Free: Contests & Raffles.

Quote from: Crunchy on May 28, 2024, 07:19:46 PMmine is 0795,352 for 200 series elk. IM SCREWEDWhich hunt did you apply for? Res or non res?

mine is 0795,352 for 200 series elk. IM SCREWED

Okay I think I follow this. For my 100 series rifle buck tag in the Ches.2023 First Choice Applicants = 6299,999,999 / 629 = 15,89815,898 x 440 tags = 6,995,230Buck Deer 100 Series Seed # = 3,633,0923,633,092 + 6,995,230 (less 9,999,999 for overlapping) = 0,658,322My App # = 5,666,941So I should be in. And that website is showing 100% odds for non-res with 2 points which is where I'm at. Pretty neat.

Quote from: Doublelunger on May 28, 2024, 09:10:07 PMQuote from: Crunchy on May 28, 2024, 07:19:46 PMmine is 0795,352 for 200 series elk. IM SCREWEDWhich hunt did you apply for? Res or non res?Does it matter if only 5% of tags go to non-res for all 200 series

Math guys, the difference between my app# and the elk seed, is 1,747,973. So you’re saying I have a chance!!! 🤣🤣

Quote from: trophyhunt on May 28, 2024, 07:41:33 PMMath guys, the difference between my app# and the elk seed, is 1,747,973. So you’re saying I have a chance!!! 🤣🤣I let Ron Wold do the math at https://oregontags.com/ If he says you have, for example, a 10% chance of drawing at your point level then you need to be 10% or less above the seed number, which is less than 1,000,000 over the number. In your case, Trophyhunt you are 17.4% over the seed number. Check and see what Ron says your chances are. It's worked for me every time and no calculator needed. Probably less accurate for non-residents because it doesn't take much of a swing in application numbers to skew the results but as a resident, it's been spot on for me.

Quote from: pickardjw on May 28, 2024, 08:11:29 PMOkay I think I follow this. For my 100 series rifle buck tag in the Ches.2023 First Choice Applicants = 6299,999,999 / 629 = 15,89815,898 x 440 tags = 6,995,230Buck Deer 100 Series Seed # = 3,633,0923,633,092 + 6,995,230 (less 9,999,999 for overlapping) = 0,658,322My App # = 5,666,941So I should be in. And that website is showing 100% odds for non-res with 2 points which is where I'm at. Pretty neat.Well it looks like chesnimus gives 22 tags to non residents. Last year there were 30 non res applicants. You have to search for the points summary reports to get that number. Its not in the regs. https://myodfw.com/articles/point-summary-reportsBut 'd go: 10,000,000÷30=333,333×22=7,333,333, add that to the seed number(3,633,092) and roll it over and you get 0,926,425. So ya if your app number is between 3,633,092 and 0,926,425 then you should be good to go.

18,494 over the premium elk seed number for Pine Creek. Do I have a chance?

18,494 over the premium elk seed number for Pine Creek. Do I have a chance? 😬