Hunting Washington Forum
Community => Advocacy, Agencies, Access => Topic started by: SkookumHntr on January 08, 2010, 02:24:02 PM
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Reading a article in Northwest Sportsman about the change in are special permits application process sounds real bad! I was hoping that WDFW would be limiting hunt choices, from 4 to 2 or even better 1. The Article says they may try to up it to 8. Maybe I read this wrong but I see no help in draw odds coming and it looks worse to me :bash:
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come on your kidding right? :chuckle:
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It says something like you will be able to draw both Bull and cow and Buck and doe hunts instead of making you pick and just talks about wdfw creating more money for themselves, not helping draw odds one bit! I hope I'm missunderstanding this, but it sounds real Bad! :yike:
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Thats awful "if" its true...we had a simmular rumor a few days back. Now im starting to worry...S**T.
I can totally see them separating out the antlered draw from the antlerless draw....the odds on the antlered stuff will skyrocket....ugh
All for the almighty dollar..someone needs to pimp slap them for stealing our money. >:(
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WTF! Would be good to substantiate this or disprove it so we had time to SCREAM bloody murder.
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I just left a message with Dave Ware to see if he can give me the skinny on what there proposing. I doubt he calls me back but I hope he does.
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Better be changes to 1 or 2 choices. NOT 8
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i remember in the 80's the wdfw would allow you to buy an early archery tag,hunt the season, pay $15.50 for a modern tag, if unsuccessfull you could buy a late archery tag for $15.50 more. thats 46.50 for just your deer or elk tags. now include $6.00-$10.00 for special permits. i see this going the same way. just spoke to my brother and he told me a non-res deer tag in georgia was 26.95 for 12 deer. 4 bucks 8 does.
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This surprises you? WDFW manages MONEY, not game anymore. I hope this doesn't happen but I'm sure it will. Just think of the revenue this would create.
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I'd like to see the article. When I talked to DAve last month it sounded like buck and bull quality hunts would be limited to 2 choices, antlerless would remain at 4 as well as OIL. He did say the anterless drawing would be seperated from the quality buck/bull drawings so a guy could put in for both, but it would cost him twice, $5 per application.
Bag limit would remain one but if a person drew an antlerless as well as a buck/bull tag they could decide what one to use to fill their limit of 1.
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Don't mind the first part of what you said, though I'd love to see OIL go that route or more. BUT.....not seperate for doe or buck. That would again make draw odds worse because folks would be able to try for it what the heck. If you choose between the two then if you go antlerless becasue you want the meat, then you are out of the big game pools (better draw odds). Essentially what you are describing could be interpreted as 8 choices IF they kept it 4 each.
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I'd like to see the article. When I talked to DAve last month it sounded like buck and bull quality hunts would be limited to 2 choices, antlerless would remain at 4 as well as OIL. He did say the anterless drawing would be seperated from the quality buck/bull drawings so a guy could put in for both, but it would cost him twice, $5 per application.
Bag limit would remain one but if a person drew an antlerless as well as a buck/bull tag they could decide what one to use to fill their limit of 1.
Its in that sportsmans magazine that is by the cycle traders and stuff. Page 58
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In 10 yrs. the wolf population will have exploded and part of the plans to manage them to prevent livestock loss is remove hunting that kills the wolves food source. With that in mind all those points we have built up will go down the sewer. The one pack in the Methow Valley has exploded into multiple singles, doubles and one good sized pack. At this rate all those doubles will have a litter of pups next year and the Methow should have at least 4 packs in one year. They don't recognize it as being a pack until they have pups. So the singles, doubles and triples aren't counted. It appears that it's time to start looking to other states to go hunting. With the money spent on gambling on getting drawed over the years we could of saved enough money to go on a guided big bull elk guaranteed kill. I saw on the hunting channel you can go to Africa and kill a whole pile of animals for 6,000 and thats a guided hunt with lodging and food. A lot of us spend a thousand dollars on chaseing a cow elk around and usually don't get one, and too you gotta get drawn to get one. I've convinced myself and I'm going to another state. I've had it here.
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Tag pools
Buck and doe tags will be split up into different pools and so will bulls and cows. Possibly trophy bucks and bulls, but i don't remember for sure. No one will lose any of their existing deer or elk points as you get credit for all your points for deer on all the permit applications that you purchase. And for all your elk points on all elk permit applications that you purchase. This was discussed at the last Game Management Advisory Council meeting and will have to be approved by the game commission before going into effect.
Yes it is mostly a money move in my opinion.
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I wont be wasting 14 Pts. on a cow tag.
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If that happens, this could be the push that moves us to Oregon :yike:
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of course its driven by $$$$$. They desperately need more of it. Programming that would be a nightmare I would think.
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I guess I don't understand. if they gave 200 choices the guys the get drawn still only get the hunts that are available. if you put in for the shed and have 14 points and put a cow as a choice on your draw...and get a cow, that is your tough luck. I think it would get the big strappers out of the draw pool in a hurry.
am I seeing this wrong?
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yes your seeing it wrong. limiting your choices to say two hunts means you have to apply for the hunt you really want so your name isnt in the pot for say 8 other hunts, thus increasing draw odds.
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Limiting choices wouldn't always increase odds. It would increase for some permits, and decrease odds for other permits. There would still be the same number of permits and the same number of applicants, so overall the odds would stay the same. That's the way I see it anyway.
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Changes are coming....I hope they dont make it worse than it all ready is. :twocents:
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Limiting choices wouldn't always increase odds. It would increase for some permits, and decrease odds for other permits. There would still be the same number of permits and the same number of applicants, so overall the odds would stay the same. That's the way I see it anyway.
-Look at the draw summaries on the hunts you apply for, you will see how many tags get drawn as 3rd, 4th choices. Then you will understand how it will affect your hunts you apply for. The hunts I apply for get drawn 3rd and 4th choice all the time, Limiting choices will increase odds period! Giving 8 choices and being able to draw both Bull and cow permit both, that would be a complete disaster for are system!
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If I were you guys I would just stop putting in for permit hunts. That will show them! Spread the word!
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So they'll have a redraw after all the people that draw special buck/bull permits and doe/cow tags have to choose between the two and give one back, that will take forever. I've never understood why we can't model ours after some of these other states that seem to have their *censored* together.
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Limiting choices wouldn't always increase odds. It would increase for some permits, and decrease odds for other permits. There would still be the same number of permits and the same number of applicants, so overall the odds would stay the same. That's the way I see it anyway.
-Look at the draw summaries on the hunts you apply for, you will see how many tags get drawn as 3rd, 4th choices. Then you will understand how it will affect your hunts you apply for. The hunts I apply for get drawn 3rd and 4th choice all the time, Limiting choices will increase odds period!
I don't agree. Like I said, you will still have the same number of applicants and the same number of permits. Odds will not change, overall. Sure, some permits will end up with better odds, but other permits will be harder to draw. It all depends on how the change affects what people decide to apply for.
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I've never understood why we can't model ours after some of these other states that seem to have their *censored* together.
Our draw is modeled after Nevada's. And they seem to have their *censored* together.
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Limiting choices wouldn't always increase odds. It would increase for some permits, and decrease odds for other permits. There would still be the same number of permits and the same number of applicants, so overall the odds would stay the same. That's the way I see it anyway.
-Look at the draw summaries on the hunts you apply for, you will see how many tags get drawn as 3rd, 4th choices. Then you will understand how it will affect your hunts you apply for. The hunts I apply for get drawn 3rd and 4th choice all the time, Limiting choices will increase odds period!
I don't agree. Like I said, you will still have the same number of applicants and the same number of permits. Odds will not change, overall. Sure, some permits will end up with better odds, but other permits will be harder to draw. It all depends on how the change affects what people decide to apply for.
Your not understanding the point of less choices, limiting choices means every hunt will have less names in the hat for them. Makes people narrow down what to apply for and gives the points system a chance to actually work.
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If I were you guys I would just stop putting in for permit hunts. That will show them! Spread the word!
Even better, quit buying any licenses or hunting in Washington PERIOD! Show those greedy *censored*s and don't give them ONE THIN DIME.
I salute your integrity and admire your stand on principal; I am inferior, so will keep hunting in WA, but will be deeply ashamed way down inside.
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-But ya bobcat, bottem line, around the same # of permits and same # of applicants so hard to say how much benifit on draw odds it would have but less choices is less times peoples names are in the hat :twocents:
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Your not understanding the point of less choices, limiting choices means every hunt will have less names in the hat for them. Makes people narrow down what to apply for and gives the points system a chance to actually work.
But the point system does work. Just the way it is. As I said, sure some of the permits would have better odds, and some would not. It's just wishful thinking on your part if you think your odds will suddenly get better by decreasing the number of choices. I'm not against reducing the number of choices. I would be fine with it if we only had one choice. I just don't think that people would all of a sudden start drawing permits just because they only had one choice. Again, overall odds will remain the same. The only way to really increase the odds would be to increase the cost of applying. They could also have a 2 or 3 year waiting period after drawing a permit.
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If we had Idaho or New mexico's system our odds would be exponentially better...there would be less money for WDFW though.
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If we had Idaho or New mexico's system our odds would be exponentially better...there would be less money for WDFW though.
I'd be all for that. I'm not sure how much money they would lose. People would still apply for special permits. But now that we've got the point system we're stuck with it.
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The big difference between Nevada and washington's system is that almost all if not all of the hunting in Nevada is by permit only so people have to decide if they want to hunt every year or hold out for that "one hunt". Washington has OTC tags so there is no disincentive to hold out for the primo tags and thats why people with 10+ points are a dime a dozen here.
4 choices is 3 too many and we should have to pick one of the OIL. .
If these changes were made it will also mean less revenue and less WDFW employees and thats why it will never happen. WDFW is more concerned with its own jobs program than it is with quality big game hunting.
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Why would it make for less revenue to reduce the number of choices on an application ??? Are you thinking that some people would just stop applying if they could only have one choice?
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Im talking about changing the number of species that you could apply for or eliminating points all together. Its really crappy that they have decided that the purpose of the draws are to enhance revenue...
Without points lots of people will just skip washington every year especially if they like hunting out of state...and that = less in licence sales and better odds for those that really want the tags.
Ive bought all of my deer and elk tags several seasons and not used them just so I could build points...I would definitely skip on deer and elk if I wasn't trying to keep up with the Joneses..
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Well, I don't mind the WDFW doing what they need to do to bring in enough revenue to support the agency. I'm not sure the point system is for that reason though. I think they started a point system because people asked for it.
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yeah. sounds kinda like a crazy idea but hey we'll see what they slum together for 2010 hunting season
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I base my choices on how many points I have. if I have 0 or 1 I shoot for easier to draw tags. after a few build up, I go all in. I could care less about all but about two or three units.
what will piss me off is if they change it to eliminate points and then return to a points system.
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If that happened after a decade and a half of building points I think some people would be alittle pissed.
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they won't get rid of the points, no worries on that. What we need to do something about is the OIL species to increase draw odds on those.
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they won't get rid of the points, no worries on that. What we need to do something about is the OIL species to increase draw odds on those.
yeah, like once you draw one OIL tag you are grounded for 10 years on the others.......good idea ridge.
LOL
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Without points lots of people will just skip washington every year especially if they like hunting out of state...and that = less in licence sales and better odds for those that really want the tags.
Won't be to many years down the road and folks will be skipping Washington altogether. Lets see a count of how many people plan on deer hunting in the Methow Valley this year? Forty some wolves have been discovered on the res, from what I heard the Indians will be taking care of them in the near future. The Methow has many wolves now and will have many more come spring and so will the rest of Washington. I guess hunters in Washington will be supporting the wdfw wolf program right up till it turns into one great big park. :(
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I was at the GMAC meeting last month when Dave Ware briefed them on the permit change. Essentially, you will have 4 anter choices and 4 anterless choices, and earn/loose points separately. Meaning if you get drawn for an anterless hunt, you don't loose all the points you have accumulated on the anter permits.
And yes, it is about getting more money.
They are offering 15 more raffle deer tags this year. It is actually only 5 tags, but with this tag you will be able to take a whitetail, blacktail, and mule deer; so they figure that is 15 possible tags.
It was unbeleiveable the amount of money they bring in from these raffle and auction tags.
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I'm trying to see what you are saying Bobcat, but I don't. When limited, it makes people be more selective for what they choose. Say for elk........there are 4 blues tags available rifle rut. I choose two of them, not all 4. My name is out of the running for the 3rd and 4th tag.
deer rifle. There are 4 methow units available, or 3 or 4 chelan units. I have to choose which two I want. If I miss being drawn for those two, I am out where I could pull my 3rd or 4th try, thus increasing the chance for the applicants for those 3rd or 4th choices.
In some ways it does decrease your chance of a select unit as you have to put all your eggs in one basket. If that is what you are meaning. I am for 1st choice ONLY until all 1st choice applicants are done. That system ROCKS. It MAKES people put in for the unit they want, instead of 4 choices and then coming on here and saying I drew ALTA, can someone point out on a map where it IS.
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Limiting choices wouldn't always increase odds. It would increase for some permits, and decrease odds for other permits. There would still be the same number of permits and the same number of applicants, so overall the odds would stay the same. That's the way I see it anyway.
-Look at the draw summaries on the hunts you apply for, you will see how many tags get drawn as 3rd, 4th choices. Then you will understand how it will affect your hunts you apply for. The hunts I apply for get drawn 3rd and 4th choice all the time, Limiting choices will increase odds period! Giving 8 choices and being able to draw both Bull and cow permit both, that would be a complete disaster for are system!
You are wrong.
It will only up the odds on certain hunts. Some peope only apply for one unit. It is their first and only choice.
Others are drawn for that unit as a 3rd or 4th choice. If there are only two choices they won't apply and that works in favor of those with only one or two choices.
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I was at the GMAC meeting last month when Dave Ware briefed them on the permit change. Essentially, you will have 4 anter choices and 4 anterless choices, and earn/loose points separately. Meaning if you get drawn for an anterless hunt, you don't loose all the points you have accumulated on the anter permits.
And yes, it is about getting more money.
They are offering 15 more raffle deer tags this year. It is actually only 5 tags, but with this tag you will be able to take a whitetail, blacktail, and mule deer; so they figure that is 15 possible tags.
It was unbeleiveable the amount of money they bring in from these raffle and auction tags.
That is just unbelievable! The worst draw system in the country looks like its going to get way worse! I cant believe it :bash:
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I'm trying to see what you are saying Bobcat, but I don't. When limited, it makes people be more selective for what they choose. Say for elk........there are 4 blues tags available rifle rut. I choose two of them, not all 4. My name is out of the running for the 3rd and 4th tag.
deer rifle. There are 4 methow units available, or 3 or 4 chelan units. I have to choose which two I want. If I miss being drawn for those two, I am out where I could pull my 3rd or 4th try, thus increasing the chance for the applicants for those 3rd or 4th choices.
In some ways it does decrease your chance of a select unit as you have to put all your eggs in one basket. If that is what you are meaning. I am for 1st choice ONLY until all 1st choice applicants are done. That system ROCKS. It MAKES people put in for the unit they want, instead of 4 choices and then coming on here and saying I drew ALTA, can someone point out on a map where it IS.
Here is what I saw, first hand, over the years.
The Quinault bull hunt has had 5 permits for many years. Used to be rifle guys in with the general archery season in Sept.
You applied for a permit and if you weren't drawn you missed out on the first few days of the season. There were about 80 applicants every year.
Up the choices to 4 and immediately the the applicants went up over 350 for the same 5 permits and eventually the hunt was moved to October.
When the unit went to AHE the applicant total went down about 80 again. Now after a few years (and losing the Margaret AHE permit) the number of applicants is over 150.
It is not a big bull unit per say so most people put it as a third or fourth choice "hail mary" bull hunt. And many get it. Beating out those who only apply for that unit. Over the years I have seen many of the permits go to third or fourth choices and seen those same people online in a panic because they put in "for something to do".
If one third of the people want it as a third or fourth choice and F&G change it to two choices my odds go from 1 in 30 to 1 in 20. That is huge.
Make the people choose and some unit odds will go up and others will decrease.
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I was at the GMAC meeting last month when Dave Ware briefed them on the permit change. Essentially, you will have 4 anter choices and 4 anterless choices, and earn/loose points separately. Meaning if you get drawn for an anterless hunt, you don't loose all the points you have accumulated on the anter permits.
And yes, it is about getting more money.
They are offering 15 more raffle deer tags this year. It is actually only 5 tags, but with this tag you will be able to take a whitetail, blacktail, and mule deer; so they figure that is 15 possible tags.
It was unbeleiveable the amount of money they bring in from these raffle and auction tags.
Crap! :bash:
So now my $5 deer permit application will cost me $10 (if they don't raise the price) if I want to apply for antlered and antlerless hunts?
What if I get drawn for both? I am sure it would be my choice which to fill (but not both) so now there will be less permits available for other applicants?
Where do my current points go? Do I get to appoint them or do they get split between the two?
Not expecting answers. Just venting.
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I'm trying to see what you are saying Bobcat, but I don't. When limited, it makes people be more selective for what they choose. Say for elk........there are 4 blues tags available rifle rut. I choose two of them, not all 4. My name is out of the running for the 3rd and 4th tag.
deer rifle. There are 4 methow units available, or 3 or 4 chelan units. I have to choose which two I want. If I miss being drawn for those two, I am out where I could pull my 3rd or 4th try, thus increasing the chance for the applicants for those 3rd or 4th choices.
In some ways it does decrease your chance of a select unit as you have to put all your eggs in one basket. If that is what you are meaning. I am for 1st choice ONLY until all 1st choice applicants are done. That system ROCKS. It MAKES people put in for the unit they want, instead of 4 choices and then coming on here and saying I drew ALTA, can someone point out on a map where it IS.
What I'm saying is that overall odds should stay the same, no matter how many choices on the application. Look at it this way. There was 48,274 people who applied for a special elk permit last year. There were 6,946 special permits issued. Odds would be about 1 in 7, meaning that 1 out of 7 people that applied for an elk permit was successful in drawing one. All I am saying, basically, is that if the number of permits and the number of people applying stays the same, the overall odds of 1 in 7 should stay the same.
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What if I get drawn for both? I am sure it would be my choice which to fill (but not both) so now there will be less permits available for other applicants?
In the past they have had doe tags available, that if you were drawn you could purchase a second deer tag to use with that doe tag. I think that may be the reason behind having the two different pools. They weren't getting enough applicants for these second tag doe permits because people didn't want to use their points on a doe tag. Now that you don't have to use your points that you've been saving up for a buck tag, applying for these doe tags could be a good option. Only thing is I'm not sure how many they'll have, if any, because it seems most of them were in the NE part of the state, and I think the last couple of winters have taken care of any excess deer that may have been present over there.
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What we need to do is to back 20 or 30 years ago when we bought an OTC any buck deer and/or any bull elk tag. All you had to put in for was a doe/cow tag. Draw problem solved! Just shorten the general seasons and let us shoot any buck/bull we want. It worked great for years and years until the WDFW learned that they could get all that revenue from special permit apps. They tell us "sure you can't hunt elk, but only a spike, you'll have to buy special permit apps for the next 10 years if you want a big one."
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You guys that keep saying they do the special permits just for the money, I don't think so. If they needed more money they could just raise license and tag fees.
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I guess it depends how you want to look at the figures. I see x amount of hats with 4 names in them and I see the same amount hats with two choices or names in them. To me that would most likely increase my odds. Think of elk alone. Do you put your name in the hat with one choice only (blues tag) for that monster bull, or do you put it in there, in the next blues tag, one in the clock and one in the Yakima.
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or do both........
If they needed more money they could just raise license and tag fees.
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don't give them ideas like we expect it or they will. Better they just cut some of the funding to that online services vendor.
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Boneaddict, Well I guess we will never find out, since it sounds like we're still going to have 4 choices.
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yea that won't change until the current policy is up in what 3 years.
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Well, they told us to expect changes to the draw system this year but apparently the changes are not to decrease choices but rather just to make separate pools for antlerless permits.
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which will make odds even worse, because all those names that were being put into hats(the antlerless ones)...now they will be going into the antlered ones AND antlerless ones. Then to top it off if they get drawn for both, get to choose. Then what a second and third drawing like the multiseason tags........
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I guess it depends how you want to look at the figures. I see x amount of hats with 4 names in them and I see the same amount hats with two choices or names in them. To me that would most likely increase my odds. Think of elk alone. Do you put your name in the hat with one choice only (blues tag) for that monster bull, or do you put it in there, in the next blues tag, one in the clock and one in the Yakima.
Thats exactly how I see it too bone, pretty odvious to me, less names in the hat means better draw odds! I dont see how thats hard to understand, sure some hunts wont change much and it makes people really decide what they want!
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If I were you guys I would just stop putting in for permit hunts. That will show them! Spread the word!
Even better, quit buying any licenses or hunting in Washington PERIOD! Show those greedy *censored*s and don't give them ONE THIN DIME.
I salute your integrity and admire your stand on principal; I am inferior, so will keep hunting in WA, but will be deeply ashamed way down inside.
DOUBLELUNG, I too am inferior so I will keep hunting and applying in WA. But the rest of you, Please stop applying for permit hunts or better yet stop hunting in WA all together like DOUBLELUNG said.
You have to make a stand and show them you won't take it anymore!!! Spread the word!!!!
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I guess it depends how you want to look at the figures. I see x amount of hats with 4 names in them and I see the same amount hats with two choices or names in them. To me that would most likely increase my odds. Think of elk alone. Do you put your name in the hat with one choice only (blues tag) for that monster bull, or do you put it in there, in the next blues tag, one in the clock and one in the Yakima.
Thats exactly how I see it too bone, pretty odvious to me, less names in the hat means better draw odds! I dont see how thats hard to understand, sure some hunts wont change much and it makes people really decide what they want!
But it wouldn't be less names in the hat. The real popular permits like Desert and Entiat mule deer could possibly become much more difficult to draw if choices were reduced, as many people might then only apply for the top hunts. It's obvious to me that some permits would become easier to draw, while others became more difficult. Chaning the number of choices wouldn't necessarily make the draw "better" or more fair, it would just make it different.
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Yes it is less names in the hat. When you see entiat 50 permits, 5000apps, the 5000 includes 3rd and 4th choice applicants. eliminate 3rd and 4th choice and the 5000 goes down, thus better draw odds. Sure people may change what is 1 and 2 but bottem line less names in the hat. I cant put it any clearer.
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I can't say it any clearer either. Same number of applicants overall, and the same number of permits, equals same overall odds. Some permits will be better odds, others worse.
The thing is you don't know if that 5000 number will go down. Maybe all those people will still choose Entiat as #1 choice.
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How it is now is same # applicants times 4! Limit the choices to 2 then its that # of applicants times 2 if its 2 choices! that equals way less applicants. :bash:
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You don't get it. Take a statistics course. That may help.
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I give up. Think what ya want
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:chuckle: :lol4:
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:yike:
I can remember when you bought your $5 hunting license and you were allowed to go get a bull, a buck, etc and there were no tags or permits to buy and you hunted anywhere in the state you wanted ... and you could hunt with a bow in September, gun in Oct, muzzleloader in Nov, and bow again in Dec/Jan. And there were general either sex late seasons open for everyone to boot.
:bash:
Then you had to start buying tags for the species you wanted to hunt, and if you also wanted to use a bow and/or muzzleloaders you had to buy a special permit to use those addition weapons.
And then they started making you choose what weapon, choose what side of the state to hunt, get special permits, etc. And if there were say 125 permits for a hunt/unit, you put in for that one hunt and only that hunt (no 2nd, 3rd, or 4th choices). I also remember that it wasn't split 10 ways to Sunday (ie: 25 youth, 25 over 65, 25 disabled, 25 AHE, 25 regular, etc) and everyone had an equal chance each year no matter what (nor how many points you had accumulated).
:dunno:
And here's the capper ... there were lots more hunters and lots more game for those hunters. Is WDFW making it better for us? Do they have a clue as what to do for the hunter to improve the opportunties? I sometimes wonder ... at least I can afford the time and money to go to other states now if I so choose.
:twocents:
Thanks WDFW !!!!
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:yike:
I can remember when you bought your $5 hunting license and you were allowed to go get a bull, a buck, etc and there were no tags or permits to buy and you hunted anywhere in the state you wanted ... and you could hunt with a bow in September, gun in Oct, muzzleloader in Nov, and bow again in Dec/Jan. And there were general either sex late seasons open for everyone to boot.
:bash:
Then you had to start buying tags for the species you wanted to hunt, and if you also wanted to use a bow and/or muzzleloaders you had to buy a special permit to use those addition weapons.
And then they started making you choose what weapon, choose what side of the state to hunt, get special permits, etc. And if there were say 125 permits for a hunt/unit, you put in for that one hunt and only that hunt (no 2nd, 3rd, or 4th choices). I also remember that it wasn't split 10 ways to Sunday (ie: 25 youth, 25 over 65, 25 disabled, 25 AHE, 25 regular, etc) and everyone had an equal chance each year no matter what (nor how many points you had accumulated).
:dunno:
And here's the capper ... there were lots more hunters and lots more game for those hunters. Is WDFW making it better for us? Do they have a clue as what to do for the hunter to improve the opportunties? I sometimes wonder ... at least I can afford the time and money to go to other states now if I so choose.
:twocents:
Thanks WDFW !!!!
Wow!! You are really old!!!!! :yike:
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I can remember when we had no other choice than to hunt with a bow (gun ? what's a gun)! I been hunting here long enough to have moss covering my entire northside ....
:chuckle:
Been hunting here since I was a wee lad (44+ years) ... :bdid:
... mostly with good success ... however long enough to see it tons better !!!
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I don't understand him either Skookum. he is saying 5,000 applicants for x amount of permits, the 5,000 including 3rd and 4th choices. Take those away and its 2500 right there. SOOoooooo if all 2500 of those choose the entiat, then I will be the only one applying in the Methow. My odds increase. The way the current system is, those same number of applicants can apply to the Entiat and the Methow AND THE DESERT. :)
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and for the record, I took statistics in college. :chuckle:
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But boneaddict, we don't know what people would do if they were only allowed 1 or 2 choices. It could be that if people only had 1 choice, they wouldn't apply for the Entiat, knowing it is one of the most popular mule deer permits, and maybe the majority would then only apply for your Methow permits, making your odds worse. That's all I've been saying all along, is we don't know how odds would change for each permit. Some would be better odds, some worse. But overall, odds would stay exactly the same.
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Statistics would show that if you had 4 chances at choosing unit A versus one chance, then you'd be statistically 4 times likely to have a name in Hat A.
If there were a total of 15 hats and you had 4 names to put into one of those hats, statistically you'd be more likely to have a name put into one of your hats. :)
This is especially true if you are already seeking one unit to hunt.
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Somewhere between the Unit A and hat A, you lost me. I guess we must have had different statistics classes. Oh well, it makes no difference, as it sounds like they're staying with the 4 choices, but adding another 4 for the antlerless pool.
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But boneaddict, we don't know what people would do if they were only allowed 1 or 2 choices. It could be that if people only had 1 choice, they wouldn't apply for the Entiat, knowing it is one of the most popular mule deer permits, and maybe the majority would then only apply for your Methow permits, making your odds worse. That's all I've been saying all along, is we don't know how odds would change for each permit. Some would be better odds, some worse. But overall, odds would stay exactly the same.
I agree. We don't know what others will apply for, but we do know that some units will recieve less applicants. Those units could change year by year depending on harvest statistics.
Like I said before, I saw a units applicants more then triple the year they went to 4 choices.
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Hey Bobcat, you might as well just give up on these guys. You know what comedian Ron White says..... :chuckle:
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This has been an entertaining read, I think if choices were limited then what Bobcat is saying would come true, and for teh record I have been advocating limiting your choice to OIL species since before I drew a moose tag. I'm sure you can find a dozen posts of mine to that effect, what I'd like to see before that is making us front the tag fees or increase the cost to apply. $$$$ for the state and better odds for us serious about those tags.
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Its statistically improbable that any unit would have worse odds... YAWN