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Author Topic: Points Question  (Read 2060 times)

Offline RockChuck

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Points Question
« on: April 19, 2012, 09:19:49 PM »
"Washington's system places a multiplier on the points. The number of points is squared and it is this number of random numbers that are issued to the application (or number of cards in the barrel). If a person applies for an elk permit for the first time, they have one card in the barrel. If a person has built up two points, they have four cards in the barrel. If a person has three points built up, nine cards are in the barrel and so on."



The number of random numbers? I'm confused.. my question is when I look at previous year average points it took to draw a permit is it the amount of years they put in or the random number/multiplier? Thank You.

Offline bobcat

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Re: Points Question
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2012, 09:24:46 PM »
They will reference the number of actual points. Not the points squared number.

Can you imagine? It would then be showing some people with 256 or more (16*16=256)


Offline bobcat

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Re: Points Question
« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2012, 09:31:24 PM »
when I look at previous year average points it took to draw a permit

I also want to point out that the quote above isn't really the correct way to think about what that number means. That number shown as "average points" is simply the average points of the people who drew that permit." It doesn't mean if you have that many points that you SHOULD draw that permit, or that you even have a good chance. The drawing is random and no amount of points guarantees you will draw. Look at some of the more popular hunts. It could show the average points to draw was 3, but your actual odds might be somewhere around 1 in 500 (or worse).




Offline RockChuck

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Re: Points Question
« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2012, 09:39:22 PM »
Thanks for the clarification, I thought that was it but wasn't sure, and yes I understand that the average doesn't mean your guaranteed to draw with that amount of points.

Offline Oldguy

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Re: Points Question
« Reply #4 on: April 20, 2012, 03:59:20 PM »
Where do you look to find out how many points you have?

Offline bobcat

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Offline Oldguy

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Re: Points Question
« Reply #6 on: April 21, 2012, 11:38:57 AM »
Thank you Bobcat!

 


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