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Author Topic: Montana apps  (Read 7510 times)

Offline 270Shooter

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Montana apps
« on: March 13, 2011, 02:08:29 PM »
Get em in if you are planning to hunt over there this fall, deadline is the 15th ;)

Offline carpsniperg2

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2011, 02:40:05 PM »
Other then lope apps.

June 1 - Antelope and Antlerless Application Deadline

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Offline Pathfinder101

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2011, 10:23:52 AM »
Just 'lopes for me this year.  Too much money, not enough time off this year.... :'(

Will have 3 points for speedgoats this year.  Had no idea that Antelope was so friggin' hard to draw in MT :dunno: :bash:.  If I don't draw this year I may have to show up in Helena this summer and lodge a formal protest... :chuckle:
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Offline 270Shooter

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2011, 09:36:48 PM »
I have 2 points for lope and i'll put in for them if i dont get draw for deer. They are tough to draw, plus I'm putting in for one of the toughest units.

Offline millertime89

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2011, 09:33:47 AM »
i couldn't swing the cost for it this year :( I think i'll be going over the counter for elk in ID instead...
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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #5 on: March 15, 2011, 09:50:35 AM »
i couldn't swing the cost for it this year :( I think i'll be going over the counter for elk in ID instead...

We are decided to do an over the counter deer tag in Idaho as well. Should be pretty fun!
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Offline Pathfinder101

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #6 on: March 15, 2011, 09:53:17 AM »
Sounds like we're not the only ones skipping MT this year because of the cost.  I just got a postcard in the mail basically saying
"uh... you haven't applied yet..." :chuckle:
Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes.  That way, when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes.

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #7 on: March 15, 2011, 09:55:15 AM »
It sucks to not be able to apply because I think the draw odds are really good and I already have a point but for the price it wasn't worth it. Not to mention that our group would have had 6 people applying so even if we did two groups, if we one somehow didn't get drawn it would ruin our plans.  :bash:
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Offline millertime89

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2011, 09:58:49 AM »
Sounds like we're not the only ones skipping MT this year because of the cost.  I just got a postcard in the mail basically saying
"uh... you haven't applied yet..." :chuckle:

haha oops  ;) must have slipped your mind
David Miller

Offline Pathfinder101

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #9 on: March 15, 2011, 10:00:17 AM »
Well, like Vandeman said.  The draw odds this year are going to be great for those that can afford it... :dunno:
Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes.  That way, when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes.

Offline RightPlace-RightTime

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #10 on: March 15, 2011, 09:55:38 PM »
From the sounds of it,  I might get the deer combo with no pts.  ;)

Offline alwinearcher

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #11 on: March 16, 2011, 07:35:25 AM »
From the sounds of it,  I might get the deer combo with no pts.  ;)

I would guess you will.
I would also bet their are going to be left over Deer/elk combos available...
Matt Alwine

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #12 on: March 16, 2011, 08:06:22 AM »
I think the odds are going to be a little tougher than most folks think, probably around 75-80% on the combo and 40% on the deer, just my opinion though. 

Offline Sneaky

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #13 on: March 16, 2011, 08:13:35 AM »
a lot of people are still going to pay to go. It's such an awesome experience dad and I had to pay up and put in again. Neither of us are getting any younger!

Offline alwinearcher

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #14 on: March 16, 2011, 08:35:03 AM »
I think the odds are going to be a little tougher than most folks think, probably around 75-80% on the combo and 40% on the deer, just my opinion though. 

Didnt they have left overs left year?  :dunno:
you think more people will apply this year then last?
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Offline Pathfinder101

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #15 on: March 16, 2011, 08:39:39 AM »
I think the odds are going to be a little tougher than most folks think, probably around 75-80% on the combo and 40% on the deer, just my opinion though. 

Didnt they have left overs left year?  :dunno:
you think more people will apply this year then last?

They never have leftovers.  SOme of the people that draw drop out before the hunting season, and those tags go to the "alternates" (after the draw, they publish an "alternate" list.  If your number is high enough on the list, you may get a call in June or July saying that you got drawn as a alternate, and to come pay for your tag). 
Generally, the deer/elk combo had about a 45-50% draw rate.  Deer combo only was sitting around 20%.
Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes.  That way, when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes.

Offline alwinearcher

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #16 on: March 16, 2011, 08:45:18 AM »
I think the odds are going to be a little tougher than most folks think, probably around 75-80% on the combo and 40% on the deer, just my opinion though.  

Didnt they have left overs left year?  :dunno:
you think more people will apply this year then last?

They never have leftovers.  SOme of the people that draw drop out before the hunting season, and those tags go to the "alternates" (after the draw, they publish an "alternate" list.  If your number is high enough on the list, you may get a call in June or July saying that you got drawn as a alternate, and to come pay for your tag).  
Generally, the deer/elk combo had about a 45-50% draw rate.  Deer combo only was sitting around 20%.

Last year I heard from a couple people they had elk tags for sale to the general public last year starting in sept?
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Offline Pathfinder101

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #17 on: March 16, 2011, 08:47:06 AM »
I think the odds are going to be a little tougher than most folks think, probably around 75-80% on the combo and 40% on the deer, just my opinion though. 

doe tags maybe.  Nothing else..

Didnt they have left overs left year?  :dunno:
you think more people will apply this year then last?

They never have leftovers.  SOme of the people that draw drop out before the hunting season, and those tags go to the "alternates" (after the draw, they publish an "alternate" list.  If your number is high enough on the list, you may get a call in June or July saying that you got drawn as a alternate, and to come pay for your tag). 
Generally, the deer/elk combo had about a 45-50% draw rate.  Deer combo only was sitting around 20%.

Last year I heard from a couple people they had tags for sale to the general public last year starting in sept?
Before you criticize someone, you should walk a mile in their shoes.  That way, when you criticize them, you're a mile away and you have their shoes.

Offline JLS

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #18 on: March 16, 2011, 09:03:59 AM »
I think the odds are going to be a little tougher than most folks think, probably around 75-80% on the combo and 40% on the deer, just my opinion though. 

doe tags maybe.  Nothing else..

Didnt they have left overs left year?  :dunno:
you think more people will apply this year then last?

They never have leftovers.  SOme of the people that draw drop out before the hunting season, and those tags go to the "alternates" (after the draw, they publish an "alternate" list.  If your number is high enough on the list, you may get a call in June or July saying that you got drawn as a alternate, and to come pay for your tag). 
Generally, the deer/elk combo had about a 45-50% draw rate.  Deer combo only was sitting around 20%.

Last year I heard from a couple people they had tags for sale to the general public last year starting in sept?

Yes, they have in fact had leftovers in the past, but these were from the Outfitter Sponsored pool of licenses.  These have now been put in with the rest of the NR combos for the drawing, so the odds are slim and none that there will be leftover tags.  When the OSL wouldn't sell out, they would offer them first come first served to the people who did not draw a NR combo that year.  These would typically go on sale in late August to mid September.  The only other leftover licenses would be doe/fawn tags that don't sell out in the special drawings.
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Offline alwinearcher

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #19 on: March 16, 2011, 09:08:42 AM »
I think the odds are going to be a little tougher than most folks think, probably around 75-80% on the combo and 40% on the deer, just my opinion though. 

doe tags maybe.  Nothing else..

Didnt they have left overs left year?  :dunno:
you think more people will apply this year then last?

They never have leftovers.  SOme of the people that draw drop out before the hunting season, and those tags go to the "alternates" (after the draw, they publish an "alternate" list.  If your number is high enough on the list, you may get a call in June or July saying that you got drawn as a alternate, and to come pay for your tag). 
Generally, the deer/elk combo had about a 45-50% draw rate.  Deer combo only was sitting around 20%.

Last year I heard from a couple people they had tags for sale to the general public last year starting in sept?

Yes, they have in fact had leftovers in the past, but these were from the Outfitter Sponsored pool of licenses.  These have now been put in with the rest of the NR combos for the drawing, so the odds are slim and none that there will be leftover tags.  When the OSL wouldn't sell out, they would offer them first come first served to the people who did not draw a NR combo that year.  These would typically go on sale in late August to mid September.  The only other leftover licenses would be doe/fawn tags that don't sell out in the special drawings.

Gotcha!
That makes sense.
Matt Alwine

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #20 on: March 16, 2011, 12:13:42 PM »
LAst year had approximately 18000 apps for 11,500 combo tags.  Plus up to 5500 outfitter sponsored tags could be sold, of those I think around 4000 were sold.  the other 1500 became available to purchase(left over tags).

Now teh outfitter sponsor is gone so you've got a quoto of 17,000 but you have approximately 22000 applicants for those tags, now some will drop out due to the increase in fees but there will be at least 20000 applicants if not more.  Aint gonna be any leftover tags this year, yeah a few will get returned by guys who draw and can't make the hunt but I don't think its going to be anywhere near what it has been in prior years.

Offline Fletch

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #21 on: March 16, 2011, 12:55:00 PM »
I originally thought odds of drawing might be better for the deer only.  But I'm beginning to wonder if the $900+ dollar deer elk combo will really be too steep for some, so they will drop to the deer only pool...I guess it doesn't matter... I have too much fun there not to put in, so my money is on its way...for those of you who elected not too, thank you for the small but significant odds increase...hope to see you there next year!

Offline Bigshooter

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #22 on: March 16, 2011, 01:08:05 PM »
I think the odds are going to be a little tougher than most folks think, probably around 75-80% on the combo and 40% on the deer, just my opinion though. 

I think you are real close on your numbers.  I think it will be a little better.  85-90% for the deer, elk combo, and 45-50% for the deer combo.
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Offline GoldTip

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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #23 on: March 16, 2011, 01:43:47 PM »
There were also leftover tags in the "Family come home to hunt" tag pool last year.  Think there was not a lot of people who knew about that option and it's hard to go with that option if you are taking someone to montana who is not actually from there, then the former resident goes in one pool and the other NR goes in another with low odds.  I will be surprised if the odds get much better for generally drawing tags in Montana.  When I used to be a resident and there was 17,000 tags with no "Outfitter sponsored licenses" they still always sold them all.
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Re: Montana apps
« Reply #24 on: March 16, 2011, 09:25:03 PM »
There were also leftover tags in the "Family come home to hunt" tag pool last year.  Think there was not a lot of people who knew about that option and it's hard to go with that option if you are taking someone to montana who is not actually from there, then the former resident goes in one pool and the other NR goes in another with low odds.  I will be surprised if the odds get much better for generally drawing tags in Montana.  When I used to be a resident and there was 17,000 tags with no "Outfitter sponsored licenses" they still always sold them all.

But the price was about six bills less in those days too.  I fully expect a drop in the DIY applicants, but there also may be an increase in the folks applying that would have bought the Outfitter Sponsored License.  My guess (pure speculation) is 70-80% draw for no point applicants.
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