Those are real numbers and your chance to actually draw a tag now is really scarce. You can look at it in two ways. When you had to front the cash it really discouraged people from applying. This method was great if you could afford it, but was using money as a way to discourage some from hunting, which is never really a good thing. However, now that it is affordable and for everyone, it really makes it a lottos chance in heck to draw.