collapse
Advertise on Hunting-Washington Guided Moose And Black Bear Hunts

Author Topic: moose 10 pts or less?  (Read 14883 times)

Offline wheels

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jun 2012
  • Posts: 1015
  • Location: pacific washington
moose 10 pts or less?
« on: May 03, 2017, 12:36:51 AM »
can it be done just curios on odds thanks

Offline bowhunterforever

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Oct 2008
  • Posts: 8062
  • Location: Lincoln, Co
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2017, 12:46:58 AM »
Yes it can be done just gotta get lucky
You sure you know how to skin griz pilgram

Offline huntnnw

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: May 2010
  • Posts: 6921
  • Location: Spokane
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2017, 01:04:37 AM »
Points mean absolutely nothing when your dealing with so few tags and way to many applicants

Offline andrew_in_idaho

  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Longhunter
  • *****
  • Join Date: Apr 2015
  • Posts: 743
  • Location: Nampa, ID
  • Groups: RMEF
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2017, 03:00:48 AM »
Odds are somewhere around 1 in 1000 likely but yes it can be done


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Offline ctwiggs1

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+5)
  • Frontiersman
  • *****
  • Join Date: Mar 2009
  • Posts: 2527
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2017, 05:27:50 AM »
You could put in every year of your life and not get drawn.

You could also get drawn your first year. 

Good luck! :tup:

Online benhuntin

  • Trade Count: (+2)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Feb 2010
  • Posts: 2284
  • Location: NUNYA
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2017, 07:37:53 AM »
Happens every year.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
If it aint broke, dont fix it.

Offline teanawayslayer

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+2)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Mar 2010
  • Posts: 2282
  • Location: Eastside
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2017, 07:43:21 AM »
Points don't matter in this state. Had a buddy draw any moose with 5.
Happiness is being in the woods!!!

Online Bob33

  • Global Moderator
  • Trade Count: (+2)
  • Explorer
  • *****
  • Join Date: Apr 2009
  • Posts: 17520
  • Groups: SCI, RMEF, NRA
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #7 on: May 03, 2017, 07:46:53 AM »
If you apply for four "any moose" hunt choices, I compute your odds to be around 1 in 200 of drawing one of them with ten points.
Nature. It's cheaper than therapy.

Offline Duckgtr

  • Political Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Hunter
  • ***
  • Join Date: Feb 2015
  • Posts: 237
  • Location: Rainier
  • Active Duty USMC
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #8 on: May 03, 2017, 08:08:08 AM »
I had to

Offline 3boys

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+1)
  • Hunter
  • ***
  • Join Date: Jul 2008
  • Posts: 155
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #9 on: May 03, 2017, 08:13:10 AM »
Happens every year.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Yes it does! I drew with 8

Offline BeerBugler

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Pilgrim
  • *
  • Join Date: Oct 2016
  • Posts: 39
  • Location: The Claw
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #10 on: May 03, 2017, 08:39:16 AM »
Building special permit points gives applicants a better chance in the random drawings. Each special permit category has a separate drawing.

The special permit drawing system is similar to pulling tickets out of a barrel. Building points gives an applicant more tickets. The system also squares points. That means a person with one point ends up with one entry (1x1=1) and a person with 10 points ends up with 100 entries (10x10=100).

The system randomly pulls out all these tickets in order. At the end, each application will keep and use the lowest number it drew. Lower numbers are better in this case, as an application assigned the number one earns the first overall pick. With more points, an application has a better chance of drawing a better pick.

You'll have a hundred tickets in the barrel.....but it's a big ass barrel!


Online Bob33

  • Global Moderator
  • Trade Count: (+2)
  • Explorer
  • *****
  • Join Date: Apr 2009
  • Posts: 17520
  • Groups: SCI, RMEF, NRA
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2017, 09:12:13 AM »
I ran a more precise estimate of the odds of drawing an “any moose” permit. My assumption was that the applicant applied for four hunt choices: (1) 49 Degrees North A Early, (2) 49 Degrees North A Late, (3) Selkirk, (4) Kettle Range. (The order does not matter in overall draw odds.)

I computed the estimated odds of drawing one of the four choices at various applicant point levels as shown here:

-   1 point: 1 in 13,270
-   5 points: 1 in 530
-   10 points: 1 in 135
-   15 points: 1 in 60
-   20 points: 1 in 35
-   24 points: 1 in 25

It's very easy to compute the odds of drawing if one doesn't apply.
Nature. It's cheaper than therapy.

Offline Magnum_Willys

  • Trade Count: (+1)
  • Frontiersman
  • *****
  • Join Date: Nov 2009
  • Posts: 3008
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #12 on: May 03, 2017, 09:20:31 AM »
I ran a more precise estimate of the odds of drawing an “any moose” permit. My assumption was that the applicant applied for four hunt choices: (1) 49 Degrees North A Early, (2) 49 Degrees North A Late, (3) Selkirk, (4) Kettle Range. (The order does not matter in overall draw odds.)

I computed the estimated odds of drawing one of the four choices at various applicant point levels as shown here:

-   1 point: 1 in 13,270
-   5 points: 1 in 530
-   10 points: 1 in 135
-   15 points: 1 in 60
-   20 points: 1 in 35
-   24 points: 1 in 25

It's very easy to compute the odds of drawing if one doesn't apply.

So with 15 points I shouldn't worry about camp reservations just yet ?  Odds look just slightly worse than drawing Wenaha - arghhhhh

Offline sagerat

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Scout
  • ****
  • Join Date: Sep 2007
  • Posts: 344
  • Location: GMU XXX
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2017, 09:43:43 AM »
Yeah and then think about your odds of actually finding the bull you want... Those big coyotes up there haven't made it any easier.

Offline Ridgerunner

  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Frontiersman
  • *****
  • Join Date: Mar 2007
  • Posts: 4230
  • Location: Black Diamond
    • Backcountryhunting.net
Re: moose 10 pts or less?
« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2017, 12:34:01 PM »
It's cheap to dream, apply and hope to get lucky. 


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

* Recent Topics

Pics of your backcountry camp by CoryTDF
[Today at 01:05:05 PM]


Naches Pass Goat by Boss .300 winmag
[Today at 12:56:59 PM]


2 Trophy Whitetail Raffle Hunts NE Oregon by wallowavalley
[Today at 12:51:22 PM]


Leupold warranty and customer service! by ballpark
[Today at 12:49:36 PM]


GPS Advice Sought by pianoman9701
[Today at 12:48:10 PM]


I am ready for pheasant by HoofsandWings
[Today at 12:47:16 PM]


People messing with game cams, NOT OK!! by HighlandLofts
[Today at 12:47:12 PM]


Upgrade or use what I have by hillbillyhunting
[Today at 12:39:17 PM]


FS Shotgun Reloading equipment/ Price Rollback by Ridgeratt
[Today at 12:07:25 PM]


Wyoming Antelope by MADMAX
[Today at 12:07:09 PM]


Phoneskope by fillthefreezer
[Today at 12:01:21 PM]


WTS Blackhorn 209 Powder by Reidus
[Today at 12:00:52 PM]


WTB - Dog Blind by Old Dog
[Today at 11:56:09 AM]


Might be first Calender contender by C-Money
[Today at 11:48:56 AM]


MEC shotshell reloaders by JohnVH
[Today at 11:42:31 AM]


2 Garmin Rino 120's by JohnVH
[Today at 11:35:38 AM]


FS: Beretta 92FS w/holsters & extra mags package by Tiger1358
[Today at 11:29:13 AM]


What tumbler should I get? by Evil_EdwardO
[Today at 11:14:39 AM]


Knight Ultralight w/disc extreme stock $600 by Damnimissed
[Today at 11:12:38 AM]


A knife for deer and elk? by C-Money
[Today at 11:08:16 AM]