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Author Topic: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018  (Read 17936 times)

Offline Johnny Doe

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Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« on: September 28, 2018, 11:42:49 AM »
I know this is usually reserved for a "winter" activity, my curiosity got the best of me.  I was looking at a the odds/applicant stats for a couple of tags that family members drew this year and I was blown away by how many people applied for certain hunts this year in comparison to last!  We are talking 10x the number of applicants for certain tags  :yike:  A little more investigation shows that overall applicants (quality elk) went from 25,376 in 2017 to 31,587 in 2018...Was everyone asleep last year?? :dunno:

Figured I would get the ball rolling on this one even though the season is far from over!!!  I know there are a few other guys on here that enjoy toying with the stats.  What say you?
Even a blind squirrel finds a nut now and again!

Offline Mr Mykiss

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2018, 12:17:01 PM »
I think 31,000 is roughly the number of applications that Mountain View will have next year...
It is hard to follow one great vision in a world of darkness and of many changing shadows. Among these shadows men get lost.
-Black Elk

Offline X-Force

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2018, 12:22:48 PM »
I think 31,000 is roughly the number of applications that Mountain View will have next year...

I know that’s what I’m applying for... me and my whole family. Coastie caravan!
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Offline bobcat

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2018, 12:24:22 PM »
Are you sure you're looking at the correct numbers, as they haven't even put up the 2018 drawing results summary yet.

Offline bobcat

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2018, 12:26:43 PM »
Never mind. I just looked again and while the link is titled 2017 Drawing Result Summaries, it is in fact the 2018 summary.

Offline BULLBLASTER

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2018, 12:35:37 PM »
I think 31,000 is roughly the number of applications that Mountain View will have next year...
That’s a train I won’t be jumping on.  :chuckle:

That place chewed me up and spit me out a few years ago and I don’t need a repeat.  :tung:

Offline OltHunter

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2018, 12:56:22 PM »
So here's the deal - the 2018 31,587 is including points only applications.  The 2017 link does not include them.

2018 Point only 6,503.  31,587 - 6,503 = 25,084.

https://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2018.php - Quality Elk applicants - 25,084
https://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2017.php - Quality Elk applicants - 25,376
https://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2016.php - Quality Elk applicants - 32,652

So there was actually a drop in overall applicants applying for Quality elk tags and 23% drop overall from 2016. 

Consistent with the 2016 winter kill, 50% reduction for Yakima herd, I'm sure more and more are doing points options, while others drop off and head out of state.

I did pull the PDF details into excel and there was still a large increase in the points pool compared to 2017...point creep is a killer!  Yakima's were up around 50%.  Blues were up around 100%.  With the cut in tags, the Blue's probably were more favorable a few percentage points so i'm sure a few Yakima hunters on the edge put their odds with the Blues tags. 



Offline Johnny Doe

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2018, 01:04:05 PM »
So here's the deal - the 2018 31,587 is including points only applications.  The 2017 link does not include them.

2018 Point only 6,503.  31,587 - 6,503 = 25,084.

https://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2018.php - Quality Elk applicants - 25,084
https://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2017.php - Quality Elk applicants - 25,376
https://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/permits/results/points/2016.php - Quality Elk applicants - 32,652

So there was actually a drop in overall applicants applying for Quality elk tags and 23% drop overall from 2016. 

Consistent with the 2016 winter kill, 50% reduction for Yakima herd, I'm sure more and more are doing points options, while others drop off and head out of state.

I did pull the PDF details into excel and there was still a large increase in the points pool compared to 2017...point creep is a killer!  Yakima's were up around 50%.  Blues were up around 100%.  With the cut in tags, the Blue's probably were more favorable a few percentage points so i'm sure a few Yakima hunters on the edge put their odds with the Blues tags.

That's what I was looking for!  Thank's OltHunter!! 

What I still find crazy is the number of applicants on a few choice Blue's hunts went up exponentially!
Example: 2017 Wenaha W. Rifle had 435 Applicants
              2018 Wenaha W. Rifle had 1548 Applicants    :yike:

This was the same in several other units that I looked at??
Even a blind squirrel finds a nut now and again!

Online Reidus

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2018, 01:40:29 PM »
Is there a big bull in the Rimrock during rifle season that I didn't know about?

Offline X-Force

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2018, 02:33:35 PM »
Man I want those application numbers to be increasing by at least the number they are currently decreasing
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Offline Mr Mykiss

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2018, 03:01:19 PM »
That’s the deal...if applications are increasing everywhere, shouldn’t they be decreasing somewhere else?
It is hard to follow one great vision in a world of darkness and of many changing shadows. Among these shadows men get lost.
-Black Elk

Offline Mr Mykiss

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2018, 03:02:36 PM »
In the meantime I say WDFW just creates a unit called “North Mountain View” and “East Colockum”...that should draw some apps :hello:
It is hard to follow one great vision in a world of darkness and of many changing shadows. Among these shadows men get lost.
-Black Elk

Offline B4noon

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2018, 03:15:24 PM »
Moose,sheep, and goat saw the same increases

Offline Shawn Ryan

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #13 on: September 28, 2018, 03:38:22 PM »
I think 31,000 is roughly the number of applications that Mountain View will have next year...

Can I claim any part of a kickback from the State for contributing to any increase in app fees?  I need to fund my San Carlos Apache Res hunt.

Online Reidus

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Re: Quality Elk Applicants in 2018
« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2018, 03:55:06 PM »
I think 31,000 is roughly the number of applications that Mountain View will have next year...

Can I claim any part of a kickback from the State for contributing to any increase in app fees?  I need to fund my San Carlos Apache Res hunt.

Isn't the wait list for that like 1k people long?

 


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