Free: Contests & Raffles.
It's like a marathon that when you see the finish line they keep moving it another half mile further until you're just walking down the road cussing and kicking rocks.
very simple idea is that each year the "value" of a point decreases and thus each year, even though you gain a point, your odds don't increase at the same rate.
Well said, perhaps you are applying for a tag that took 5 points to draw the first year, the next year it takes 6, or 8 whatever the demand drives it up to. That is point creep where the "finish" line keeps getting moved and it feels like you wont reach it.
BC, you're a CPA its not that hard to figure out.
Quote from: vandeman17 on April 10, 2015, 02:40:21 PMvery simple idea is that each year the "value" of a point decreases and thus each year, even though you gain a point, your odds don't increase at the same rate.So its about diminishing returns to scale? Add a point this year and next year I have X% better odds, but then add a point next year and the following year I only have +0.75X% marginally better odds? If I saw a spreadsheet I'm sure my disturbed mind could make sense of it. Then it would be simple enough for a Bean Counter to understand