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Author Topic: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW  (Read 5827 times)

Online hunter399

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SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« on: February 10, 2020, 09:15:23 AM »
I know there are many spring bear topics currently .
But I can't remember the draw date last year.
How many points ,I'm gonna need to draw most popular permits.


I did find this for 2019

https://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/special-hunts/results/bear


« Last Edit: February 10, 2020, 09:31:13 AM by hunter399 »
Two birds in the Bush is always better than one in the hand-that way you can always go to the Bush and hunt another day .conservation=Better hunting.
Wrote by hunter399

Offline Tenkara

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2020, 09:26:01 AM »
It took me 7 points to draw in 2016.

Online hunter399

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2020, 09:33:32 AM »
It took me 7 points to draw in 2016.

7 points
I guess I shouldn't get to excited about going in with 4 points.
Is there avg.number of points to draw some kind of joke?
Two birds in the Bush is always better than one in the hand-that way you can always go to the Bush and hunt another day .conservation=Better hunting.
Wrote by hunter399

Online h20hunter

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #3 on: February 10, 2020, 09:33:59 AM »
Which unit is your no 1 choice?

Online hunter399

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2020, 09:36:23 AM »
Which unit is your no 1 choice?
Don't really want to show and tell but it's 121.
Two birds in the Bush is always better than one in the hand-that way you can always go to the Bush and hunt another day .conservation=Better hunting.
Wrote by hunter399

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #5 on: February 10, 2020, 09:37:58 AM »
I'd say 4 points gives you at least decent odds. I didn't draw Skagit last year with 6 points. The whole odds game, imo, is really nonsense but you gotta put in to get drawn!

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #6 on: February 10, 2020, 09:40:58 AM »
I put in already,with some other units.
Was really excited.now I'm just kinda blah.
Two birds in the Bush is always better than one in the hand-that way you can always go to the Bush and hunt another day .conservation=Better hunting.
Wrote by hunter399

Offline 270Flat

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #7 on: February 10, 2020, 09:41:53 AM »
I drew w/ 8 last year. It was definitely a quality tag for me for my area
fear no fish!!

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #8 on: February 10, 2020, 09:47:14 AM »
Avg points to draw in 2019 in 121 was 3.19. Tags were 100 available with 941 applicants. So you are above the average to draw.


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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #9 on: February 10, 2020, 10:16:05 AM »
It's a random draw, I wouldn't look at it as anything else.  WDFW gives averages which is unfortunate as it leads a bunch of people to think that the odds are WAY better than they are.

You can subscribe to GoHunt to see very near the actual odds at any point level from last year or do some crude math for free and get fairly close.

For example, I picked a unit with an average of about 3 points to draw.  The actual odds of drawing with 3 points was 18%.  The odds weren't over 50% until you got to 6 points.

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #10 on: February 10, 2020, 10:30:17 AM »
The average points that wdfw publishes is nothing more than the average points of the winner. It doesn’t tell you what it takes to draw because “what it takes to draw” isn’t even a thing with our draw system.

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #11 on: February 10, 2020, 11:05:05 AM »
Wasn't the draw around March 14 last year.
I can't remember these days.
Two birds in the Bush is always better than one in the hand-that way you can always go to the Bush and hunt another day .conservation=Better hunting.
Wrote by hunter399

Offline Tenkara

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #12 on: February 10, 2020, 11:10:40 AM »
Wasn't the draw around March 14 last year.
I can't remember these days.
You have until the end of March to apply.

Offline 92xj

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #13 on: February 10, 2020, 11:12:02 AM »
Wasn't the draw around March 14 last year.
I can't remember these days.
You have until the end of March to apply.

False
Feb 28

Unless you are trying to get people to miss the deadline on purpose to better your odds, then the deadline is the end of March.    :chuckle:
"If you have to be crazy to hunt ducks, I do not wish to be sane."

Offline Tenkara

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Re: SPRING BEAR-DRAW TIMES-HOW MANY POINTS TO DRAW
« Reply #14 on: February 10, 2020, 11:24:19 AM »
Wasn't the draw around March 14 last year.
I can't remember these days.
You have until the end of March to apply.

False
Feb 28

Unless you are trying to get people to miss the deadline on purpose to better your odds, then the deadline is the end of March.    :chuckle:
lol, no I thought the deadline was end of March, I must have bear and multi season mixed up, sorry about the false info.

 


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