Post by: heavy hauler on May 19, 2011, 07:51:02 PM
Post by: Webfoot on May 19, 2011, 08:02:29 PM
John
Post by: fair-chase on May 19, 2011, 08:06:06 PM
Post by: deerdog on May 19, 2011, 08:14:33 PM
Post by: bowsandhose on May 19, 2011, 08:18:06 PM
Post by: Huntbear on May 19, 2011, 08:20:02 PM
I will get my cow tag this year.. lol... Hoping for my quality deer...
Post by: benhuntin on May 19, 2011, 08:22:08 PM
Post by: bobcat on May 19, 2011, 08:36:15 PM
Post by: rotty33 on May 19, 2011, 08:59:23 PM
Post by: heavy hauler on May 19, 2011, 09:04:26 PM
Post by: steelhead13 on May 19, 2011, 09:16:44 PM
Post by: bobcat on May 19, 2011, 09:19:34 PM
Post by: rosscrazyelk on May 19, 2011, 09:26:43 PM
Post by: alecvg on May 19, 2011, 09:27:42 PM
Post by: WDFW Hates ME!!! on May 19, 2011, 09:37:01 PM
Points for quality and antlerless.
Hopeing for Deer... COuld care less if it is Buck or Quality.
Post by: bobcat on May 19, 2011, 09:52:18 PM
Only thing I did the points option for was the multi-season elk.
I'm sure glad people do that though- makes my chances a lot better. :IBCOOL:
Post by: Camp David on May 19, 2011, 09:58:02 PM
Post by: carpsniperg2 on May 19, 2011, 10:48:03 PM
Post by: smartazz171 on May 20, 2011, 01:02:15 AM
Post by: trophyhunt on May 20, 2011, 05:18:05 AM
After 16 years of NOT SELECTED I don't even think about it.I'm in the same boat as you, except I'm definetly thinking about it. It's too bad our odds still are very bad with 16 points.
John
Post by: arrowflinger on May 20, 2011, 06:00:55 AM
Post by: pianoman9701 on May 20, 2011, 07:27:44 AM
Post by: grundy53 on May 20, 2011, 08:04:47 AM
Post by: Lucky Eric on May 20, 2011, 08:25:08 AM
Post by: 7mag. on May 21, 2011, 10:55:14 AM
Post by: Alan K on May 21, 2011, 11:08:00 AM
Post by: longknife on May 21, 2011, 12:13:20 PM
Its kinda odd how she loves it more than me already, without bagging anything yet!!!
Took her with me archery hunting, when she was 11. Had wounded a doe, tracked her, and hit her in the neck with my 2nd shot. The doe dropped, and started screamming! Told my daughter to look away, and plug her ears. (her first time watching me kill an animal)
She lifts her head, and says "Why dad,,,YOU NAILED HER!!"
Post by: Ridgerunner on May 21, 2011, 12:25:51 PM
Post by: jjhunter on May 21, 2011, 12:29:54 PM
Post by: rebal69972 on May 21, 2011, 04:54:54 PM
Post by: Ridgeratt on May 21, 2011, 05:27:27 PM
Points? Man I'm in for everything this year. No points option for me.
Only thing I did the points option for was the multi-season elk.
I'm sure glad people do that though- makes my chances a lot better. :IBCOOL:
Wow a few days ago you were the biggest Naysayer and Dooms Dayer on here!
Now your as giddy as a high school girl going to the prom. :dunno:
I ghosted everything but a quality Deer. So I can be a scout for my hunting's buddy
Multi-elk tag.
Who knows he may just get lucky now and then.
Post by: bobcat on May 21, 2011, 05:53:12 PM
Points? Man I'm in for everything this year. No points option for me.
Only thing I did the points option for was the multi-season elk.
I'm sure glad people do that though- makes my chances a lot better. :IBCOOL:
Wow a few days ago you were the biggest Naysayer and Dooms Dayer on here!
Now your as giddy as a high school girl going to the prom. :dunno:
I ghosted everything but a quality Deer. So I can be a scout for my hunting's buddy
Multi-elk tag.
Who knows he may just get lucky now and then.
Not sure exactly what you're talking about, but I do try to point out the true odds on some of these special permits, when people start talking like just because they have 10 points, drawing the permit they want should be guaranteed. The thing is, I apply for the hunts with the best odds of drawing, so I feel like I do have a chance. Other people always pick nothing but the hunts with the worst odds, and then wonder why they haven't drawn anything in 15 years.
Oh, and if I seem to be "giddy" it's because I am! This is the best time of the year for me. I'm like a kid at Christmas time, just waiting to find out what this hunting season has in store for me. I'm pretty certain that between my dad, uncle, brother, and I, that one of us is going to draw a good hunt. At the minimum, a good cow elk hunt. So I'm definitely anticipating meat in the freezer this year. So I'm really looking forward to that, since the last time I put elk meat in the freezer was three years ago. I can't afford to do any out of state hunts, so this is all I've got.
Post by: Ridgerunner on May 21, 2011, 06:18:03 PM
Post by: Wea300mag on May 21, 2011, 06:41:00 PM
Post by: D-Rock425 on May 22, 2011, 07:01:25 AM
Post by: YoterHunter on May 22, 2011, 07:07:04 AM
Post by: piledup on May 22, 2011, 07:39:46 AM
Post by: bobcat on May 22, 2011, 08:20:18 AM
I think it could be my dads year he has 8 points for archery elk. I would think he should be getting close to drawing he put in for peaches ridge and observatory
His odds with 8 points are 71% for Observatory, and 33% for Peaches Ridge.
Post by: OlympicElkJunkie on May 22, 2011, 08:53:45 AM
Post by: STIKNSTRINGBOW on May 22, 2011, 10:42:33 AM
I decided to take a crack at the new archery bull tag in Skokomish this year. Have no idea what the odds are since it is a new tag, but I'm feeling lucky! I have no idea what to expect on that hunt but will certainly do my best to do it justice should I have the good fortune to draw it.I applied for that also, but with only 3pts.. :dunno:
some lucky dogs gonna win it !!
Post by: Alan K on May 22, 2011, 11:00:09 AM
Post by: link on May 22, 2011, 08:27:36 PM
I never get my hopes up for the draws in this state. I have been pretty lucky in the past though. I drew a goat tag in 99, with just a point or two. I drew peaches ridge bull tag twice in four years, first time rifle with 5 points and then the muzzy tag with 4 points. No luck with deer though.
Post by: bobcat on May 22, 2011, 09:14:10 PM
I know its been on here before, but how do you find your odds taking into account everyones points? Just curious what my odds are for the late desert rifle buck hunt with 14 points.
You have to know the number of applicants from the year before, and the number of points they each had. It's complicated, but the Excel spreadsheet I have shows odds of 1% for the Desert permit with 14 points.
Post by: Elkstuffer on May 22, 2011, 09:32:52 PM
Good luck to everyone else. I hope you all get what you put in for!
Post by: carpsniperg2 on May 22, 2011, 09:35:15 PM
Post by: Rhinoron247 on May 23, 2011, 11:55:30 AM
Have been pts only for 12 years for both of us on the moose, goat, sheep tags. So this year we are opening a moose option. Fingers crossed.
Post by: huntnnw on May 24, 2011, 11:44:27 PM
Post by: sled on May 25, 2011, 12:25:21 AM
What about the odds of 9 points for muzzy observatory, and tanuem Elk?I know its been on here before, but how do you find your odds taking into account everyones points? Just curious what my odds are for the late desert rifle buck hunt with 14 points.
You have to know the number of applicants from the year before, and the number of points they each had. It's complicated, but the Excel spreadsheet I have shows odds of 1% for the Desert permit with 14 points.
Post by: bobcat on May 25, 2011, 12:42:02 AM
Peaches Ridge- 13%
Post by: wlandrum on May 25, 2011, 06:26:09 AM
Post by: trophyhunt on May 25, 2011, 06:30:45 AM
I think it could be my dads year he has 8 points for archery elk. I would think he should be getting close to drawing he put in for peaches ridge and observatoryMy dad had 11 points last year for the same archery elk tag and didn't draw. My cousin had 2 points and drew. I hope your dad draws, my dad is a disabled hunter and he puts in for the disabled little naches tag with way less people in it and he still hasn't drawn that with 11 points.
Post by: jackmaster on May 25, 2011, 06:39:11 AM
Post by: Kowsrule30 on May 25, 2011, 11:17:41 AM
Post by: C-Money on May 25, 2011, 11:23:08 AM
Post by: HUNT on May 25, 2011, 11:27:04 AM
Post by: hunter-4-life on May 25, 2011, 11:30:39 AM
Post by: jstone on May 25, 2011, 03:30:35 PM
Post by: Pathfinder101 on May 25, 2011, 03:50:33 PM
Problem is that I just started a new job (teaching high school), and September is about the worst month to try to take any time off, so I'll be going after school and weekends if I draw. That "funny feeling" I have may be dread.
Feels like if I draw this year I am either going to end up fired, or eating tag soup... ;)
3 points for Antelope in Montana. Good God. Had no idea that it was that damn hard to get a speedgoat tag there... :bash: I better draw this year or I am going to spend my summer picketing FWP headquarters in Helena... >:(
Post by: Woodchuck on May 25, 2011, 04:13:51 PM
Post by: Bigshooter on May 25, 2011, 05:31:36 PM
Can you tell me the odds of drawing a Margaret or Toutle bull muzzy tag is? And the same for cows? With 7pts.
Thanks
Post by: grundy53 on May 25, 2011, 07:09:52 PM
I am feeling lucky this year and if I am right I will be having a new hat made 8)
Out of @$$? :tung: :chuckle: :chuckle:
Post by: bobcat on May 25, 2011, 10:59:57 PM
Bobcat,
Can you tell me the odds of drawing a Margaret or Toutle bull muzzy tag is? And the same for cows? With 7pts.
Thanks
Toutle bull: 20%
Margaret bull: 4%
Toutle cow: 59%
Margaret cow: 49%
Post by: Bigshooter on May 26, 2011, 10:10:52 AM
Post by: Pathfinder101 on May 26, 2011, 10:13:54 AM
I am feeling lucky this year and if I am right I will be having a new hat made 8)
:chuckle: :chuckle:
Post by: Woodchuck on May 26, 2011, 10:19:53 AM
absolutely :chuckle:I am feeling lucky this year and if I am right I will be having a new hat made 8)
Out of @$$? :tung: :chuckle: :chuckle: