Community > Advocacy, Agencies, Access
WDFW permit summmaries out
dscubame:
I find the winning applicant column interesting.
dscubame:
So am I understanding this correctly. Under Youth Moose a hunter put in with 7 points. 43 applicants with 7 points equals 301 entries under these parameters. 3 tags awarded. Odds of drawing with only this information in mind is 1 in 100.33.
Bwana Bob:
Kind of depressing looking at those stats even with max points. :(
cmiller85:
--- Quote from: dscubame on June 20, 2012, 10:33:02 AM ---So am I understanding this correctly. Under Youth Moose a hunter put in with 7 points. 43 applicants with 7 points equals 301 entries under these parameters. 3 tags awarded. Odds of drawing with only this information in mind is 1 in 100.33.
--- End quote ---
43 applicants with 7 points is 2,107 entries. You need the number of all entries from all applicants to get the actual odds. Is that what you're asking? Or are you questioning the odds of a hypothetical scenario where only 43 people with 7 points are drawing for 3 tags? In that case, the odds would be 1 in 14.33.
cmiller85:
--- Quote from: Bwana Bob on June 20, 2012, 10:55:03 AM ---Kind of depressing looking at those stats even with max points. :(
--- End quote ---
I ran some numbers a while back. I don't remember the exact figures, but, for an any moose permit for example, the odds of drawing a tag BEFORE the point system was about the same as it is today for people with max points.
I think the odds were something like 1 in 160 back in 1996 or so and for 2011 (IF you had MAX points) it was like 145 or something. So, essentially for people who applied for a moose tag every year since '96, their chances are only slightly better than they were 18 years ago. The only difference is now that any new applicants are so far behind they don't even stand a chance. OH, and of course the boat load of money WDFW has made off the point system. Points for OIL tags (including some deer and elk tags) are a complete joke.
Think about this, with all the points in the drawing for a moose tag for say 49 degrees north, it came to about 850,000 entries in 2011 (if I remember correctly). Now do the math on what the odds of a new hunter drawing the tag are... :(
The only people who have REALLY gained from the point system are those at the WDFW. :tup:
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