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Author Topic: GoHunt to publish WA odds  (Read 32654 times)

Offline Rainier10

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #105 on: March 18, 2019, 02:32:45 PM »
Well I am going to be done with the draw in this state.  I drew two tags two years ago and last year both of my kids drew two tags each.  The system is flawed, I didn't draw anything last year.

I am planning to win the powerball jackpot this week.  I have been playing the same numbers since the drawing came to Washington.  Basically I have put in my time to the drawing and there is no possible way I can not win it this week.  Heck I have drawn more elusive tags in Washington than winning jackpot numbers.

Technically with the number of tickets I have purchased I should have won this past weekend but obviously my math was wrong on calculating the true odds of winning.  They are certainly in my favor this week.

 :chuckle:
Pain is temporary, achieving the goal is worth it.

I didn't say it would be easy, I said it would be worth it.

Every father should remember that one day his children will follow his example instead of his advice.


The views and opinions expressed in this post are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of HuntWa or the site owner.

Offline Matth

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #106 on: March 18, 2019, 02:38:31 PM »
Well I am going to be done with the draw in this state.  I drew two tags two years ago and last year both of my kids drew two tags each.  The system is flawed, I didn't draw anything last year.

I am planning to win the powerball jackpot this week.  I have been playing the same numbers since the drawing came to Washington.  Basically I have put in my time to the drawing and there is no possible way I can not win it this week.  Heck I have drawn more elusive tags in Washington than winning jackpot numbers.

Technically with the number of tickets I have purchased I should have won this past weekend but obviously my math was wrong on calculating the true odds of winning.  They are certainly in my favor this week.

 :chuckle:

This cracks me up, but the funnier part of this entire statement is, i believe there is a lot of these kinds of conversations happening.

Offline Rainier10

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #107 on: March 18, 2019, 02:55:55 PM »
Well I am going to be done with the draw in this state.  I drew two tags two years ago and last year both of my kids drew two tags each.  The system is flawed, I didn't draw anything last year.

I am planning to win the powerball jackpot this week.  I have been playing the same numbers since the drawing came to Washington.  Basically I have put in my time to the drawing and there is no possible way I can not win it this week.  Heck I have drawn more elusive tags in Washington than winning jackpot numbers.

Technically with the number of tickets I have purchased I should have won this past weekend but obviously my math was wrong on calculating the true odds of winning.  They are certainly in my favor this week.

 :chuckle:

This cracks me up, but the funnier part of this entire statement is, i believe there is a lot of these kinds of conversations happening.
I totally agree.  The draw odds for really good tags in this state are slim to none.  I believe most have better odds of being in a car crash then drawing one of the great tags.

If you just want to draw a permit in this state I am thinking most can do it every 5 years if they put in for the right combination of unit, animal, sex and method of harvest.

Drawing a special permit is a bonus and even with that bonus there is no guarantee of taking an animal.

I had the colockum archery bull tag two years ago.  I had an awesome hunt and ate the tag.  Did I have an awesome time? Yep.  Did I have opportunity? You bet.  Did I see other hunters? You bet.  Did my opportunities get screwed up by other hunters, wind or errors by me?  Yes, yes and yes.  Do I get a do over?  Nope.  Name goes back in the hat and maybe I draw I with one point or have to wait another 20 years.  There is no guarantee of anything.

I will admit that the stupid point multiplier technically makes it tougher every year for the new hunters or the guys that drew the year before to draw again but in reality the odds of drawing with max points or one point aren't very good for the premium hunts.

I highly doubt there is anyone putting in for a peaches ridges cow elk tag that has max points and still can't draw.  How many people come on here and say "man I put in for whitetail doe for the 10th year in a row and still can't get drawn."?  The multiplier probably helps on these hunts because there are less people putting in for them and more tags given out.

Jackelope drew a goat tag with 9 points.  And there are a ton of guys with max points just shaking their heads.  It happens.
Pain is temporary, achieving the goal is worth it.

I didn't say it would be easy, I said it would be worth it.

Every father should remember that one day his children will follow his example instead of his advice.


The views and opinions expressed in this post are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of HuntWa or the site owner.

Offline Rainier10

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #108 on: March 18, 2019, 03:12:06 PM »
Now to get the topic back on track I am super excited to see what they think the draw odds are in this state.

I am assuming that they will only publish the odds for the tough tags, OIL stuff, prestigious elk and deer hunts.

Nobody cares what the true draw odds are of blacktail on Vashon Island.
Pain is temporary, achieving the goal is worth it.

I didn't say it would be easy, I said it would be worth it.

Every father should remember that one day his children will follow his example instead of his advice.


The views and opinions expressed in this post are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of HuntWa or the site owner.

Offline Matth

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #109 on: March 18, 2019, 03:12:14 PM »
Well I am going to be done with the draw in this state.  I drew two tags two years ago and last year both of my kids drew two tags each.  The system is flawed, I didn't draw anything last year.

I am planning to win the powerball jackpot this week.  I have been playing the same numbers since the drawing came to Washington.  Basically I have put in my time to the drawing and there is no possible way I can not win it this week.  Heck I have drawn more elusive tags in Washington than winning jackpot numbers.

Technically with the number of tickets I have purchased I should have won this past weekend but obviously my math was wrong on calculating the true odds of winning.  They are certainly in my favor this week.

 :chuckle:

This cracks me up, but the funnier part of this entire statement is, i believe there is a lot of these kinds of conversations happening.
I totally agree.  The draw odds for really good tags in this state are slim to none.  I believe most have better odds of being in a car crash then drawing one of the great tags.

If you just want to draw a permit in this state I am thinking most can do it every 5 years if they put in for the right combination of unit, animal, sex and method of harvest.

Drawing a special permit is a bonus and even with that bonus there is no guarantee of taking an animal.

I had the colockum archery bull tag two years ago.  I had an awesome hunt and ate the tag.  Did I have an awesome time? Yep.  Did I have opportunity? You bet.  Did I see other hunters? You bet.  Did my opportunities get screwed up by other hunters, wind or errors by me?  Yes, yes and yes.  Do I get a do over?  Nope.  Name goes back in the hat and maybe I draw I with one point or have to wait another 20 years.  There is no guarantee of anything.

I will admit that the stupid point multiplier technically makes it tougher every year for the new hunters or the guys that drew the year before to draw again but in reality the odds of drawing with max points or one point aren't very good for the premium hunts.

I highly doubt there is anyone putting in for a peaches ridges cow elk tag that has max points and still can't draw.  How many people come on here and say "man I put in for whitetail doe for the 10th year in a row and still can't get drawn."?  The multiplier probably helps on these hunts because there are less people putting in for them and more tags given out.

Jackelope drew a goat tag with 9 points.  And there are a ton of guys with max points just shaking their heads.  It happens.
:yeah:
Spoken like a true realist. I have managed to save up 13 antler less elk points, and i'll tell you why. I have a 12 year old son that will be hunting his first elk season this coming November, and what better way to get him hooked on elk hunting than to hopefully draw him a cow tag, and get him some of that instant success. If it happens great, if not there is always next year, i guess he will just half to shoot a bull.

Offline grundy53

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #110 on: March 18, 2019, 04:58:09 PM »
Now to get the topic back on track I am super excited to see what they think the draw odds are in this state.

I am assuming that they will only publish the odds for the tough tags, OIL stuff, prestigious elk and deer hunts.

Nobody cares what the true draw odds are of blacktail on Vashon Island.
I doubt it. Every other state they do all antlered draws. I don't see why they wouldn't here. Plus I think I heard they are working on antlerless draws for all the states they cover.

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Offline MtnMuley

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #111 on: March 18, 2019, 05:02:02 PM »
It's hard enough for me to remember all the info and areas of all the other western states I apply in. I can't imagine being an outsider trying to figure out our mess. :chuckle:

Offline JWEBB

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #112 on: March 18, 2019, 11:18:41 PM »
Well I am going to be done with the draw in this state.  I drew two tags two years ago and last year both of my kids drew two tags each.  The system is flawed, I didn't draw anything last year.

I am planning to win the powerball jackpot this week.  I have been playing the same numbers since the drawing came to Washington.  Basically I have put in my time to the drawing and there is no possible way I can not win it this week.  Heck I have drawn more elusive tags in Washington than winning jackpot numbers.

Technically with the number of tickets I have purchased I should have won this past weekend but obviously my math was wrong on calculating the true odds of winning.  They are certainly in my favor this week.

 :chuckle:

This cracks me up, but the funnier part of this entire statement is, i believe there is a lot of these kinds of conversations happening.
I totally agree.  The draw odds for really good tags in this state are slim to none.  I believe most have better odds of being in a car crash then drawing one of the great tags.

If you just want to draw a permit in this state I am thinking most can do it every 5 years if they put in for the right combination of unit, animal, sex and method of harvest.

Drawing a special permit is a bonus and even with that bonus there is no guarantee of taking an animal.

I had the colockum archery bull tag two years ago.  I had an awesome hunt and ate the tag.  Did I have an awesome time? Yep.  Did I have opportunity? You bet.  Did I see other hunters? You bet.  Did my opportunities get screwed up by other hunters, wind or errors by me?  Yes, yes and yes.  Do I get a do over?  Nope.  Name goes back in the hat and maybe I draw I with one point or have to wait another 20 years.  There is no guarantee of anything.

I will admit that the stupid point multiplier technically makes it tougher every year for the new hunters or the guys that drew the year before to draw again but in reality the odds of drawing with max points or one point aren't very good for the premium hunts.

I highly doubt there is anyone putting in for a peaches ridges cow elk tag that has max points and still can't draw.  How many people come on here and say "man I put in for whitetail doe for the 10th year in a row and still can't get drawn."?  The multiplier probably helps on these hunts because there are less people putting in for them and more tags given out.

Jackelope drew a goat tag with 9 points.  And there are a ton of guys with max points just shaking their heads.  It happens.
:yeah:
Spoken like a true realist. I have managed to save up 13 antler less elk points, and i'll tell you why. I have a 12 year old son that will be hunting his first elk season this coming November, and what better way to get him hooked on elk hunting than to hopefully draw him a cow tag, and get him some of that instant success. If it happens great, if not there is always next year, i guess he will just half to shoot a bull.


Sounds like a good plan! I drew antlerless last season with 12 points for the hardest draw unit in the state. Was a s$*%¥ show but I made it happen on day 4. My 6 year old was pretty stoked
Improvise, Adapt, Overcome

Offline Matth

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #113 on: March 19, 2019, 09:02:06 AM »
Well I am going to be done with the draw in this state.  I drew two tags two years ago and last year both of my kids drew two tags each.  The system is flawed, I didn't draw anything last year.

I am planning to win the powerball jackpot this week.  I have been playing the same numbers since the drawing came to Washington.  Basically I have put in my time to the drawing and there is no possible way I can not win it this week.  Heck I have drawn more elusive tags in Washington than winning jackpot numbers.

Technically with the number of tickets I have purchased I should have won this past weekend but obviously my math was wrong on calculating the true odds of winning.  They are certainly in my favor this week.

 :chuckle:

This cracks me up, but the funnier part of this entire statement is, i believe there is a lot of these kinds of conversations happening.
I totally agree.  The draw odds for really good tags in this state are slim to none.  I believe most have better odds of being in a car crash then drawing one of the great tags.

If you just want to draw a permit in this state I am thinking most can do it every 5 years if they put in for the right combination of unit, animal, sex and method of harvest.

Drawing a special permit is a bonus and even with that bonus there is no guarantee of taking an animal.

I had the colockum archery bull tag two years ago.  I had an awesome hunt and ate the tag.  Did I have an awesome time? Yep.  Did I have opportunity? You bet.  Did I see other hunters? You bet.  Did my opportunities get screwed up by other hunters, wind or errors by me?  Yes, yes and yes.  Do I get a do over?  Nope.  Name goes back in the hat and maybe I draw I with one point or have to wait another 20 years.  There is no guarantee of anything.

I will admit that the stupid point multiplier technically makes it tougher every year for the new hunters or the guys that drew the year before to draw again but in reality the odds of drawing with max points or one point aren't very good for the premium hunts.

I highly doubt there is anyone putting in for a peaches ridges cow elk tag that has max points and still can't draw.  How many people come on here and say "man I put in for whitetail doe for the 10th year in a row and still can't get drawn."?  The multiplier probably helps on these hunts because there are less people putting in for them and more tags given out.

Jackelope drew a goat tag with 9 points.  And there are a ton of guys with max points just shaking their heads.  It happens.
:yeah:
Spoken like a true realist. I have managed to save up 13 antler less elk points, and i'll tell you why. I have a 12 year old son that will be hunting his first elk season this coming November, and what better way to get him hooked on elk hunting than to hopefully draw him a cow tag, and get him some of that instant success. If it happens great, if not there is always next year, i guess he will just half to shoot a bull.


Sounds like a good plan! I drew antlerless last season with 12 points for the hardest draw unit in the state. Was a s$*%¥ show but I made it happen on day 4. My 6 year old was pretty stoked

I wish i could just gift him my points, we will be putting in for one of the local ones around here. I just don't like the idea of putting in together, and taking a tag away from someone that wants it.

Offline HoofsandWings

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #114 on: March 19, 2019, 11:40:23 AM »
Knowing the odds works best when you apply for the 4 best odds, regardless of the location.
Just so nobody applies the same way, include a favorite permit location and randomize the other 3.
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Offline WSU

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #115 on: March 19, 2019, 12:04:50 PM »
I have a bunch of buck tag points.  I put in for points every year and should have over ten by the time my two sons are hunting.  Then we'll put in for the palouse hunt and go stack up the whitetails.  Best use of the points I could think of!

Offline HoofsandWings

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #116 on: March 19, 2019, 02:55:09 PM »
I have a bunch of buck tag points.  I put in for points every year and should have over ten by the time my two sons are hunting.  Then we'll put in for the palouse hunt and go stack up the whitetails.  Best use of the points I could think of!

As soon as they are eligible for points start them submitting each year. Maybe as a group. If so, you should include yourself.
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Offline WSU

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #117 on: March 19, 2019, 03:01:20 PM »
I will but they have to be licensed to do it for deer.  I put them in for moose and things that they can put in for already.

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #118 on: March 19, 2019, 04:43:35 PM »
I will but they have to be licensed to do it for deer.  I put them in for moose and things that they can put in for already.
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Offline JWEBB

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Re: GoHunt to publish WA odds
« Reply #119 on: March 19, 2019, 08:03:28 PM »
Well I am going to be done with the draw in this state.  I drew two tags two years ago and last year both of my kids drew two tags each.  The system is flawed, I didn't draw anything last year.

I am planning to win the powerball jackpot this week.  I have been playing the same numbers since the drawing came to Washington.  Basically I have put in my time to the drawing and there is no possible way I can not win it this week.  Heck I have drawn more elusive tags in Washington than winning jackpot numbers.

Technically with the number of tickets I have purchased I should have won this past weekend but obviously my math was wrong on calculating the true odds of winning.  They are certainly in my favor this week.

 :chuckle:

This cracks me up, but the funnier part of this entire statement is, i believe there is a lot of these kinds of conversations happening.
I totally agree.  The draw odds for really good tags in this state are slim to none.  I believe most have better odds of being in a car crash then drawing one of the great tags.

If you just want to draw a permit in this state I am thinking most can do it every 5 years if they put in for the right combination of unit, animal, sex and method of harvest.

Drawing a special permit is a bonus and even with that bonus there is no guarantee of taking an animal.

I had the colockum archery bull tag two years ago.  I had an awesome hunt and ate the tag.  Did I have an awesome time? Yep.  Did I have opportunity? You bet.  Did I see other hunters? You bet.  Did my opportunities get screwed up by other hunters, wind or errors by me?  Yes, yes and yes.  Do I get a do over?  Nope.  Name goes back in the hat and maybe I draw I with one point or have to wait another 20 years.  There is no guarantee of anything.

I will admit that the stupid point multiplier technically makes it tougher every year for the new hunters or the guys that drew the year before to draw again but in reality the odds of drawing with max points or one point aren't very good for the premium hunts.

I highly doubt there is anyone putting in for a peaches ridges cow elk tag that has max points and still can't draw.  How many people come on here and say "man I put in for whitetail doe for the 10th year in a row and still can't get drawn."?  The multiplier probably helps on these hunts because there are less people putting in for them and more tags given out.

Jackelope drew a goat tag with 9 points.  And there are a ton of guys with max points just shaking their heads.  It happens.
:yeah:
Spoken like a true realist. I have managed to save up 13 antler less elk points, and i'll tell you why. I have a 12 year old son that will be hunting his first elk season this coming November, and what better way to get him hooked on elk hunting than to hopefully draw him a cow tag, and get him some of that instant success. If it happens great, if not there is always next year, i guess he will just half to shoot a bull.


Sounds like a good plan! I drew antlerless last season with 12 points for the hardest draw unit in the state. Was a s$*%¥ show but I made it happen on day 4. My 6 year old was pretty stoked

I wish i could just gift him my points, we will be putting in for one of the local ones around here. I just don't like the idea of putting in together, and taking a tag away from someone that wants it.

Yeah that would be nice. I wish wdfw would allow you to transfer points to immediate family
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