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Author Topic: cashin in  (Read 17688 times)

Offline heavy hauler

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cashin in
« on: May 14, 2012, 08:02:36 PM »
i have 14 elk points this year. i am applying for a hunt in the blues. dang i am exited
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Offline gaddy

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2012, 08:08:40 PM »
WHY ?  No elk in the blues.
(good luck)
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Offline Branden

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2012, 08:17:09 PM »
My buddy applied with 16 or 17 last year and didn't draw. Hope you have better luck then he did.
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Offline buckreaper

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2012, 08:24:04 PM »
I'm doing the same with 15 points but I'm not counting on anything.  Hoping!
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Offline carpsniperg2

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2012, 08:25:59 PM »
Good luck on the draw, but nothing is for sure in this state.
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Offline BOWHUNTER45

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #5 on: May 14, 2012, 08:38:33 PM »
yeah a buddy of mine has like 18 moose points and he is excited too !!!! :dunno: :chuckle: :chuckle: ;)
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Offline DIYARCHERYJUNKIE

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #6 on: May 14, 2012, 08:53:56 PM »
I feel like I have an advantage with a few points here and there.  I put in for most everything I could hunt in between Idaho.  So I'm just thinking I have nothin to lose.  I'd be mad if 15 years had gone by and not one draw!  I'll just use wa as a backup for out of state.  That way I'm never disappointed.
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Offline MuleDeerCrazy

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #7 on: May 14, 2012, 09:03:32 PM »
18 for me last year and nada!
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Offline slim9300

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cashin in
« Reply #8 on: May 14, 2012, 09:20:40 PM »
Quote from: heavy hauler on May 14, 2012, 08:02:36 PM
i have 14 elk points this year. i am applying for a hunt in the blues. dang i am exited

Your odds are still probably about 20-30%. Good luck.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Offline Chesapeake

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cashin in
« Reply #9 on: May 14, 2012, 09:30:38 PM »
If you do the math you will see that after about 8 points you top out at about 12% on average of people in each point bracket drawing. Guys with 20+ points didn't draw last year. You had just as good of chances of drawing last year. There are so few good tags we are experiencing points creep like crazy in this state. There is only enough draw tags each year for about 4% of the applicants to get one. So if no one new entered the draw and each tag was a OIL then we could all draw quality elk tags in about 25 years.

Apply in other states!!!!!!! The more the better.
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Offline mfswallace

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #10 on: May 14, 2012, 09:52:24 PM »
I had 1 point a few years ago and drew the Firing center for deer, anything can happen.
Not that it's the best draw but I was one of 25 out of 1900...
Heavy Horned Old Man
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Offline mpetersen

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #11 on: May 14, 2012, 10:04:04 PM »
Drew margaret quality bull with only four points, buddies with over ten points not too happy !
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Offline bucksandbulls

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #12 on: May 15, 2012, 03:16:54 AM »
i drew moose in 2003 on 3 points. got a ice 41 in bull opening morning.  the point is    theres always a chance . im excited for this year too.
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is it tweeker season yet?

Offline bucklucky

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #13 on: May 15, 2012, 07:32:03 AM »
I know of a guy with 36 points and couldnt draw a tag in the blues ......  :dunno:
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Offline JPhelps

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Re: cashin in
« Reply #14 on: May 15, 2012, 07:38:42 AM »
Not to be a spoiler but I just checked a spreadsheet I have using last years numbers and it looks like with that many points most units in the blues are still under a 25% draw odds. :dunno:

Somebody has to draw though. :tup:
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