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I'm in with 18 points. Not sure how to calculate the odds.

If you search it on here, there have been a couple good threads. Should give you some good folks to contact.

Quote from: Ghost Hunter on May 21, 2017, 12:47:25 PMI'm in with 18 points. Not sure how to calculate the odds. I got the pencil out and did the math as I was curious for myself. Advancing each applicant's points by 1 from last year except the guy who drew with 21 and the other who drew with 5, and adding 70 in at 1 point like it was last year: your 18 points gives you a 1.2% chance this year, so that's a 1 in 83 chance. As good as it gets here.If you want the 1 in 4 type odds look to change our system like Idaho's.

Quote from: Todd_ID on May 21, 2017, 01:59:29 PMQuote from: Ghost Hunter on May 21, 2017, 12:47:25 PMI'm in with 18 points. Not sure how to calculate the odds. I got the pencil out and did the math as I was curious for myself. Advancing each applicant's points by 1 from last year except the guy who drew with 21 and the other who drew with 5, and adding 70 in at 1 point like it was last year: your 18 points gives you a 1.2% chance this year, so that's a 1 in 83 chance. As good as it gets here.If you want the 1 in 4 type odds look to change our system like Idaho's.Idaho is 1 in 4?Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk

Quote from: TriggerMike on June 05, 2017, 10:06:57 PMQuote from: Todd_ID on May 21, 2017, 01:59:29 PMQuote from: Ghost Hunter on May 21, 2017, 12:47:25 PMI'm in with 18 points. Not sure how to calculate the odds. I got the pencil out and did the math as I was curious for myself. Advancing each applicant's points by 1 from last year except the guy who drew with 21 and the other who drew with 5, and adding 70 in at 1 point like it was last year: your 18 points gives you a 1.2% chance this year, so that's a 1 in 83 chance. As good as it gets here.If you want the 1 in 4 type odds look to change our system like Idaho's.Idaho is 1 in 4?Sent from my SM-G930V using TapatalkI don't have the # of permits to # of applicants but there were multiple permits that were 100% in Idaho this year and less than 10 under 5%.... but all those % are for residents.