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Author Topic: Conviction Rates of Cops vs. Armed Citizens per John Lott  (Read 1344 times)

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Conviction Rates of Cops vs. Armed Citizens per John Lott
« on: February 24, 2015, 11:02:09 AM »
Cops and Armed Citizens – Comparing Conviction Rates: A recent study provides numbers on police convictions over a three year period from January 1, 2005 through December 31, 2007. While their numbers underestimate the number of crimes for which police are convicted [sic] given that they depend upon media coverage of those cases, their raw data serves as a useful starting point for analyzing the behavior of permit holders. First let’s convert their number into a crime rate by police. Note that there were 569,149 full-time law enforcement employees in 2006. With about 703 police crimes per year, there was a rate of 124 per hundred thousand full-time law enforcement employees... For a comparison with concealed handgun permit holders, the rate of police facing weapons violations is of particular interest. .02% = 118/569,149. Compare that to firearms violations of concealed handgun permit holders in Florida. Between October 1, 1987 and January 31, 2011, there were 168 revocations [sic] for firearms related violations in Florida (after January 31, 2011 Florida stopped breaking out the firearms related violations by themselves). Over that period of time permits were issued to over 2 million permit holders. 168/2 million = 0.008%. But that isn’t really a fair comparison for permit holders because the violation rate for officers is an annual rate and the rate for permit holders is over the entire period of time. In a 2011 Fox News piece, John Lott provided this calculation: “Over the last 38 months, only four permit holders have had their permit revoked for a firearms related violation – an annual revocation rate of 0.0003%. . . . So putting the police numbers at an annual rate gives you a rate of 0.01%. Both 0.01% or 0.0003% are both extremely low and the violations might not be comparable in that the private individuals might run into problems that a police officer (even one off duty might not run into), but the rate for police is still 23 times higher...

http://crimepreventionresearchcenter.org/2015/02/comparing-conviction-rates-between-police-and-concealed-carry-permit-holders/

 


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