Mule deer permit hunt

[bobcat]

You say you feel fairly confident in drawing, because you have 9 points? Well then you must not understand how bad your odds really are. The Pearrygin had 1854 applications for 15 permits last year for odds of 1 in 124. That means you should expect to draw once in 124 years of applying. If you've only applied for 9 years you have a long way to go. The problem is there are lots of people with just as many points as you have, or more. Many people will have 16 points this year. So your 9 points really doesn't help you a whole lot. Sorry to be the bearer of bad news but it's the truth. If you want a little better odds apply for Chewuch. It was 1 in 66 last year, so almost twice as much chance of drawing as the Pearrygin.

Bobcat, who cares if the guy only has 9 points or not.  There is nothing wrong with having some hope and being optimistic.  The question was about what unit to possibly put in for, not to go off on how bad the drawing odds are. 
To answer the question I think the Pearrygin tag would be a good one to put in for if you want a good buck.  Put in and hope for the best!

Sorry if you didn't like my post, but I usually "go off" on whatever I want. I didn't know I was required to only answer specific questions. I felt my post was informative and helpful since he apparently is thinking he has a good chance of drawing one of the hardest permits there is to draw, and I tried to put it in perspective for him. The advice I gave was just how I apply for permits. I look for the ones with the best odds of drawing. Why would he not want to double his chances of drawing a good permit? I'll try to remember not to offer any advice to any questions you may ask on here.

[SkookumHntr]

I only put in for the best units with the biggest Bucks!! There's only 3 units that interest me, actually just 2!

[WDFW Hates ME!!!]

OK i didn't look through every post, but the results for 2010 arn't up yet so i have 2009. Maybe you can figure out your odds.
Points                Applicants                  Tags drawn
16                          1                                 0
15                          1                                 0
14                          1                                 0
13                          9                                 0
12                          11                               2
11                          34                               1
10                          50                               2
9                           67                                2
8                           90                                1
7                           143                              1
6                           139                              1
5                           170                              1
4                           218                              0
3                           299                              1
2                           371                              0
1                           522                              0

[grundy53]

OK i didn't look through every post, but the results for 2010 arn't up yet so i have 2009. Maybe you can figure out your odds.
Points                Applicants                  Tags drawn
16                          1                                 0
15                          1                                 0
14                          1                                 0
13                          9                                 0
12                          11                               2
11                          34                               1
10                          50                               2
9                           67                                2
8                           90                                1
7                           143                              1
6                           139                              1
5                           170                              1
4                           218                              0
3                           299                              1
2                           371                              0
1                           522                              0

which hunt is this?

[WDFW Hates ME!!!]

2009

1023	Pearrygin A

[bobcat]

I only put in for the best units with the biggest Bucks!! There's only 3 units that interest me, actually just 2!

Which ones?

[WDFW Hates ME!!!]

The reason i have so many points is i only put in for the premier units (and they hate me)

But i don't hunt deer much. I focus more on elk. But once i draw that OIL tag for a big mulie i will probably be hooked.
Wife says i don't really need another obsession. Elk and salmon are enough for one person. But there is always that chance...

[rtspring]

Hey chris,
you put in for that big bull tag? If you draw let me know. I will be aorund much more this year and have him pegged for ya...

I will pretty much be up there from OCT 1st thru all of Elk season.......retired ha ha ha

[SkookumHntr]

Hey chris,
you put in for that big bull tag? If you draw let me know. I will be aorund much more this year and have him pegged for ya...

I will pretty much be up there from OCT 1st thru all of Elk season.......retired ha ha ha

-Who is this? lol

[Skyvalhunter]

Hey Chris good luck to you!!!

[WDFW Hates ME!!!]

Sky i rely on luck. I have no skill.

[Skyvalhunter]

Well Chris as they say 90% luck is all it takes alot of the time. Just have to find that one buck

[WDFW Hates ME!!!]

So true... I would rather be lucky than good.

[throttlejocky20]

Points do help but its the luck of the draw. I talked to a guy last year that drew a Archery bull tag for the margret with 2 points. I also talked to a guy who had low points and he drew a archery mud flow bull tag, along with a margret cow tag. If you wast your points on an area you dont really want to hunt then it will be that much longer before you will get a chance.

[steen]

I'd say you have a pretty good chance.  One of our kids drew the Eniat with his cousin, each had 1 point, I drew a Dayton elk with 5 points, this year they have the average points in the regs and you can see for yourself.  The doe tags might be off because everyone who hadn't drawn buck tags in a while start out with a high amount of points for antlerless.  With all the opportunities now it is an exciting lottery, the only one I put in for.  I'm more of a positive person!