Hunting Washington Forum
Community => Advocacy, Agencies, Access => Topic started by: Curly on May 29, 2015, 07:42:47 AM
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The question came up in another thread about how many people had tons of points accrued in the quality categories for deer and elk. I thought I'd start a poll to get an idea of the point distribution for hunt-wa members. It might be interesting.
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7 quality deer and quality 12 elk
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used 7 for deer last year Elk about 7 or 8
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12 for elk. None for deer, since I don't like deer meat.
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13 Quality deer, 14 Quality elk here.
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8 elk. 3 deer
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11 quality deer and 7 quality elk
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Im pretty sure majority of people get drawn before they ever get to the upper end of the scale...the cumulative odds stake up every year
This distribution will definitely be interesting
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17 elk, 13 deer
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15 for elk 2 for deer. I used 10 points on a late mule deer tag in '13.....it was worth it. I don't always put in for elk. If I can't commit to putting the time
in prepping and hunting to do the Oppurtunity justice, I go points option. When/if I get drawn I want to be able to go all in.
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14 deer 11 elk
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20 elk, 15 deer >:(
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6 in each.
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2 Elk 7 Deer
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Just 1 for elk for me, I guess I should start ghost hunting to accrue points, haven't ever put in for a deer tag draw.
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20 elk, 15 deer >:(
wow...ur overdue
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20 elk, 15 deer >:(
what units do you put in for?
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Just 1 for elk for me, I guess I should start ghost hunting to accrue points, haven't ever put in for a deer tag draw.
No reason to ghost point unless it's a east/west dilemma. Someone has to draw the tag and if you ghost point it eliminates you completely. Many great tags are drawn by low point holders. Good luck.
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3 for elk, 8 for deer.
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18 elk, 14 deer
I also have 18 in "Bull Elk" FWIW... :chuckle:
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5 Elk, 4 Deer
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13 elk and 13 deer.
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too many and too many... :(
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17 elk, 12 deer
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9 elk 13 for deer
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18 elk, 14 deer
I also have 18 in "Bull Elk" FWIW... :chuckle:
Wow, hope you don't put in for both quality or bull, a guy did that a couple years back with 18 pts and drew both little naches rifle and teanaway rifle bull. I would hate to miss out on a good opportunity another year.
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20 in all Elk Categories 1 in Deer
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20 quality bull, 20 bull, and 11 deer.
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20 quality bull, 20 bull, and 11 deer.
Sheesh! I think I'd ghost the bull category until I drew Quality. Prolly what you're doin. After (or if) I draw out on my pts. I'm never applying in WA again. All that money will go out of state.
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20 quality bull, 20 bull, and 11 deer.
Sheesh! I think I'd ghost the bull category until I drew Quality. Prolly what you're doin. After (or if) I draw out on my pts. I'm never applying in WA again. All that money will go out of state.
That is what I have been doing, except this year they changed the dates on the muzzy permits in the blues so I ghosted my quality and went for my bull tag. And your comment about never applying again once you draw out, I've talked to a few guys that say the same thing, including myself. Except I will still put in for quality elk and deer, but I will only put in when I draw the multi season elk tag. Not waiting 20+ years again to hunt branched antler bulls, Idaho gets most my money!
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4 for elk
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16 Elk, 5 Deer.
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10 for deer and 10 for elk
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20 quality bull, 20 bull, and 11 deer.
where are you putting in for elk?Where are you putting in for deer?
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20 quality bull, 20 bull, and 11 deer.
Sheesh! I think I'd ghost the bull category until I drew Quality. Prolly what you're doin. After (or if) I draw out on my pts. I'm never applying in WA again. All that money will go out of state.
That is what I have been doing, except this year they changed the dates on the muzzy permits in the blues so I ghosted my quality and went for my bull tag. And your comment about never applying again once you draw out, I've talked to a few guys that say the same thing, including myself. Except I will still put in for quality elk and deer, but I will only put in when I draw the multi season elk tag. Not waiting 20+ years again to hunt branched antler bulls, Idaho gets most my money!
im hoping about 100 other people had the same idea as you! ;)
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13 deer
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14 deer & 14 elk.
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15 deer and 4 for elk. Drew Quality elk 4 years ago
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20 quality bull, 20 bull, and 11 deer.
where are you putting in for elk?Where are you putting in for deer?
not easy draw tags, blues for elk and the normal late rifle mule deer areas in the chelan area. Ghost points bull category till this year.
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Left out a major number
Zero
Don't have any and won't ever have any as I refuse to give in to wdfW and their screwing of the hunters just for more money while they continue to mismanage the game yet get those that are willing to play their game to continue year after year to pay for something that should be included in the license season
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I feel the same way Jingles .. I put in for spike bull and I seriously had to talk myself into putting my wife in for quality deer & elk .. I can see me just quitting soon :yike: Anything over 15 pts for a quality tag is just arz in nine !!!
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5 and 5 here...I agree with some of you guys...that many points is ridiculous...Look at states like Wyoming; residents with that many points are only in it for moose and sheep tags. That's it. Everything else for them is random draw
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I completely understand what I'm up against, I know it's a crap shoot. I just think a certain percent should go to the highest point holders like Wyoming, one year when they had 3 tags for the permit I was trying for, 3 guys drew with 6,4, and 2 points. This was only about 3 or 4 years ago, they had a ton of competition. Those 3 guys were ridiculously lucky, anyway, it's never gonna work for all of us the way we want. No biggie, I'm done with it when I do draw.
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Some people obviously don't understand the setup of our draw system. There are very few choices on the Westside. It is also next to impossible to hunt where you put in for as there are no general seasons along with very limited access.
Trophy good luck on your draw. I think your chances are in the 10% range.
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No offense but would you feel the same way if you were not going to be done buying these apps after you drew?No because if that many went to the highest point holders as was already said it would never come around to the guys that have say 15 points right now.Why because according to what a lot are saying 10s of 1000s of Washingtonians have 16-20 points right now.and with only a small % of tags the highest tag holders will never be the ones with 15 today. That being said,What number of points would you put into the highest points category or do you mean the actual highest number (20).All other numbers are not the highest point category until all others before them are gone?just want to have it right thats all.
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so let me see if I have this right you have 20 points accumulated for quality deer or elk that is 20 times (using this years cost) 13.70 plus the cost of your license so if you do get drawn this year than means you license to hunt that deer or elk cost you $391.00 for just the license and if WDFW could actually manage the game species instead of being a nanny organization of only allowing so many people in the woods during the season you would of had your quality der or elk years ago.
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13 elk, 13 deer.
I still can't believe I haven't drawn a deer tag :bash:
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No offense but would you feel the same way if you were not going to be done buying these apps after you drew?No because if that many went to the highest point holders as was already said it would never come around to the guys that have say 15 points right now.Why because according to what a lot are saying 10s of 1000s of Washingtonians have 16-20 points right now.and with only a small % of tags the highest tag holders will never be the ones with 15 today. That being said,What number of points would you put into the highest points category or do you mean the actual highest number (20).All other numbers are not the highest point category until all others before them are gone?just want to have it right thats all.
people will still apply if 25 or 50% of tags go to the highest point holders.
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I just looked at last years quality results.help me out here make sure i understand how the system works.
thanks
310 applied for quality in the blues
there were 70 tags
average points for those selected was 5.4 points
50 were selected as there 1st choice
20 were selected as their 2nd choice.From what I see there really is no need for 3rd or 4th choice so That part of the poll is just useless wont make any change.
70 tags put out average 5.4 points that puts 9040 names in the proverbial hat.
anyone that has more than the average points,say 17.has 289 names in the hat.Ok now thats 10 times the average.Yet still cant draw for that particular hunt.
There is a word for that, It is unlucky. lol unless i really do have it all figured wrong.
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If you want permits to go to the highest point holders, we need to switch to a preference point system.
But for as few permits that we have compared to the number of applicants, I like our system.
What I don't like is all the extra categories they added just so they could sell more applications. But I've gotten use to it and think I can live with it.
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I just looked at last years quality results.help me out here make sure i understand how the system works.
thanks
310 applied for quality in the blues
there were 70 tags
average points for those selected was 5.4 points
50 were selected as there 1st choice
20 were selected as their 2nd choice.From what I see there really is no need for 3rd or 4th choice so That part of the poll is just useless wont make any change.
70 tags put out average 5.4 points that puts 9040 names in the proverbial hat.
anyone that has more than the average points,say 17.has 289 names in the hat.Ok now thats 10 times the average.Yet still cant draw for that particular hunt.
There is a word for that, It is unlucky. lol unless i really do have it all figured wrong.
There is no 3rd or 4th choices in quality
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:bash: I forgot.just went by the numbers.everything else good though?
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25% is not that high of a number guys. If there are 10 tags given out and you round up, 3 tags out of 10 will go to the highest point guys. 7 tags are in the pool for everyone else, you can do the math for 50% but 50% wasn't that popular on the voting. It's all for not anyways, I doubt these options will go anywhere even though they may slightly increase the odds of drawing and in some cases increase revenue.
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If you hold out tags for the highest points, it will make it literally impossible for anyone not in the top two or three points numbers to ever draw.
Say there are 10 tags a year held for the highest points and highest points is 20. You won't ever burn through the 20's to get to the 19's or less. So, if you sit at 10 points today it is pretty much game over.
The high points system only works when there are enough tags to clear the high number every year. Sure, you get the one in a million chance of drawing the at-large tags, but your odds just went permanently down unless you have max points.
I honestly think WA has about the best system out there given the number of hunters vs animals.
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You guys are forgetting about the other 7 tags in my example with 10 permits. Only 3 tags in this option would go to the max point guys, the other 7 go to anyone, so how do you say your stuck forever?
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21 elk and 6 deer
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If you hold out tags for the highest points, it will make it literally impossible for anyone not in the top two or three points numbers to ever draw.
Say there are 10 tags a year held for the highest points and highest points is 20. You won't ever burn through the 20's to get to the 19's or less. So, if you sit at 10 points today it is pretty much game over.
The high points system only works when there are enough tags to clear the high number every year. Sure, you get the one in a million chance of drawing the at-large tags, but your odds just went permanently down unless you have max points.
I honestly think WA has about the best system out there given the number of hunters vs animals.
Agreed.
You guys are forgetting about the other 7 tags in my example with 10 permits. Only 3 tags in this option would go to the max point guys, the other 7 go to anyone, so how do you say your stuck forever?
Basically the 95%+ of people who apply will never have a chance at those top 3 tags. Those applicants and all future applicants would permanently have their draw odds cut by 30%. . . Just because someone applied for 2 or 3 more years when you're talking something like 20 vs 17 is hardly reason to doom everyone below with a 30% reduction permanently.
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Some in all choices,but unlike a lot of folks who have the same amount I don't feel that the count equates to an entitlement and should be selected before anyone else. :dunno:
IT'S A LOTTERY FOLKS :chuckle:
Just a ticket in a game of chance to win.
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How about we choose between putting in for draw tags or getting an otc tag every year? If you had to make that choice what would you do?
I'm sick of people thinking that pts equal tags in this state. If you want that system apply in CO.
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How about we choose between putting in for draw tags or getting an otc tag every year? If you had to make that choice what would you do?
That would be a tough choice. Probably depend on what I've draw in other states. BUT I'd rather not have to make that choice and just live with the current system.
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If you hold out tags for the highest points, it will make it literally impossible for anyone not in the top two or three points numbers to ever draw.
Say there are 10 tags a year held for the highest points and highest points is 20. You won't ever burn through the 20's to get to the 19's or less. So, if you sit at 10 points today it is pretty much game over.
The high points system only works when there are enough tags to clear the high number every year. Sure, you get the one in a million chance of drawing the at-large tags, but your odds just went permanently down unless you have max points.
I honestly think WA has about the best system out there given the number of hunters vs animals.
Agreed.
You guys are forgetting about the other 7 tags in my example with 10 permits. Only 3 tags in this option would go to the max point guys, the other 7 go to anyone, so how do you say your stuck forever?
Basically the 95%+ of people who apply will never have a chance at those top 3 tags. Those applicants and all future applicants would permanently have their draw odds cut by 30%. . . Just because someone applied for 2 or 3 more years when you're talking something like 20 vs 17 is hardly reason to doom everyone below with a 30% reduction permanently.
But we would bring true points creep into the equation as one more thing to complain about. We would also complain about how we(I) miss the old new points system and the old-old system and wish we could go back! :chuckle:
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I would like to see them bring back if you apply for special permits you can't hunt for 3 days after the opener!
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I would like to see them bring back if you apply for special permits you can't hunt for 3 days after the opener!
I always liked that. Don't remember when it changed. Maybe 7 or 8 years ago?
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More then that, I can't remember when it went away, seems like over 10years ago,
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A little help please,I am trying to analyze this system a little bit.Would someone please get a number of all antler less elk apps. for east side?Someone do the same for west side? then the same for bull. thanks
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A little help please,I am trying to analyze this system a little bit.Would someone please get a number of all antler less elk apps. for east side?Someone do the same for west side? then the same for bull. thanks
http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/results.php?Species=ELK
You can look here, it would be easy to get those numbers if you didn't want it for east and west. You'll probably need a calculator.
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More then that, I can't remember when it went away, seems like over 10years ago,
You're probably right.
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0 deer and 14 elk
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6 for deer and 1 for elk now
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0 deer and 14 elk
"0" cause you drew last year?? Any success?
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More then that, I can't remember when it went away, seems like over 10years ago,
You're probably right.
I think it was over 20 years.........maybe closer to 30.
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I think the poll is for people who do apply in the draw. It really makes no difference how many people don't apply. You're not our competition so you're irrelevant.
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0 deer and 14 elk
"0" cause you drew last year?? Any success?
:tup:
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Nice! Did you post a story ?
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1 deer and 5 elk
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Wow and cboom didnt think anyone was interested in this thread or knowing how many points people really had.Well cboom looks like you were wrong again.and it also looks as though there really isnt that many people on here that actually have these max points.You said once that you knew several people that had these max points,Hmmm they must not be HW members I guess. :tup:
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13 Quality Elk
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0 and 0 for myself (don't put in for any) but I do have a few friends that have been pretty lucky. One buddy drew 2 quality deer tags and 1 quality elk tag in a 7 year window :yike:. The deer tags were drew with 1 point and the other with 3. I don't remember how many he had for the elk :dunno: Another pal has drew a sheep,a moose and a goat tag. Another drew 2 quality deer tags in a 8 year stretch. I told all of them to start buying lottery tickets :chuckle:. Kind of fun for me cause I get to help out the guys with the deer tags :tup:
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5 deer and 7 elk
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if someone is really interested you can look tag by tag what amount each person applied with and witch ones drew the tag's. it's on the wdfw website
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if the max you can have is 20, how come there are so many people with more than twenty. all turned in poachers?
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Well that's crazy ..I know at least 9 people with over 15 pts ..and they are not members of HW ..So just think about all the people that are out there that we do not of :yike:
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if the max you can have is 20, how come there are so many people with more than twenty. all turned in poachers?
yep!
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if someone is really interested you can look tag by tag what amount each person applied with and witch ones drew the tag's. it's on the wdfw website
Im interested in this,Could you point out where I can see exactly how many points an applicant used and was drawn?
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if someone is really interested you can look tag by tag what amount each person applied with and witch ones drew the tag's. it's on the wdfw website
Im interested in this,Could you point out where I can see exactly how many points an applicant used and was drawn?
This is quality bull
http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2014category_points_qualityelk.pdf (http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2014category_points_qualityelk.pdf)
This can get you to the others--click the pdfs.
http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2014.php (http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2014.php)
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JimmyHoffa,Clear this up for me please.Last page Quality Elk.There is only 1 (16) so we will use it.Would it be correct if I said 43 people had 16 points that Put in for points option?
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Yes, 43 hunters had 16 points and only went points option. No quota/permits/selected needed so all those other columns are zero.
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So is it safe to say that (I counted so)that 105 hunters in WA. had 19 points last year and Applied for Quality Elk?19 would be max points last year with no bonus points or anything so I stuck with the 19.Would that also be correct Sir?Or am I looking at this thing all wrong?Or would that number actually be in half because of the 2 choices minus the ones that did the point option?
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I would guess somewhere between a little higher than the number you counted and a number a little lower than half...really narrows it. :chuckle:
One reason I say that is because of group applications.
There is one hunt that has two permits, shows one application at 18 points, one application selected and two permits issued.
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You could also have a group of people that had 19 points in 2013 (maybe bonus) that didn't apply in 2014, but would in 2015. So, there could be some stragglers unaccounted for if trying to figure the pool for this year.
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Gotcha.I think it is safe to say with those numbers that there is less than 500 hunters that applied for quality elk last year that had 16 or more points.833 times points 16 and above came up,subtract the 162 hunters that points option only leaves 671,safely divide that by the 2 choices gives us around 335,add the 162 back on and we have around 500,Figure in the possible group hunt apps and it would likely be less than 500.Any disagree with that?
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You could also have a group of people that had 19 points in 2013 (maybe bonus) that didn't apply in 2014, but would in 2015. So, there could be some stragglers unaccounted for if trying to figure the pool for this year.
agreed,but i still think we are relatively close.
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probably close to 500--I just added the application-point numbers and subtracted the extras that were assumed group. Bobcat or Bob33 probably know the exact number.
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so with around 100 probable max points without any bonus,wouldnt that be around .333% of the hunters that applied for Quality elk to have max points?Im not the greatest at math so.Anyone disagree with any of my math?
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you can look per tag and do for sure math if it bother's you that much
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Five for Q Elk and zero for Q Deer (just got drawn).