I dont think it'll pass. Hunting is huge in Montana. Do you really think the guides will let this happen?
Yes, many of my clients choose the draw since it is cheaper. But take away the outfitter licenses and they will have to pay more for the draw tags.... :bash: :bash: :bash:
I have a pretty good idea how the ranchers I lease from will vote as will many other ranchers and landowners who's income is helped by hunting leases.
Do you want to give up the Block Management program?
QuoteDo you want to give up the Block Management program?
Why would we have to give up the BMP?
QuoteI have a pretty good idea how the ranchers I lease from will vote as will many other ranchers and landowners who's income is helped by hunting leases.
The absence of guaranteed outfitter tags doesn't prevent you from leasing the same properties. It also doesn't prevent the land owner from leasing his land to you or anyone else. :dunno:
phool, in case you missed my earlier post, the Outfitter Licenses fund Block Management.QuoteDo you want to give up the Block Management program?
most years I have at least 6 to 10 hunters who do buy the Outfitter License. That stability allows me to go ahead and lease property.
Quotemost years I have at least 6 to 10 hunters who do buy the Outfitter License. That stability allows me to go ahead and lease property.
BP, you are of the mind set that the loss of guaranteed tags equates to a drop in clientele? I would think it would be just the opposite. At a decrease of almost half the $ for the tag, wouldn't you potentially have more people considering going with a guide? Just to keep it simple, if for a total package to hunt with you they were originally looking at $2500, now they are looking at a total of $1900. I would think you would be picking up a couple more per year. :dunno:
The current program allows a wider variety of all those hunters the option to afford that hunt or to experience that MT hunt the same year they want to go.
QuoteThe current program allows a wider variety of all those hunters the option to afford that hunt or to experience that MT hunt the same year they want to go.
But for someone that wants to go with you next year, the total cost would be cheaper with the initiative passing than it is now.
The whole program with the Outfitter License fees paying for the Block Management program is a win/win/win/win for the poor hunter, the wealthy hunter, all hunters wanting access to private land, the outfitting industry, and the outfitted hunter.
Now answer this for me.....why are you so ademate to get rid of the whole program in Montana.
Because the guys who used to pay $1100 for a deer tag are now going to other states where they know they can get a license,
QuoteBecause the guys who used to pay $1100 for a deer tag are now going to other states where they know they can get a license,
I'm betting those guys will still be applying except now they are only paying $527. If they draw, great, they just saved enough to pay for the rest of their hunt or help subsidize the cost of an additional out of state tag. If they don't draw then they can still apply in that other state you claim they were jumping ship for anyway.
As Montanans weigh all this out, it will be interesting to see what happens.
What about the majority of Non-res hunters who used to only pay $343?
How is this better for them?
and as BP said the 200 difference in tag cost willnot likely change someones mind in hiring an outfitter.
QuoteAs Montanans weigh all this out, it will be interesting to see what happens.
True, and like you I seriously doubt it will pass. I can see them coming up with a compromise though in order to justify an increase in tag fees.QuoteWhat about the majority of Non-res hunters who used to only pay $343?
How is this better for them?
Maybe the increase in drawing odds has them drawing every other year on average rather than every 3rd year?
No, I don't think it will. Do the math, currently I believe about 10% of non-resident deer licenses are sold as Outfitter Licenses, so the odds should only improve by about 1/10th, in my book it's not even close to a bargain for that amount of gain in odds for the amount of increase in fees.
I am still curious why you are so adament to get rid of the Outfitter Licenses when the modest rewards are so costly to all the other non-res hunters.
There are numerous Montana politics involved here, so it will be interesting.
No, I don't think it will. Do the math, currently I believe about 10% of non-resident deer licenses are sold as Outfitter Licenses, so the odds should only improve by about 1/10th, in my book it's not even close to a bargain for that amount of gain in odds for the amount of increase in fees.
I am still curious why you are so adament to get rid of the Outfitter Licenses when the modest rewards are so costly to all the other non-res hunters.
There are numerous Montana politics involved here, so it will be interesting.
Based on the #'s presented so far in this thread, here are the #'s:
5500 outfitter tags are 10% of the total nonresident tags, so there's 55000 nonresident tags. The 5500 outfitters at $1100 each will be placed in the general draw.
In the old system, 5500 tags at $1100 each nets Montana $6,050,000.
The remaining 90% (49,500) at $343 each, nets Montana $16,978,500.
Total nonresident revenue was $23,028,500.
If the initiative passes, all 55,000 tags go for $527, netting Montana $28,985,000.
That's almost EXACTLY a 25% increase in revenue for the state from out of state hunters. Nice, round number state agencies love to deal with. Coincidence?
Effectively, the state said to the outfitters - "We want a bigger piece of what you're getting"; and if it's true that most outfitters are from out of state, that makes sense they'd say that - the profits the outfitters were making from Montana public-owned game was going right back out of state.
I'd believe there is a major revenue grab going on here by the great state of Montana, but I'm ok with it if the additional 25% revenue is used for even more BM programs above and beyond what they have already.
Where do you get 55000 nonresident tags?
If you add up 11500 general big game tags, 2300 general deer tags, 4750 outfitter sponsored big game tags, 1800 outfittersponsored deer tags, and 2000 landowner sposored deer tags. Adds up to 22,350. Plus the extra 5,500 is still only 27,850. Where do you get 55,000? Maybe I read it wrong.
Skillet,
Here is a page to get the numbers from.
http://fwp.mt.gov/hunting/licenses/nonresidentCombo.html
Skillet,
Here is a page to get the numbers from.
http://fwp.mt.gov/hunting/licenses/nonresidentCombo.html
Got it - have you figured the $$ impact yet?
Ah, more fun hunting debate... Gonna tick the woman off talking about this over supper tonight! :chuckle:
As a working class Montana citizen and hunter I am loosing out on hunting I used to do because of big money. Block Management areas are over hunted and quality is gone. This is what I have seen here where I hunt. All of my friends around here feel the same. I don't mind the outfitters, but we hate block management. People who live here are pushed out. Why would they support hunting?
I will agree that getting on private ground is worse. When I started hunting over there (rifle), ranchers begged you to take everything your truck could hold. Now they want paid.
Anybody who has hunted Montana since the late 1980's can tell you land (private/BLM/State) tied up by outfitters increased dramatically after the guaranteed tag program went into effect.
It might have something to do with the access of land. I would bet that 95% of land that whitetails hang out in is privately owned, so unless the hunter had an "in" he wouldn't find much opportunity.
West part of the state has tons of WT as well as national forest land, that's where I was thinking it would work well.
Not sure, but I think the deer elk combo tags have a little better than a 50% draw rate for NR. Maybe that's the 60%...?
not too digress too much but why doesn't MT seperate out their deer licenses and offer some WT only licenses for deer. Seems like an underutilized resource to me. And a way to make more money.
This is off Huntin Fool web site
2008 big game combo
19444 apps
10707 drew
simple odds. 55.06 draw success.
Not that I care, but this could affect the hunting shows as well.
now Phool is bidding on the land and contributing further to the problem.
I think ultimately Montana should look to Idaho to learn from another state's mistakes. Idaho raised their prices to comparable levels to what Montana has proposed and the # of tags sold went down along with the total revenue. game numbers based on wolf predation played a part in this demand (i can only imagine), but that is an issue faced for certain parts of Montana as well. No matter how you slice and dice this issue, when you raise prices for the bulk of the tag holders demand will change.:yeah:
Idaho license 141.50
Idaho deer tag 258.50
Idaho elk tag 372.50
grand total $772.50
after the change May 1st.
Idaho license 154.75
Idaho deer tag 301.75
Idaho elk tag 416.75
grand total $873.25
Still 2267 elk tags available as of 12/4/09
2534 regular deer tags
1500 white tail deer tags.
That is a lot of uncaptured revenue for roughly a $100 increase in tags.
I don't know how I feel one way or another about the guaranteed tags for outfitters. I do believe that it will decrease the numbers of hunters using guide services, because most working class folks plan a couple of years out on the trips they take on a guided basis, and not knowing whether or not they will be drawn will play as a factor for the decision making. I know the trip that I have been talking about would change, because the predictability in planning when I can book that trip to the year of the draw would make it a challenge. And even more so for the outfitter. I have been looking at a hunt in the Bob Marshall wilderness for about 4 or 5 years. I can't afford it yet, but I can only imagine the outfitter having 5 weeks available and not knowing if his interested parties will draw or not. He may have no hunters draw and leave all his spots open or have all of his prospects draw and only be able to accommodate some of those hunters. This provides a pretty shaky business model and will ultimately thin down the number of outfitters over time. Yes, they will still have interested hunters, but the stability will go away as guides have difficulty filling trips from year to year.
Not sure what the correct solution is, but I don't think the current Initiative solves the problems at hand. I did take from this a lesson though. "don't raise your rates for non-resident tags/licenses in a downward trending economy before your neighboring states do the same". Idaho is :bash:
There are plenty of "good folks" leasing some land to hunt...and not knowing you from Adam.... maybe you are one of them... I just think the paying to play thing is the whole problem... In the last decade or so it has went from just a few paying a little...to many paying A Lot... and there are lots of folks out there with Lots of money.... they are the ones... you I guess.... that will have the priviliges... You probably worked hard for your money... so that is "part of the hunt" for you I guess... Something to be proud of.
If I was wealthy... Maybe I'd lease something?? I cant say, I dont feel now like I would, but if I had the $$... maybe my opinion would change...
Anyhow, I am on the board of the Montana Bowhunters Association and we have been bombarded with issues related to this topic for the last 3 years... members are divided as much as the members of this forum are... both have great arguments.. some will lose out... some will win. Hopefully...whats best for hunting in Montana will win out!
What economic sense would it be to block half of their potential customers that won't draw a tag?
Skip the WA hunt, save the money for montana, and go have yourself a great time.
I dont think it'll pass. Hunting is huge in Montana. Do you really think the guides will let this happen? Too much money out of their pockets.There are more hunters in Montana that want the guides off of the public lands. There are more voting hunters than voting outfitters. I think it will pass.
So will our odds of drawing a combo license go up......or down????
500 dollars to hunt a deer? Rich man's sport.I wish it were only 500 bucks. Unfortunately gas almost equals that much. New clothes, toys etc. Food, it keeps going and going.
So will our odds of drawing a combo license go up......or down????
They didn't even sell all of their combo tags this year. You could buy them online directly. Your odds should go up with more tags available and less people willing to shell out the extra cash.
I just looked and there are still combo licenses to be bought on the Montana website. Can't believe they haven't sold out yet.
First time in a very long time that they did not sell out. I wonder how this will work out when they raise the prices? Probably like Idaho - actually revenue goes backwards.
QuoteFirst time in a very long time that they did not sell out. I wonder how this will work out when they raise the prices? Probably like Idaho - actually revenue goes backwards.
no, that won't happen; most of the problem is that people just did not "know" there were left over tags available, it wasn't publicized widely enough;
just look at the deer A tags; without a preference pt, you only have a 20% chance of getting drawn; I am not sure of the math because of the prefernce pt, BUT, a whole hell of a lot of people more then tags applied
the combo license is the same thing, 50% chance without a preference pt; so, LOTS of "excess" demand.
Plus, all of the guaranteed outfitter tag people will now be in the pool with the non-outfitter people;
people LOVE to hunt MT; especially Eastern MT; wide open, lots of deer, easy to access, etc
Idaho is completely different; lots of wilderness areas, too steep for most people's liking; poor deer numbers etc.
Just to let everyone know, I161 passed in Montana. That means you will be paying $897.00 for a big game combo next year and $527.00 for a deer tag.
QuoteFirst time in a very long time that they did not sell out. I wonder how this will work out when they raise the prices? Probably like Idaho - actually revenue goes backwards.
no, that won't happen; most of the problem is that people just did not "know" there were left over tags available, it wasn't publicized widely enough;
just look at the deer A tags; without a preference pt, you only have a 20% chance of getting drawn; I am not sure of the math because of the prefernce pt, BUT, a whole hell of a lot of people more then tags applied
the combo license is the same thing, 50% chance without a preference pt; so, LOTS of "excess" demand.
Plus, all of the guaranteed outfitter tag people will now be in the pool with the non-outfitter people;
people LOVE to hunt MT; especially Eastern MT; wide open, lots of deer, easy to access, etc
Idaho is completely different; lots of wilderness areas, too steep for most people's liking; poor deer numbers etc.
Are deer B tags going up to?
U can almost gurantee that there will be left over MT combos this year at $900 a whack, last year there was left over combos at $670. I dont see how you will lose bizz, anyone who wants to hunt MT will
I wrote some legislators and have already gotten some feedback, some of them are very concerned about the impact I-161 may have on the state, they are getting letters from all over the country about the increased price, I expect some steps to be attepted legislatively to help ease this.
On a different note: I paid a pretty good sum of money to purchase my outfitting business in Montana from a resident. Now my investment has taken a 2/3 loss when the voters passed this law as 2/3 of my approved client use was for the oputfitter sponsored tags which have been eliminated. I still have time to try and somehow rebuild my business, but what about the Montana outfitters who are ready to retire and need to sell their business in order to retire. The voters pretty much just took away their whole retirement.
I also pointed out that the voters pretty much took away any incentive any other non-resident businessman would have for investing in a Montana hunting business. I know that I certainly would have invested in a Wyoming or Clorado business had I known the Montana voters could take away my business the way they did. :twocents:
While some people are rejoicing, others are wondering how they will earn a living or ever be able to retire. What has this country come to?
BP the best thing you did was to diversify you locations so that one state or another cannot screw you.... Like this one or MT... :twocents: Your a smart busness man :twocents:
I wrote some legislators and have already gotten some feedback, some of them are very concerned about the impact I-161 may have on the state, they are getting letters from all over the country about the increased price, I expect some steps to be attepted legislatively to help ease this.
On a different note: I paid a pretty good sum of money to purchase my outfitting business in Montana from a resident. Now my investment has taken a 2/3 loss when the voters passed this law as 2/3 of my approved client use was for the oputfitter sponsored tags which have been eliminated. I still have time to try and somehow rebuild my business, but what about the Montana outfitters who are ready to retire and need to sell their business in order to retire. The voters pretty much just took away their whole retirement.
I also pointed out that the voters pretty much took away any incentive any other non-resident businessman would have for investing in a Montana hunting business. I know that I certainly would have invested in a Wyoming or Clorado business had I known the Montana voters could take away my business the way they did. :twocents:
While some people are rejoicing, others are wondering how they will earn a living or ever be able to retire. What has this country come to?
Ok, OK, gonna play a bit of the devils advocate here. Bearpaw, I like you and respect you, you seem like a good outfitter and that you do a lot for the hunting community, let's get that out of the way from the start. But let's get one other thing straight as well, no other business in Montana has a GUARANTEE of business like the outfitters had, something my father did not have when he was outfitting and his business did just fine. He didn't lease property and he guided on public ground and back then there were no guaranteed tags he had no problem filling his bookings. Outfitters having guaranteed tags is no different than when a NR drives into Montana he is then directed to a specific hotel to stay at because all the Hotels are guaranteed a certain amount of business. Many, many outfitters did just fine for a long, long time before there were guranteed tags.
Second, I would be willing to bet most if not ALL of your Montana clients were initially in the public drawing for tags, then when they didn't draw they bought the outfitter guaranteed tags. These guys were drawing tags that I didn't draw to be able to go home and hunt with my family, then when they didn't get that tag, then and only then did they purchase their license through you. I would only agree with the guaranteed tags if your business had to purchase them up front for five years. No ands, if's or butts about it, these guaranteed tags allowed outfitters to lease property that normally would have been either hunted by the general public for nothing more than the price of asking. Also, you haven't necessarrily lost any clients at all, you've only lost the ones that don't happen to draw a tag. There was no law passed saying you can't take just as many hunters as before, the law simply removed your ability to guarantee as many clients as you want that they will get tags. With that loss of ability to guarantee as many clients as you may wish to take, your bets have to be hedged a bit more when it comes to just how much property you pay leases on up front.
Bearpaw, I in no way wish to see your business suffer, that is not what I am hoping for, being the son of a former outfitter I also have no qualms with guided hunters or with outfitters. But the guaranteed tags goes against any and all forms of free trade in a marketplace that is not socialist. :twocents:
I wrote some legislators and have already gotten some feedback, some of them are very concerned about the impact I-161 may have on the state, they are getting letters from all over the country about the increased price, I expect some steps to be attepted legislatively to help ease this.
On a different note: I paid a pretty good sum of money to purchase my outfitting business in Montana from a resident. Now my investment has taken a 2/3 loss when the voters passed this law as 2/3 of my approved client use was for the oputfitter sponsored tags which have been eliminated. I still have time to try and somehow rebuild my business, but what about the Montana outfitters who are ready to retire and need to sell their business in order to retire. The voters pretty much just took away their whole retirement.
I also pointed out that the voters pretty much took away any incentive any other non-resident businessman would have for investing in a Montana hunting business. I know that I certainly would have invested in a Wyoming or Clorado business had I known the Montana voters could take away my business the way they did. :twocents:
While some people are rejoicing, others are wondering how they will earn a living or ever be able to retire. What has this country come to?
Ok, OK, gonna play a bit of the devils advocate here. Bearpaw, I like you and respect you, you seem like a good outfitter and that you do a lot for the hunting community, let's get that out of the way from the start. But let's get one other thing straight as well, no other business in Montana has a GUARANTEE of business like the outfitters had, something my father did not have when he was outfitting and his business did just fine. He didn't lease property and he guided on public ground and back then there were no guaranteed tags he had no problem filling his bookings. Outfitters having guaranteed tags is no different than when a NR drives into Montana he is then directed to a specific hotel to stay at because all the Hotels are guaranteed a certain amount of business. Many, many outfitters did just fine for a long, long time before there were guranteed tags.
Second, I would be willing to bet most if not ALL of your Montana clients were initially in the public drawing for tags, then when they didn't draw they bought the outfitter guaranteed tags. These guys were drawing tags that I didn't draw to be able to go home and hunt with my family, then when they didn't get that tag, then and only then did they purchase their license through you. I would only agree with the guaranteed tags if your business had to purchase them up front for five years. No ands, if's or butts about it, these guaranteed tags allowed outfitters to lease property that normally would have been either hunted by the general public for nothing more than the price of asking. Also, you haven't necessarrily lost any clients at all, you've only lost the ones that don't happen to draw a tag. There was no law passed saying you can't take just as many hunters as before, the law simply removed your ability to guarantee as many clients as you want that they will get tags. With that loss of ability to guarantee as many clients as you may wish to take, your bets have to be hedged a bit more when it comes to just how much property you pay leases on up front.
Bearpaw, I in no way wish to see your business suffer, that is not what I am hoping for, being the son of a former outfitter I also have no qualms with guided hunters or with outfitters. But the guaranteed tags goes against any and all forms of free trade in a marketplace that is not socialist. :twocents: