Moose Draw Odds - 2012

[Bob33]

Bob,
I think I'm even more depressed...

Thx

If we can get more hunters depressed, our odds increase.

[Dan-o]

After reading thru this thread, I can't wait to be pleasantly surprised when I draw later this year....

[boneaddict]

I think we need to enlist Sheldon to help us with the math on this to come up what our real odds are with these OIL draws.    Then again, it might be better we just don't know.

[carpsniperg2]

Dang sad for us young pups I think I have 7 for each right now. Just have to get lucky, which in the oil draws is the only way to get a tag

[boneaddict]

In real time, there isn't that much difference between 20 years and 7 Carp.   That's how messed up these point/draw systems are.   

[carpsniperg2]

I know, it's all about luck. 2 of my family members have drawn a moose tag with 1 point and 7 points

[coachcw]

I feel good about this year !

[boneaddict]

You have enough Karma points, you should be able to pull a Henrys Mule deer or sheep tag.

[coachcw]

well i'm not buying to many raffle tag apps !

[coachcw]

There's not enough karma tags to go around here !

[boneaddict]

There's not enough karma tags to go around here !

ISN'T that the truth.   

[Ridgerunner]

Ouch, I have a feeling I have used up all my luck on OIL tags after reviewing those odds.

[boneaddict]

I'd almost bet you have a higher probablility than most.  It seems like the computer gliches out on some numbers and reproduces it more than others.  Lots of heresay or urban legend about folks drawing and drawing and drawing, while others never draw. 

[Bwana Bob]

Ouch, I have a feeling I have used up all my luck on OIL tags after reviewing those odds.
Yes you have RR and that goes for Deer, goat and Elk. No meed to apply this year, save that money for your Dall sheep hunt.

[Bwana Bob]

What even more depressing is being 63yr old and knowing even with 17-18 points I may never draw while I'm still able to hunt. The flip side to this, I could be dead by now, the bright side, I drew a goat tag in 1992.