Almost time to find out if you drew an OIL TAG

[Bango skank]

I already know i didnt.  9 pts for moose, not a chance.

I drew my goat tag with 9. There's always a chance.

Yeah, theres a chance, otherwise i wouldnt put in,  but lets just say im not practicing my moose calling in anticipation.

[jackelope]

We'd have better odds if we were limited to one OIL choice per year.

 

[Bango skank]

We'd have better odds if we were limited to one OIL choice per year.

 

I do my part in that.  I dont apply for sheep or goat.  It just doesnt interest me.  I also dont apply for any quality permits.

[Matth]

I already know i didnt.  9 pts for moose, not a chance.

My hunting partner drew his 49 moose tag with 7 two years ago

[Pathfinder101]

Tagging

[grundy53]

I feel like with the OIL permits 1 point or max points your odds are relatively the same.

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[bowtech]

South Chelan

[huntnnw]

with the sheer numbers of applicants for the OIL tags points mean nothing in WA when you have thousands with 1-6 points and lots with 15 plus everyone has a chance

[MADMAX]

or a lot of us with 20 plus,

[bobcat]

with the sheer numbers of applicants for the OIL tags points mean nothing in WA when you have thousands with 1-6 points and lots with 15 plus everyone has a chance

Yes, everyone does have a chance but it's wrong to say points mean nothing. Just look at the average points of people who drew tags. For bull moose, right out of the pamphlet, here are the averages: 17, 12, 13, 13, 16, 15, 16, 16, 16, 14, 10, 16, 14, and 17.

[Bango skank]

with the sheer numbers of applicants for the OIL tags points mean nothing in WA when you have thousands with 1-6 points and lots with 15 plus everyone has a chance

Yes, everyone does have a chance but it's wrong to say points mean nothing. Just look at the average points of people who drew tags. For bull moose, right out of the pamphlet, here are the averages: 17, 12, 13, 13, 16, 15, 16, 16, 16, 14, 10, 16, 14, and 17.

My understanding is that the avg points shown in the pamphlet arent avg points of those who drew, but avg points of all applicants

[bobcat]

with the sheer numbers of applicants for the OIL tags points mean nothing in WA when you have thousands with 1-6 points and lots with 15 plus everyone has a chance

Yes, everyone does have a chance but it's wrong to say points mean nothing. Just look at the average points of people who drew tags. For bull moose, right out of the pamphlet, here are the averages: 17, 12, 13, 13, 16, 15, 16, 16, 16, 14, 10, 16, 14, and 17.

My understanding is that the avg points shown in the pamphlet arent avg points of those who drew, but avg points of all applicants

No, it's "average winner points." If you look online you'll see that's what they call it there. And you can verify by looking at the pdf's that list the points of all who drew.

[bearpaw]

with the sheer numbers of applicants for the OIL tags points mean nothing in WA when you have thousands with 1-6 points and lots with 15 plus everyone has a chance

Yes, everyone does have a chance but it's wrong to say points mean nothing. Just look at the average points of people who drew tags. For bull moose, right out of the pamphlet, here are the averages: 17, 12, 13, 13, 16, 15, 16, 16, 16, 14, 10, 16, 14, and 17.

You are correct, it makes odds quite a bit higher if you have more points because points are squared.

[grundy53]

with the sheer numbers of applicants for the OIL tags points mean nothing in WA when you have thousands with 1-6 points and lots with 15 plus everyone has a chance

Yes, everyone does have a chance but it's wrong to say points mean nothing. Just look at the average points of people who drew tags. For bull moose, right out of the pamphlet, here are the averages: 17, 12, 13, 13, 16, 15, 16, 16, 16, 14, 10, 16, 14, and 17.

Guy with 26 points draws and a guy with 1 point draws. That would be 13 points average. But not really telling the whole story. When there are very few tags average points don't mean anything. They should use mean instead.

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[bobcat]

with the sheer numbers of applicants for the OIL tags points mean nothing in WA when you have thousands with 1-6 points and lots with 15 plus everyone has a chance

Yes, everyone does have a chance but it's wrong to say points mean nothing. Just look at the average points of people who drew tags. For bull moose, right out of the pamphlet, here are the averages: 17, 12, 13, 13, 16, 15, 16, 16, 16, 14, 10, 16, 14, and 17.

Guy with 26 points draws and a guy with 1 point draws. That would be 13 points average. But not really telling the whole story. When there are very few tags average points don't mean anything. They should use mean instead.

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Yes, I understand what you're saying, but if you look at the actual numbers, very few people draw moose, sheep, and goat tags with less than, say, 10 points. You'll see a lot more people selected with 15 points and up, even though the number of applicants with those higher point totals are much less. So the points certainly make a difference. Just think, 23 points gives a person 529 chances while 5 points only 25 chances.