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GET THE MOST OUT OF YOUR GPS MAP Guided Moose And Black Bear Hunts

Author Topic: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?  (Read 1436 times)

Offline Cab

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Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« on: April 19, 2017, 01:36:35 PM »
So I have a question about the raffle for Big Horn here in WA. I just moved here and would love to buy a raffle ticket or two but the question I have is are the odds just crazy to think I would ever win a tag even if I bought a raffle ticket every year? I'm glad the money goes to a good cause but I have a feeling I shouldn't get my hopes up.

Offline Katmai Guy

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2017, 01:37:27 PM »
Odds go up as you buy more. :chuckle:
"Keep shootin, when there's lead in the air, there's hope"

Offline bobcat

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2017, 01:38:36 PM »
Buy 3 or 4 hundred and you might have a chance.

Offline bobcat

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2017, 01:41:31 PM »
Look here and you can see what your odds would have been last year:

http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/raffles/index.html

Offline jackelope

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2017, 01:44:13 PM »
We'd like to think that any of the raffle tags are "won" but most of them are bought. Occasionally they are won( @Gringo31 ) but that's a rarity. The norm is the guys who go in and buy several hundred raffle tickets and essentially buy them.
:fire.:

" In today's instant gratification society, more and more pressure revolves around success and the measurement of one's prowess as a hunter by inches on a score chart or field photos produced on social media. Don't fall into the trap. Hunting is-and always will be- about the hunt, the adventure, the views, and time spent with close friends and family. " Ryan Hatfield

My posts, opinions and statements do not represent those of this forum

Offline pianoman9701

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2017, 01:51:49 PM »
Can't win if you don't play. At least that's what the casino bosses tell me.
"Restricting the rights of law-abiding citizens based on the actions of criminals and madmen will have no positive effect on the future acts of criminals and madmen. It will only serve to reduce individual rights and the very security of our republic." - Pianoman

Offline Cab

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2017, 01:56:11 PM »
Looks like South Central Washington has the best odds for getting a tag but I'm guessing less tickets were bought there for a reason  :dunno:

Offline Gringo31

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2017, 02:27:08 PM »
Quote
2016 Raffle Ticket Results

WINNING TICKET!
Sheep (California):  44926000417939

Please contact Licensing 360-902-2464 or licensing@dfw.wa.gov with any questions about your raffle results.

Your Overall Ticket Results

 
Goat
Ticket Number      Drawing Rank
44926000417951      2089

 
Moose
Ticket Number      Drawing Rank
44926000417945      206
44926000417943      454
44926000417940      609
44926000417941      2684
44926000417949      2707
44926000417946      3481
44926000417942      3584
44926000417944      3719
44926000417948      3723
44926000417947      4813

 
Sheep (California)
Ticket Number      Drawing Rank
44926000417939      1   WINNING TICKET!

 
South Central Washington
Ticket Number      Drawing Rank
44926000417938      1352

 
Southeast Washington
Ticket Number      Drawing Rank
44926000417950      219


This was what I did last year.  It's the first year I ever put in.  My son was drawn for a cow moose so I decided it would be fun if we could both have tags and decided to buy 10 moose raffle tags.  When I was there I picked a couple other categories where I purchased 1 ticket. 

My advice is this.  You should probably be on one end of the spectrum or the other.  If I pay $100 for a mix match of tickets for the enjoyment of wondering, I see value in that.  The other end is the guys who dump 12K in tickets but have a good chance of getting a premier elk, deer and sheep tag in one package. 

I've asked myself if I should ever buy another ticket.  Odds are horrible, my sheep was one in 3802!  But, you still face the old "what if"?  Fact is tho, I won't for sheep anyway.......too cool of an experience to "double up" on when doing so shorts someone else  :twocents:
We must reject the idea that every time a law's broken, society is guilty rather than the lawbreaker. It is time to restore the American precept that each individual is accountable for his actions.
-Ronald Reagan

Offline b0bbyg

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2017, 02:57:24 PM »
Have they started selling raffle tickets yet? Or does that start closer to when the regs are available?

Offline Luckyone

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #9 on: April 20, 2017, 12:09:52 AM »
Odds are tough but lighting does strike once and a while.  Gringo drew with one ticket and I drew with 4. You never know! I know I will be buying a few again to see if lighting strikes again...

Offline coachcw

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Re: Bad Odds for a Big Horn?
« Reply #10 on: April 23, 2017, 08:45:33 AM »
you wont win unless you buy one . when I one  I had about 60tickets I was number one and runner up .since then Todd has loaded it so I have not played his game.
My wife told me that I hunt way more than I did when we first got married. I said yeah I know isn't it great !

 

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