Hunting Washington Forum
Big Game Hunting => Other Big Game => Topic started by: Black Ghost on June 20, 2010, 10:28:25 PM
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You can see the results after you answer the poll question. I am just curious, how heavy the bonus points totals are toward the upper end for moose oil tag.
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10 points, missed one year.
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13
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5 for me
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14 after this years draw
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I also missed one year, I have 14.
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7
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13 here for both antlerless and any moose. If all holds up I will have an antlerless MOOSE tag this year. I just have to wait and see.......... tic toc tic toc
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13
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Max point without bonus .13-14 ? , Stuffer you should just guide for sheep .
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I actually drew it a couple of years ago. I had 12 or 13 points.
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I'll be rollin in next year with 14.
MS
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6 for me, got a late start
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I drew last year, had 9 points going into the applications, +1 for last years app when I drew.
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13 this year.
Just a matter of time !
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My Gramps pulled a Mt.Spokane cow moose tag with 15 points this year. Gonna have to start studying maps and talking to the Bio. over there.
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I drew a Three Forks any moose tag this year with 11 points. Even with 11 points I really beat the odds.
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draw hangman with 10 two years ago, keep applying the hunt is worth it.
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I drew a Three Forks any moose tag this year with 11 points. Even with 11 points I really beat the odds.
Moose Eyes....I have a hunting cabin in that unit and know it pretty well. Have seen some pretty nice bulls there as well (cows too.). Let me know if I can help point you in a direction. Devin (NWBREW)
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14 points for
Any Moose
Antlerless Moose
Moose 65 and Over
Moose Disabled
Odds have to be getting better :chuckle: :chuckle:
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I drew a Three Forks any moose tag this year with 11 points. Even with 11 points I really beat the odds.
Moose Eyes....I have a hunting cabin in that unit and know it pretty well. Have seen some pretty nice bulls there as well (cows too.). Let me know if I can help point you in a direction. Devin (NWBREW)
Message sent. Thanks!
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Wow, about 20% have 13 plus points ouch!!!! I think I have 6?
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mine doesnt even show up nor the points :dunno: :dunno:
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6 for me, got a late start
Same here. Damn Army... :chuckle:
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I have 15 points but so do alot of other people. Its kind of like algebra that just cancels each other out when you cross the equal sign.
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Ohh kind of like you can do it on one side as long as you do it on the other side?
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Ya, like that. I put in an application with 15 points and someone else puts in an application with 15 points and we cancel each other out and some guy with 6 points ends up getting a tag.
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So...some quick math.
If there are 1000 people that put in for one tag. If everyone that puts in averages 5 points each, add the "multiplier"
25 X 1000 is 25,000 names in the hat. If you have 10 points, that puts your name in the hat 100 times of the 25,000 total.
That gives you a 1 in 250 chance in getting drawn with 10 points?
If I did my math right, why do people freak out when they have 15 points and haven't been drawn yet?
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8 points. Nothing yet.
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why do people freak out when they have 15 points and haven't been drawn yet?
I think you just answered your own question.
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This point system guarantees nothing. Even with max points, you're still lucky to draw.
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Nine point for me. Hopefully it happens soon! :drool:
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I drew 49 in '08 w/10 points.
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I had 15, drew the selkirk
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I'm due soon 13
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This point system guarantees nothing. Even with max points, you're still lucky to draw.
My thoughts exactly..............but I'll still keep trying till I get drawn........or die. :chuckle:
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I could hear WDFW snickering and rubbing their hands together when they took my money with 6 points... :(
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These results are interesting, the results appear to be pretty split all the way across.
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Even with 20 years worth of points I figure our odds are less than 25:1 in any given year. Like they said, you just gotta get lucky.
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So...some quick math.
If there are 1000 people that put in for one tag. If everyone that puts in averages 5 points each, add the "multiplier"
25 X 1000 is 25,000 names in the hat. If you have 10 points, that puts your name in the hat 100 times of the 25,000 total.
That gives you a 1 in 250 chance in getting drawn with 10 points?
If I did my math right, why do people freak out when they have 15 points and haven't been drawn yet?
For moose, there are 78 bull permits instead of one, and more like 50,000 total applications instead of 1,000. Everyone gets four choices, so divide the 50,000 by 4 and you wind up with 12,500 hunters for 78 permits. So 25 x 12,500 = 312,500 total numbers in the hat. 78 tags, so for each tag there's approximately 4,000 names in the hat. You have 100 numbers with your 10 points, so your odds should be around 1:40. Someone with 15 points (225 chances in hat) should be around 1:17. Add in their 15 points for sheep and goat, and someone with 15 points for each should be drawing around 1:10 blended odds each year for all three species. Definitely no guarantees there, but there's still gonna be some serious disappointment each year when they don't draw.
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I could hear WDFW snickering and rubbing their hands together when they took my money with 6 points... :(
Golly- they must still be laughing at my 3... :chuckle:
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In '08 there were 26 Bull tags in the 49 unit. 14,000 applied that year for those 26 tags. I don't know where they came up w/that number because of the 4 choices. I know more then 14,000 applied for moose tags. Was this number from there first choice? BTW, 49 was my first choice that year.
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And you drew it?
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It means 14,000 people had 49 Degrees North as one of their four choices.