Post by: fishunt247 on May 02, 2017, 02:21:02 PM
I understand squaring points and all of that. This is the last part I'm trying to understand.
As a high point holder in most categories, I sure wish WDFW would go to Colorado's system. But that's a can of worms that's been opened 1000 times on here. Thanks to whoever answers my question.
Post by: Bob33 on May 02, 2017, 02:35:13 PM
Post by: STLHDHunter on May 02, 2017, 02:54:23 PM
Every applicant "in the hat" for a particular permit category (Quality Bull, Antlerless Deer, .etc) has a number. Applicants are taken out of "the hat" to be reviewed based on their number, starting at the lowest number. When an applicant is reviewed, his first hunt choice is evaluated. If there is a permit available, he is awarded a permit. If not, his second choice (if there is one) is evaluated in the same manner. Once all his choices are evaluated, the process moves on to the applicant with the next lowest number. All applicants in the hat are evaluated.
I've been wondering about this too, appreciate the clarification!
Post by: fishunt247 on May 02, 2017, 03:19:53 PM
Thanks for the clarification. I was trying to wrap my head around the language they used to explain it.
Post by: trophyhunt on May 02, 2017, 03:32:26 PM
Post by: TriggerMike on May 02, 2017, 09:30:42 PM
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Post by: bobcat on May 02, 2017, 09:36:20 PM
So really in order to increase your chances of being drawn for a OIL hunt you should actually apply for whatever hunt has more tags, not less applicants. Cause your odds of having a tag available for one of your choices when your number is called would be greater. Or would choosing your hunt choices for hunts with less applicants increase the odds of a tag available when your number is called? That's where I get confused.
Well, you get 4 choices, so I always try to put in for at least two hunts that have the highest number of permits, and then maybe apply for a couple that have the least number of applicants relative to the number of permits for that particular hunt. I bet none of what I just wrote makes any sense. But it does to me! :chuckle:
Post by: Bob33 on May 02, 2017, 09:46:20 PM
So really in order to increase your chances of being drawn for a OIL hunt you should actually apply for whatever hunt has more tags, not less applicants. Cause your odds of having a tag available for one of your choices when your number is called would be greater. Or would choosing your hunt choices for hunts with less applicants increase the odds of a tag available when your number is called? That's where I get confused.In simple terms it is applications per permit that matter. A hunt with 10 permits and 20 applications is easier to draw than a hunt with 100 permits and 1,000 applications.
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Post by: Stein on May 02, 2017, 10:27:38 PM
Post by: TriggerMike on May 02, 2017, 10:27:40 PM
That actually makes perfect sense to me. You're trying to get a little of both worlds, so to speak. I like the strategy.So really in order to increase your chances of being drawn for a OIL hunt you should actually apply for whatever hunt has more tags, not less applicants. Cause your odds of having a tag available for one of your choices when your number is called would be greater. Or would choosing your hunt choices for hunts with less applicants increase the odds of a tag available when your number is called? That's where I get confused.
Well, you get 4 choices, so I always try to put in for at least two hunts that have the highest number of permits, and then maybe apply for a couple that have the least number of applicants relative to the number of permits for that particular hunt. I bet none of what I just wrote makes any sense. But it does to me! :chuckle:
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Post by: TriggerMike on May 02, 2017, 10:32:32 PM
But it's not about easier to draw, it's about statistically maximizing your chance of having one of your hunt choices still available when your randomly assigned number is called. But I guess a hunt choice with less applicants and less tags, but a higher percentage then a high tag unit, would statistically have a higher chance of still being available when your number is called. Right? I always second guess my math, especially stats.So really in order to increase your chances of being drawn for a OIL hunt you should actually apply for whatever hunt has more tags, not less applicants. Cause your odds of having a tag available for one of your choices when your number is called would be greater. Or would choosing your hunt choices for hunts with less applicants increase the odds of a tag available when your number is called? That's where I get confused.In simple terms it is applications per permit that matter. A hunt with 10 permits and 20 applications is easier to draw than a hunt with 100 permits and 1,000 applications.
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Stein, you're right though. It's either gonna happen or it's not. Haha.
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Post by: andrew_in_idaho on May 03, 2017, 03:05:16 AM
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Post by: scoutdog346 on June 01, 2017, 07:30:28 PM
Post by: no.cen.wa on June 01, 2017, 08:36:37 PM
Think I'll go have a drink
John G
Post by: Bob33 on June 01, 2017, 08:48:21 PM
Post by: bobcat on June 01, 2017, 09:55:44 PM
Post by: no.cen.wa on June 02, 2017, 07:46:54 AM