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Author Topic: Moose special permit  (Read 10381 times)

Offline Black Ghost

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Moose special permit
« on: June 20, 2010, 10:28:25 PM »
You can see the results after you answer the poll question.  I am just curious, how heavy the bonus points totals are toward the upper end for moose oil tag. 

Offline lokidog

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2010, 10:51:31 PM »
10 points, missed one year.

Offline 6x6in6

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2010, 10:53:22 PM »
13

Offline carpsniperg2

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2010, 10:56:31 PM »
5 for me
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Offline d_wilson

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2010, 10:58:02 PM »
14 after this years draw

Offline bobcat

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #5 on: June 20, 2010, 11:02:04 PM »
I also missed one year, I have 14.

Offline bowhunterforever

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #6 on: June 20, 2010, 11:15:10 PM »
7
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Offline fc2038

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #7 on: June 21, 2010, 01:56:47 AM »
13 here for both antlerless and any moose. If all holds up I will have an antlerless MOOSE tag this year. I just have to wait and see.......... tic toc tic toc

Offline Elkstuffer

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #8 on: June 21, 2010, 09:19:43 AM »
13
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Offline coachcw

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #9 on: June 21, 2010, 09:21:08 AM »
Max point without bonus .13-14 ? , Stuffer you should just guide for sheep .

Offline halflife65

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #10 on: June 21, 2010, 09:35:41 AM »
I actually drew it a couple of years ago.  I had 12 or 13 points.

Offline MuleySniper

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #11 on: June 21, 2010, 09:40:05 AM »
I'll be rollin in next year with 14.
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Offline benhuntin

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #12 on: June 21, 2010, 09:44:09 AM »
6 for me, got a late start
If it aint broke, dont fix it.

Offline GoldTip

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #13 on: June 21, 2010, 09:49:17 AM »
I drew last year, had 9 points going into the applications, +1 for last years app when I drew.
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Offline Falcon

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #14 on: June 21, 2010, 10:24:28 AM »
13 this year.

Just a matter of time !
Cast all your anxiety upon him, for he cares for you.    1 Peter 5:7

Offline steeleywhopper

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #15 on: June 21, 2010, 10:39:59 AM »
My Gramps pulled a Mt.Spokane cow moose tag with 15 points this year.  Gonna have to start studying maps and talking to the Bio. over there.
Politicians like Jay Inslee are the reason we have the 2nd Amendment

Offline Moose Eyes

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #16 on: June 21, 2010, 11:11:13 AM »
I drew a Three Forks any moose tag this year with 11 points.  Even with 11 points I really beat the odds.
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Offline Ridgerunner

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #17 on: June 21, 2010, 11:14:45 AM »
draw hangman with 10 two years ago, keep applying the hunt is worth it.

Offline NWBREW

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #18 on: June 21, 2010, 11:21:03 AM »
I drew a Three Forks any moose tag this year with 11 points.  Even with 11 points I really beat the odds.



Moose Eyes....I have a hunting cabin in that unit and know it pretty well. Have seen some pretty nice bulls there as well (cows too.). Let me know if I can help point you in a direction.   Devin   (NWBREW)
Just one more day

Offline PAW66

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #19 on: June 21, 2010, 11:21:47 AM »
14 points for

Any Moose
Antlerless Moose
Moose 65 and Over
Moose Disabled

Odds have to be getting better   :chuckle: :chuckle:

Offline Moose Eyes

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #20 on: June 21, 2010, 11:54:01 AM »
I drew a Three Forks any moose tag this year with 11 points.  Even with 11 points I really beat the odds.



Moose Eyes....I have a hunting cabin in that unit and know it pretty well. Have seen some pretty nice bulls there as well (cows too.). Let me know if I can help point you in a direction.   Devin   (NWBREW)

Message sent.  Thanks!
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Offline Black Ghost

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #21 on: June 21, 2010, 06:39:49 PM »
Wow, about 20% have 13 plus points ouch!!!!  I think I have 6?

Offline seth30

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #22 on: June 21, 2010, 06:41:39 PM »
mine doesnt even show up nor the points :dunno: :dunno:
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Offline Pathfinder101

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #23 on: June 23, 2010, 12:16:12 AM »
6 for me, got a late start

Same here.  Damn Army... :chuckle:
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Offline Buckblaster

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #24 on: June 23, 2010, 11:50:21 AM »
I have 15 points but so do alot of other people.  Its kind of like algebra that just cancels each other out when you cross the equal sign. 
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Offline Skyvalhunter

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #25 on: June 23, 2010, 12:04:05 PM »
Ohh kind of like you can do it on one side as long as you do it on the other side?
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Offline Buckblaster

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #26 on: June 23, 2010, 03:18:09 PM »
Ya, like that.  I put in an application with 15 points and someone else puts in an application with 15 points and we cancel each other out and some guy with 6 points ends up getting a tag.
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Offline Gringo31

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #27 on: June 23, 2010, 06:16:55 PM »
So...some quick math.

If there are 1000 people that put in for one tag.  If everyone that puts in averages 5 points each, add the "multiplier"

25 X 1000 is 25,000 names in the hat.  If you have 10 points, that puts your name in the hat 100 times of the 25,000 total.

That gives you a 1 in 250 chance in getting drawn with 10 points?

If I did my math right, why do people freak out when they have 15 points and haven't been drawn yet?
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Offline h2ofowlr

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #28 on: June 23, 2010, 11:02:57 PM »
8 points.  Nothing yet.
Cut em!
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Offline NWBREW

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #29 on: June 24, 2010, 01:55:52 AM »
  why do people freak out when they have 15 points and haven't been drawn yet?



I think you just answered your own question.
Just one more day

Offline Buckblaster

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #30 on: June 24, 2010, 07:01:16 AM »
This point system guarantees nothing.  Even with max points, you're still lucky to draw.
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Offline Squatch

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #31 on: June 27, 2010, 09:09:49 AM »
Nine point for me.  Hopefully it happens soon! :drool:

Offline PA BEN

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #32 on: June 27, 2010, 10:32:40 AM »
I drew 49 in '08 w/10 points.

Offline norsepete

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #33 on: June 27, 2010, 08:00:31 PM »
I had 15, drew the selkirk

Offline coachcw

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #34 on: June 27, 2010, 09:42:19 PM »
I'm due soon 13

Offline NWBREW

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #35 on: June 27, 2010, 10:16:17 PM »
This point system guarantees nothing.  Even with max points, you're still lucky to draw.




My thoughts exactly..............but I'll still keep trying till I get drawn........or die.  :chuckle:
Just one more day

Offline Pathfinder101

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #36 on: June 27, 2010, 10:38:42 PM »
I could hear WDFW snickering and rubbing their hands together when they took my money with 6 points... :(
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Offline Black Ghost

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #37 on: June 30, 2010, 09:53:02 PM »
These results are interesting, the results appear to be pretty split all the way across.   

Offline Magnum_Willys

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #38 on: June 30, 2010, 10:14:56 PM »
Even with 20 years worth of points I figure our odds are less than 25:1 in any given year.  Like they said, you just gotta get lucky.   

Offline WAcoueshunter

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #39 on: June 30, 2010, 10:53:42 PM »
So...some quick math.

If there are 1000 people that put in for one tag.  If everyone that puts in averages 5 points each, add the "multiplier"

25 X 1000 is 25,000 names in the hat.  If you have 10 points, that puts your name in the hat 100 times of the 25,000 total.

That gives you a 1 in 250 chance in getting drawn with 10 points?

If I did my math right, why do people freak out when they have 15 points and haven't been drawn yet?

For moose, there are 78 bull permits instead of one, and more like 50,000 total applications instead of 1,000.  Everyone gets four choices, so divide the 50,000 by 4 and you wind up with 12,500 hunters for 78 permits.  So 25 x 12,500 = 312,500 total numbers in the hat.  78 tags, so for each tag there's approximately 4,000 names in the hat.  You have 100 numbers with your 10 points, so your odds should be around 1:40.   Someone with 15 points (225 chances in hat) should be around 1:17.  Add in their 15 points for sheep and goat, and someone with 15 points for each should be drawing around 1:10 blended odds each year for all three species.  Definitely no guarantees there, but there's still gonna be some serious disappointment each year when they don't draw.

Offline cohoho

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #40 on: June 30, 2010, 10:54:52 PM »
I could hear WDFW snickering and rubbing their hands together when they took my money with 6 points... :(

Golly- they must still be laughing at my 3... :chuckle:  

Offline PA BEN

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #41 on: July 01, 2010, 05:42:42 AM »
In '08 there were 26 Bull tags in the 49 unit. 14,000 applied that year for those 26 tags. I don't know where they came up w/that number because of the 4 choices. I know more then 14,000 applied for moose tags. Was this number from there first choice? BTW, 49 was my first choice that year.

Offline Skyvalhunter

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #42 on: July 01, 2010, 05:48:58 AM »
And you drew it?
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Offline bobcat

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Re: Moose special permit
« Reply #43 on: July 01, 2010, 08:04:42 AM »
It means 14,000 people had 49 Degrees North as one of their four choices.

 


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