collapse

Advertisement


Author Topic: Predictions for hunting 10/29-30 & 11/5-6  (Read 1824 times)

Offline ArroyoS

  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Pilgrim
  • *
  • Join Date: May 2021
  • Posts: 6
  • Location: Port Orchard
Predictions for hunting 10/29-30 & 11/5-6
« on: October 24, 2022, 09:23:30 PM »
So I've done some research on waterfowl hunting and wonder if any of it has legs to stand on.... I watch the weather in Alaska & Alberta (where most birds for pacific flyway come from) and see that this week of 10/24/22 is going to have a slight dip in temp and then drastic dip in temp early next week (week of 10/31/22).

 Has anyone used this method to predict the influx of new birds in their hunting areas? If so, is this an accurate way of judging arrival of new birds a few days after those drop in temps/weather changes (snow storms or heavy rains, etc)?
(I understand scouting, the day before, is usually key to see where they actually are in your area.)

Offline h2ofowlr

  • CHOKED UP TIGHT
  • Political & Covid-19 Topics
  • Trade Count: (+5)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Dec 2008
  • Posts: 9120
  • Location: In the "Blind"! Go Cougs!
Re: Predictions for hunting 10/29-30 & 11/5-6
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2022, 09:58:00 PM »
I look at the weather up north every week.  As the freeze line pushes down, you know it's going to get birds moving.  It usually initiates migrations almost like clockwork.  This has worked good for me living in NW Washington.  We saw a lot of new birds moving into the area the past few days as well.
Cut em!
It's not the shells!  It's the shooter!

Online metlhead

  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Feb 2014
  • Posts: 1671
  • Location: sw wa
Re: Predictions for hunting 10/29-30 & 11/5-6
« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2022, 10:22:30 AM »
In general, northern weather moves birds south. For practical  use, watching weather that far north is just something to waste time. So many factors between those birds and us. Some never leave, some find evrything they need on an estuary that is halfway. Many are already here. Know your hunt areas well and you will be consistent from the opener through February. Local weather is more important. Just my observation through the years.

Offline ArroyoS

  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Pilgrim
  • *
  • Join Date: May 2021
  • Posts: 6
  • Location: Port Orchard
Re: Predictions for hunting 10/29-30 & 11/5-6
« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2022, 02:54:25 PM »
Thank you both for your insight.

Offline Stein

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+11)
  • Explorer
  • ******
  • Join Date: Sep 2013
  • Posts: 12916
  • Location: Arlington
Re: Predictions for hunting 10/29-30 & 11/5-6
« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2022, 03:25:30 PM »
For me, it's hit and miss, but the guys above are much more knowledgeable.  The thing about Western WA is there are ponds and bays and fields with feed virtually the entire way down and they can short stop you anywhere, or go right by.  I was scratching my head one year and we went up to BC around Christmas for a vacation and rode Amtrak.  A short distance above where I hunt the bays had tens of thousands of ducks as far as you could see just loafing around.  For whatever reason they didn't come down any further.  Three days later on the way back, those bays were empty and my area had some, but the majority apparently just kept going.  The weather didn't change at all or get even close to freezing for that time period.

Offline h2ofowlr

  • CHOKED UP TIGHT
  • Political & Covid-19 Topics
  • Trade Count: (+5)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Dec 2008
  • Posts: 9120
  • Location: In the "Blind"! Go Cougs!
Re: Predictions for hunting 10/29-30 & 11/5-6
« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2022, 04:28:33 PM »
Being in NW Washington we short stop a lot of birds.  Lots of hunting clubs from Snohomish north that plant lots of food for birds.  Lots of farmland in Skagit Valley and Whatcom.  We have birds that bounce back and forth from Fraser Valley BC to Padilla, Samish and Fir Island.  Hunting Lynden, Everson, Ferndale areas the ducks and geese bounce back and forth from B.C. to Washington.  Watch your local weather which I check daily and I check weather up north to see what’s coming.  Weather up north directly effects big migration pushes in our area.  If you look up harvest data between Whatcom, Skagit and Snohomish they harvest close to 100K birds.  Definitely where a majority of them hangout in western WA.
Cut em!
It's not the shells!  It's the shooter!

 


* Advertisement

* Recent Topics

Cowiche Quality Buck by Nwgunner
[Today at 08:55:00 PM]


MA-10 Coho by WAcoueshunter
[Today at 08:50:46 PM]


Is FS70 open? by CarbonHunter
[Today at 08:09:04 PM]


Getting back into dogs by Machias
[Today at 08:06:38 PM]


AKC lab puppies! Born 06/10/2025 follow as they grow!!! by scottfrick
[Today at 07:57:31 PM]


Muzzy Mission Quality!!! by NOCK NOCK
[Today at 07:49:11 PM]


Idaho 2025 Controlled Hunts by fc2038
[Today at 07:47:20 PM]


Basin elk by acrocker
[Today at 06:53:15 PM]


Bow mount trolling motors by Badhabit
[Today at 06:27:53 PM]


Nooksack Archery Tag by LongBomb
[Today at 05:48:19 PM]


Colockum Archery Bull Tag by Smittyk44
[Today at 04:23:53 PM]


49 degrees north late Moose tag by Buzzsaw461
[Today at 04:11:52 PM]


I'm Going To Need Karl To Come up With That 290 Muley Sunscreen Bug Spray Combo by BULLBLASTER
[Today at 03:53:35 PM]


Mature bulls during late season? by Pete112288
[Today at 03:51:08 PM]


best draw for moose unit wise by deadwoodbuck
[Today at 03:29:03 PM]


Stillaguamish 448 QD rifle tag by Hi-Liter
[Today at 03:23:47 PM]


Vashon Island deer tag by bowhunter_1
[Today at 02:59:43 PM]


2025 OILS! by jackelope
[Today at 01:47:31 PM]


Big J's Powder list by BigJs Outdoor Store
[Today at 12:59:31 PM]


FFL preferences or warnings in Olympia or south Sound area? by Knocker of rocks
[Today at 11:07:04 AM]

SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2025, SimplePortal