Community > Advocacy, Agencies, Access
Oh No!
turkeydancer:
I can remember when we had no other choice than to hunt with a bow (gun ? what's a gun)! I been hunting here long enough to have moss covering my entire northside ....
:chuckle:
Been hunting here since I was a wee lad (44+ years) ... :bdid:
... mostly with good success ... however long enough to see it tons better !!!
boneaddict:
I don't understand him either Skookum. he is saying 5,000 applicants for x amount of permits, the 5,000 including 3rd and 4th choices. Take those away and its 2500 right there. SOOoooooo if all 2500 of those choose the entiat, then I will be the only one applying in the Methow. My odds increase. The way the current system is, those same number of applicants can apply to the Entiat and the Methow AND THE DESERT. :)
boneaddict:
and for the record, I took statistics in college. :chuckle:
bobcat:
But boneaddict, we don't know what people would do if they were only allowed 1 or 2 choices. It could be that if people only had 1 choice, they wouldn't apply for the Entiat, knowing it is one of the most popular mule deer permits, and maybe the majority would then only apply for your Methow permits, making your odds worse. That's all I've been saying all along, is we don't know how odds would change for each permit. Some would be better odds, some worse. But overall, odds would stay exactly the same.
boneaddict:
Statistics would show that if you had 4 chances at choosing unit A versus one chance, then you'd be statistically 4 times likely to have a name in Hat A.
If there were a total of 15 hats and you had 4 names to put into one of those hats, statistically you'd be more likely to have a name put into one of your hats. :)
This is especially true if you are already seeking one unit to hunt.
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