast or Northeast multi-animal raffle package AND a modern firearm big bull tag in the eastside unit that I hunt.   Wowser!  I asked him how in the world he managed to pull it all off and he said it was relatively easy with the help of bios and friends, the hardest hunt being the big bull hunt that he was on.  As an aside, he was quite possibly the happiest guy I've ever met.  ;) :chuckle:
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Offline Rainier10

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #114 on: April 11, 2016, 11:24:18 AM »
Not much movement on the raffle sales, only at 1922.  Looking like your odds are pretty good right now.
Pain is temporary, achieving the goal is worth it.

I didn't say it would be easy, I said it would be worth it.

Every father should remember that one day his children will follow his example instead of his advice.


The views and opinions expressed in this post are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of HuntWa or the site owner.

Offline coachcw

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #115 on: April 11, 2016, 11:24:38 AM »
It can make staying married tough lol.
My wife told me that I hunt way more than I did when we first got married. I said yeah I know isn't it great !

Offline RadSav

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #116 on: April 11, 2016, 11:26:15 AM »
Not much movement on the raffle sales, only at 1922.  Looking like your odds are pretty good right now.

I'm still waiting for my payoff to buy sheep tickets instead of goat tickets. :chuckle:
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Offline Bushcraft

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #117 on: April 20, 2016, 08:01:09 PM »
Did WDFW drop the traditional Monday morning raffle count update?  I know for a fact they can pull up the current quantity in a matter of seconds.  What gives???

The Northeastern raffle is looking very tempting (for the moose component).



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Offline Whitpirate

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #118 on: April 20, 2016, 08:42:33 PM »
It's April... simmer down.  We've got months to go.  All the raffles will have lots of investment.  There is no gimmie on any of them.
Tickets are the cheap part.

Offline JoeE

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #119 on: April 20, 2016, 09:05:22 PM »
I'm going to wait until I don't draw in the OIL drawings then I'm going all in on raffles. And still won't draw. Repeat next year.

Offline RadSav

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #120 on: April 20, 2016, 09:09:53 PM »
My 6K just went to attorneys.  So the goat is all yours :chuckle:
He asked, Do you ever give a short simple answer?  I replied, "Nope."

Offline WAcoueshunter

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #121 on: June 01, 2016, 10:27:15 AM »
Update: No update done by the good folks at WDFW for more than two weeks.  :chuckle:

Actually, looks like they updated about an hour ago. 

Offline splitshot

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #122 on: June 01, 2016, 10:29:29 AM »
    I think the goat hunt is the hardest of all hunts whether they are draw or not.    mike w

Offline Rainier10

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #123 on: June 01, 2016, 10:41:55 AM »
So we've reached the 2015 total sales mark and still have a month and a half to go.  My guess is this easily gets to the 2014 mark and maybe higher.  Looking forward to what total sales are and if this tactic works in your favor Bushcraft.  I hope it works out in your favor.
Pain is temporary, achieving the goal is worth it.

I didn't say it would be easy, I said it would be worth it.

Every father should remember that one day his children will follow his example instead of his advice.


The views and opinions expressed in this post are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of HuntWa or the site owner.

Offline 2MANY

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Re: Goat Tag Raffle - Flooded
« Reply #124 on: June 01, 2016, 10:45:16 AM »
I heard a few black goats have been spotted in one of the northern most units.
Very rare.
Good luck.

 

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