Free: Contests & Raffles.
Quote from: AspenBud on April 23, 2014, 09:21:25 AMQuote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 10:01:10 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 09:53:15 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:51:42 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 09:43:17 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:24:38 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 04:55:36 PMWithout statistics it's kind of hard to prove anything. Sure, wolves may get to a point where they eat babies out of mothers' arms, but so far the statistics between Canada and the lower 48 don't show that. We do have, however, bear attacks reported every year with the most recent to make headlines of a woman in Florida being attacked and dragged out of her garage by one.If ranchers in Washington are losing more cattle, sheep, whatever every year to predators, and if there is a real spike in the last 5, that says something. Particularly in Stevens County. But if the average over the last 25 years is about the same year over year, well...It's one thing to get all wound up emotionally over the issue, that goes for both sides, it's another to look at hard numbers for what they really are.In one year McIrvin's lost more cattle to wolves than they've ever lost to any other predators. That's why that pack was mostly killed. Old News... The data is proven on wolves and they are being managed heavily in other states where the wolf lovers don't control the Fish & Game. This isn't even an intelligent discussion. That doesn't say much to me. Did they lose more than in any other year ever to predators in general? Have they ever submitted records that show this is true year over year for the last 25 years? If so, where are they?I really don't care what you think, you are one of the people on here only to try and promote wolves.If you want to know exact numbers call McIrvin up and ask. I've never asked for documented details from them and have no idea if they keep exact numbers. Some people you can trust on their word, but that may be a concept you don't understand. You wolfers will grab at anything to avoid admitting the impacts of wolves. It's all proven, numbers of wolf killed cattle are documented. Wolves have already been killed that were responsible. Old news! Of course you haven't asked.People lie Bearpaw.Yep, some people do...., I remember a lot of promises about the wolf plan and wolf numbers, I know who the liars are in this wolf fiasco. The documented statistics are there for all of us to see. Some of us can grasp the truth, others, well.....So you mean to tell me that you will go to the ends of the earth and post just about any statistic you think supports your view here, but you've never asked a guy like McIrvin if he has records going back a couple decades that show he is now losing more cattle to predation overall than he was in 1990-1995?Are you afraid he's going to show you that he lost (hypothetical number here) 100 cattle in 1995 and 100 in 2013? That he loses on average about the same every year wolf or no wolf?A one or two year stat that solely shows wolves killed cows doesn't say much. Numbers that indicate an upward trend in cattle losses to predation over several years with a sharp spike since the arrival of wolves does. That wolves killed cattle doesn't matter, it's if they are leading to more losses overall, as in if they are additive to existing predation or if they are just displacing existing predators, that matters.Can ranchers in Stevens County supply this information? If so, where is it? That is valuable information.Now we are getting to the complexity of predation issues...compensatory mortality...how many would die anyways...this applies to cattle as much as it does deer and elk. It is why bearpaws simple addition/subtraction logic doesn't work out in the real world very often. Except in extremely rare cases it is difficult to believe all wolf predation is additive.
Quote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 10:01:10 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 09:53:15 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:51:42 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 09:43:17 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:24:38 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 04:55:36 PMWithout statistics it's kind of hard to prove anything. Sure, wolves may get to a point where they eat babies out of mothers' arms, but so far the statistics between Canada and the lower 48 don't show that. We do have, however, bear attacks reported every year with the most recent to make headlines of a woman in Florida being attacked and dragged out of her garage by one.If ranchers in Washington are losing more cattle, sheep, whatever every year to predators, and if there is a real spike in the last 5, that says something. Particularly in Stevens County. But if the average over the last 25 years is about the same year over year, well...It's one thing to get all wound up emotionally over the issue, that goes for both sides, it's another to look at hard numbers for what they really are.In one year McIrvin's lost more cattle to wolves than they've ever lost to any other predators. That's why that pack was mostly killed. Old News... The data is proven on wolves and they are being managed heavily in other states where the wolf lovers don't control the Fish & Game. This isn't even an intelligent discussion. That doesn't say much to me. Did they lose more than in any other year ever to predators in general? Have they ever submitted records that show this is true year over year for the last 25 years? If so, where are they?I really don't care what you think, you are one of the people on here only to try and promote wolves.If you want to know exact numbers call McIrvin up and ask. I've never asked for documented details from them and have no idea if they keep exact numbers. Some people you can trust on their word, but that may be a concept you don't understand. You wolfers will grab at anything to avoid admitting the impacts of wolves. It's all proven, numbers of wolf killed cattle are documented. Wolves have already been killed that were responsible. Old news! Of course you haven't asked.People lie Bearpaw.Yep, some people do...., I remember a lot of promises about the wolf plan and wolf numbers, I know who the liars are in this wolf fiasco. The documented statistics are there for all of us to see. Some of us can grasp the truth, others, well.....So you mean to tell me that you will go to the ends of the earth and post just about any statistic you think supports your view here, but you've never asked a guy like McIrvin if he has records going back a couple decades that show he is now losing more cattle to predation overall than he was in 1990-1995?Are you afraid he's going to show you that he lost (hypothetical number here) 100 cattle in 1995 and 100 in 2013? That he loses on average about the same every year wolf or no wolf?A one or two year stat that solely shows wolves killed cows doesn't say much. Numbers that indicate an upward trend in cattle losses to predation over several years with a sharp spike since the arrival of wolves does. That wolves killed cattle doesn't matter, it's if they are leading to more losses overall, as in if they are additive to existing predation or if they are just displacing existing predators, that matters.Can ranchers in Stevens County supply this information? If so, where is it? That is valuable information.
Quote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 09:53:15 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:51:42 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 09:43:17 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:24:38 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 04:55:36 PMWithout statistics it's kind of hard to prove anything. Sure, wolves may get to a point where they eat babies out of mothers' arms, but so far the statistics between Canada and the lower 48 don't show that. We do have, however, bear attacks reported every year with the most recent to make headlines of a woman in Florida being attacked and dragged out of her garage by one.If ranchers in Washington are losing more cattle, sheep, whatever every year to predators, and if there is a real spike in the last 5, that says something. Particularly in Stevens County. But if the average over the last 25 years is about the same year over year, well...It's one thing to get all wound up emotionally over the issue, that goes for both sides, it's another to look at hard numbers for what they really are.In one year McIrvin's lost more cattle to wolves than they've ever lost to any other predators. That's why that pack was mostly killed. Old News... The data is proven on wolves and they are being managed heavily in other states where the wolf lovers don't control the Fish & Game. This isn't even an intelligent discussion. That doesn't say much to me. Did they lose more than in any other year ever to predators in general? Have they ever submitted records that show this is true year over year for the last 25 years? If so, where are they?I really don't care what you think, you are one of the people on here only to try and promote wolves.If you want to know exact numbers call McIrvin up and ask. I've never asked for documented details from them and have no idea if they keep exact numbers. Some people you can trust on their word, but that may be a concept you don't understand. You wolfers will grab at anything to avoid admitting the impacts of wolves. It's all proven, numbers of wolf killed cattle are documented. Wolves have already been killed that were responsible. Old news! Of course you haven't asked.People lie Bearpaw.Yep, some people do...., I remember a lot of promises about the wolf plan and wolf numbers, I know who the liars are in this wolf fiasco. The documented statistics are there for all of us to see. Some of us can grasp the truth, others, well.....
Quote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:51:42 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 09:43:17 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:24:38 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 04:55:36 PMWithout statistics it's kind of hard to prove anything. Sure, wolves may get to a point where they eat babies out of mothers' arms, but so far the statistics between Canada and the lower 48 don't show that. We do have, however, bear attacks reported every year with the most recent to make headlines of a woman in Florida being attacked and dragged out of her garage by one.If ranchers in Washington are losing more cattle, sheep, whatever every year to predators, and if there is a real spike in the last 5, that says something. Particularly in Stevens County. But if the average over the last 25 years is about the same year over year, well...It's one thing to get all wound up emotionally over the issue, that goes for both sides, it's another to look at hard numbers for what they really are.In one year McIrvin's lost more cattle to wolves than they've ever lost to any other predators. That's why that pack was mostly killed. Old News... The data is proven on wolves and they are being managed heavily in other states where the wolf lovers don't control the Fish & Game. This isn't even an intelligent discussion. That doesn't say much to me. Did they lose more than in any other year ever to predators in general? Have they ever submitted records that show this is true year over year for the last 25 years? If so, where are they?I really don't care what you think, you are one of the people on here only to try and promote wolves.If you want to know exact numbers call McIrvin up and ask. I've never asked for documented details from them and have no idea if they keep exact numbers. Some people you can trust on their word, but that may be a concept you don't understand. You wolfers will grab at anything to avoid admitting the impacts of wolves. It's all proven, numbers of wolf killed cattle are documented. Wolves have already been killed that were responsible. Old news! Of course you haven't asked.People lie Bearpaw.
Quote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 09:43:17 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:24:38 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 04:55:36 PMWithout statistics it's kind of hard to prove anything. Sure, wolves may get to a point where they eat babies out of mothers' arms, but so far the statistics between Canada and the lower 48 don't show that. We do have, however, bear attacks reported every year with the most recent to make headlines of a woman in Florida being attacked and dragged out of her garage by one.If ranchers in Washington are losing more cattle, sheep, whatever every year to predators, and if there is a real spike in the last 5, that says something. Particularly in Stevens County. But if the average over the last 25 years is about the same year over year, well...It's one thing to get all wound up emotionally over the issue, that goes for both sides, it's another to look at hard numbers for what they really are.In one year McIrvin's lost more cattle to wolves than they've ever lost to any other predators. That's why that pack was mostly killed. Old News... The data is proven on wolves and they are being managed heavily in other states where the wolf lovers don't control the Fish & Game. This isn't even an intelligent discussion. That doesn't say much to me. Did they lose more than in any other year ever to predators in general? Have they ever submitted records that show this is true year over year for the last 25 years? If so, where are they?I really don't care what you think, you are one of the people on here only to try and promote wolves.If you want to know exact numbers call McIrvin up and ask. I've never asked for documented details from them and have no idea if they keep exact numbers. Some people you can trust on their word, but that may be a concept you don't understand. You wolfers will grab at anything to avoid admitting the impacts of wolves. It's all proven, numbers of wolf killed cattle are documented. Wolves have already been killed that were responsible. Old news!
Quote from: bearpaw on April 22, 2014, 09:24:38 PMQuote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 04:55:36 PMWithout statistics it's kind of hard to prove anything. Sure, wolves may get to a point where they eat babies out of mothers' arms, but so far the statistics between Canada and the lower 48 don't show that. We do have, however, bear attacks reported every year with the most recent to make headlines of a woman in Florida being attacked and dragged out of her garage by one.If ranchers in Washington are losing more cattle, sheep, whatever every year to predators, and if there is a real spike in the last 5, that says something. Particularly in Stevens County. But if the average over the last 25 years is about the same year over year, well...It's one thing to get all wound up emotionally over the issue, that goes for both sides, it's another to look at hard numbers for what they really are.In one year McIrvin's lost more cattle to wolves than they've ever lost to any other predators. That's why that pack was mostly killed. Old News... The data is proven on wolves and they are being managed heavily in other states where the wolf lovers don't control the Fish & Game. This isn't even an intelligent discussion. That doesn't say much to me. Did they lose more than in any other year ever to predators in general? Have they ever submitted records that show this is true year over year for the last 25 years? If so, where are they?
Quote from: AspenBud on April 22, 2014, 04:55:36 PMWithout statistics it's kind of hard to prove anything. Sure, wolves may get to a point where they eat babies out of mothers' arms, but so far the statistics between Canada and the lower 48 don't show that. We do have, however, bear attacks reported every year with the most recent to make headlines of a woman in Florida being attacked and dragged out of her garage by one.If ranchers in Washington are losing more cattle, sheep, whatever every year to predators, and if there is a real spike in the last 5, that says something. Particularly in Stevens County. But if the average over the last 25 years is about the same year over year, well...It's one thing to get all wound up emotionally over the issue, that goes for both sides, it's another to look at hard numbers for what they really are.In one year McIrvin's lost more cattle to wolves than they've ever lost to any other predators. That's why that pack was mostly killed. Old News... The data is proven on wolves and they are being managed heavily in other states where the wolf lovers don't control the Fish & Game. This isn't even an intelligent discussion.
Without statistics it's kind of hard to prove anything. Sure, wolves may get to a point where they eat babies out of mothers' arms, but so far the statistics between Canada and the lower 48 don't show that. We do have, however, bear attacks reported every year with the most recent to make headlines of a woman in Florida being attacked and dragged out of her garage by one.If ranchers in Washington are losing more cattle, sheep, whatever every year to predators, and if there is a real spike in the last 5, that says something. Particularly in Stevens County. But if the average over the last 25 years is about the same year over year, well...It's one thing to get all wound up emotionally over the issue, that goes for both sides, it's another to look at hard numbers for what they really are.
There is data available that says wolf predation is compensatory and data that says additive. Wolves have proven themselves to be mostly additive especially when wolf numbers are high or you wouldn't see the elk, deer, and moose herds dip so dramatically in heavy wolf impacted areas.
i don't know about the mcirvins but i will give you some statistics from my family log! They ran 200 head of cows from the 1930 to 2002 out of elk river idaho! Up until 1996 they lost 2 yearling calves to predators in 70 years! In 1996 they lost 2 cows to wolves even tho biologist said it looks like it died in a mud hole and then the wolves ate it!lol sound familiar? 97- 2 calves and a cow 98- 2 calves 99-4 cows and and calf 00- 2 cows and a calf 01- 2 cows and a bull!
Quote from: cougarbart on April 23, 2014, 03:24:28 PMi don't know about the mcirvins but i will give you some statistics from my family log! They ran 200 head of cows from the 1930 to 2002 out of elk river idaho! Up until 1996 they lost 2 yearling calves to predators in 70 years! In 1996 they lost 2 cows to wolves even tho biologist said it looks like it died in a mud hole and then the wolves ate it!lol sound familiar? 97- 2 calves and a cow 98- 2 calves 99-4 cows and and calf 00- 2 cows and a calf 01- 2 cows and a bull!I'll be honest, that's a fascinating statistic if true. I suspect there are a lot of livestock owners around the country who would love to have had that kind of success ratio over 70 years.
i have seen a bear kill a calf but never a cougar!
i have heard good sources say they do! im just saying in 30+ years in eastern wash and north idaho i have yet to see it and with how many cows are in cougar country i think the predator rate on bovine is very small from cougars!
Quote from: bearpaw on April 23, 2014, 02:34:28 PMThere is data available that says wolf predation is compensatory and data that says additive. Wolves have proven themselves to be mostly additive especially when wolf numbers are high or you wouldn't see the elk, deer, and moose herds dip so dramatically in heavy wolf impacted areas. Only in areas where habitat is poor have I seen strong evidence of additive mortality (e.g., Lolo). Majority of Idaho is at or above elk population objectives and many areas are well over objectives and have only increased since 1995 which would likely mean wolf predation in those areas is compensatory. This is also why Idaho is trying so hard to get at the habitat factor in the Lolo...it will be a more effective and longer term solution to rebuilding elk numbers than targeted removal of wolves
Quote from: idahohuntr on April 23, 2014, 05:53:08 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 23, 2014, 02:34:28 PMThere is data available that says wolf predation is compensatory and data that says additive. Wolves have proven themselves to be mostly additive especially when wolf numbers are high or you wouldn't see the elk, deer, and moose herds dip so dramatically in heavy wolf impacted areas. Only in areas where habitat is poor have I seen strong evidence of additive mortality (e.g., Lolo). Majority of Idaho is at or above elk population objectives and many areas are well over objectives and have only increased since 1995 which would likely mean wolf predation in those areas is compensatory. This is also why Idaho is trying so hard to get at the habitat factor in the Lolo...it will be a more effective and longer term solution to rebuilding elk numbers than targeted removal of wolves The only thing you can do is hide behind the areas that have not experienced wolf impacts. If you address the units in Idaho where wolves have decimated herds your whole philosophy is destroyed. Your ridiculous arguments are really outdated. Luckily Idaho is handling the problem, they are removing wolves from impacted areas and they are removing wolves from areas which haven't declined in an effort to prevent another Lolo, YNP, Bitterroot, Selway, Payette, or similar elk decline. Three cheers for Idaho they are taking the lead in wolf management and saving their other wildlife while at the same time maintaining a viable population of wolves.All I want is reasonable wolf management! Too bad the wolf lovers want unmanaged wolves and don't care about other wildlife.
Quote from: bearpaw on April 24, 2014, 12:48:09 PMQuote from: idahohuntr on April 23, 2014, 05:53:08 PMQuote from: bearpaw on April 23, 2014, 02:34:28 PMThere is data available that says wolf predation is compensatory and data that says additive. Wolves have proven themselves to be mostly additive especially when wolf numbers are high or you wouldn't see the elk, deer, and moose herds dip so dramatically in heavy wolf impacted areas. Only in areas where habitat is poor have I seen strong evidence of additive mortality (e.g., Lolo). Majority of Idaho is at or above elk population objectives and many areas are well over objectives and have only increased since 1995 which would likely mean wolf predation in those areas is compensatory. This is also why Idaho is trying so hard to get at the habitat factor in the Lolo...it will be a more effective and longer term solution to rebuilding elk numbers than targeted removal of wolves The only thing you can do is hide behind the areas that have not experienced wolf impacts. If you address the units in Idaho where wolves have decimated herds your whole philosophy is destroyed. Your ridiculous arguments are really outdated. Luckily Idaho is handling the problem, they are removing wolves from impacted areas and they are removing wolves from areas which haven't declined in an effort to prevent another Lolo, YNP, Bitterroot, Selway, Payette, or similar elk decline. Three cheers for Idaho they are taking the lead in wolf management and saving their other wildlife while at the same time maintaining a viable population of wolves.All I want is reasonable wolf management! Too bad the wolf lovers want unmanaged wolves and don't care about other wildlife. Yea, thats it...I'm hiding behind the vast majority of Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Washington, and Oregon where wolves are not having significant population impacts You can't fit wolf predation into a black and white argument where its always at fault. The bottom line is elk populations are doing relatively well, wolf numbers have stabilized/declined in many areas of ID/MT/WT. In areas where wolf predation is limiting, elk habitat is relatively poor...very few exceptions to this IMO. Those are just facts whether you want to admit them or not. We get a million acre fire in the lolo and I don't care if IDFG does any more wolf removals or not...elk numbers will increase substantially in the following decades.