collapse

Advertisement


Author Topic: Understanding wyoming random draw odds  (Read 1280 times)

Offline dilleytech

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2014
  • Posts: 1499
  • Location: Columbia gorge washington
Understanding wyoming random draw odds
« on: February 05, 2023, 02:53:07 PM »
I’m struggling to find an answer to this question, when looking at the random draw odds it shows the tag quota and the 1st,2nd, and 3rd choice applicant total for year 2021. So given the example below what are your actual odds? How is it calculated?

Region G / Quota 52/ 1st choice 1509/ 2nd 420/ 3rd 113

Offline Ghost Hunter

  • Political & Covid-19 Topics
  • Trade Count: (+2)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2007
  • Posts: 5166
  • Location: SW <-> NE
  • Groups: NRA Patron Life Member, RMEF Life, Sponser Member
Re: Understanding wyoming random draw odds
« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2023, 02:56:41 PM »
Points mean nothing.  Divide applications by number of tags.
Economy failure = Too many people spending money they don't have on things they don't need to impress people they don't like.

Offline dilleytech

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2014
  • Posts: 1499
  • Location: Columbia gorge washington
Re: Understanding wyoming random draw odds
« Reply #2 on: February 05, 2023, 03:31:35 PM »
Points mean nothing.  Divide applications by number of tags.

I understand points mean nothing so your odds in this example would be 2.5%?

Online Karl Blanchard

  • Trade Count: (+22)
  • Explorer
  • ******
  • Join Date: Aug 2008
  • Posts: 10126
  • Location: Selah, WA
  • Jonathan_S hunting apparel prostaff
  • Groups: Sitka Gear Fan Boy for LIFE
Re: Understanding wyoming random draw odds
« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2023, 03:47:18 PM »
All first choice applicants are considered first before moving to second or third choices. All G tags go as first choice so second and third choice applicant numbers are inconsequential.
It is foolish and wrong to mourn these men.  Rather, we should thank god that such men lived.  -General George S. Patton

Aaron's Profile:  http://hunting-washington.com/smf/index.php?action=profile;u=2875
Aaron's Posts:  http://hunting-washington.com/smf/index.php?action=profile;area=showposts;u=2875
Aaron's Facebook:  https://www.facebook.com/aaron.blanchard.94

Offline Ghost Hunter

  • Political & Covid-19 Topics
  • Trade Count: (+2)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2007
  • Posts: 5166
  • Location: SW <-> NE
  • Groups: NRA Patron Life Member, RMEF Life, Sponser Member
Re: Understanding wyoming random draw odds
« Reply #4 on: February 05, 2023, 04:10:00 PM »
 :yeah:   Party isn't eliminated if not enough tags remain when drawn.  I'm in party of 2 drawing for 2 tags.  42 applications last year.  Does that double my odds?
Economy failure = Too many people spending money they don't have on things they don't need to impress people they don't like.

Offline dilleytech

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2014
  • Posts: 1499
  • Location: Columbia gorge washington
Re: Understanding wyoming random draw odds
« Reply #5 on: February 05, 2023, 06:16:50 PM »
All first choice applicants are considered first before moving to second or third choices. All G tags go as first choice so second and third choice applicant numbers are inconsequential.

Gotcha so more like 3.44% odds

Offline BULLBLASTER

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+14)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Oct 2008
  • Posts: 8074
Re: Understanding wyoming random draw odds
« Reply #6 on: February 05, 2023, 06:38:06 PM »
:yeah:   Party isn't eliminated if not enough tags remain when drawn.  I'm in party of 2 drawing for 2 tags.  42 applications last year.  Does that double my odds?
No. You still go in as just one app. If you are drawn they will give your entire group tags even if it goes over the quota.

Offline Widgeondeke

  • Trade Count: (+7)
  • Frontiersman
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jan 2010
  • Posts: 3340
  • Location: Lake Stevens, WA
  • US Army Infantry 91-98
Re: Understanding wyoming random draw odds
« Reply #7 on: February 05, 2023, 07:01:25 PM »
All first choice applicants are considered first before moving to second or third choices. All G tags go as first choice so second and third choice applicant numbers are inconsequential.

Gotcha so more like 3.44% odds
:chuckle:  I was gonna give the benefit of rounding up and go with 3.45% chance to draw

 


* Advertisement

* Recent Topics

American Legion Post #14 Spring Drawing by pianoman9701
[Today at 07:05:48 AM]


Wolves’ numbers strengthening in Washington by trophyhunt
[Today at 07:03:41 AM]


Wife’s bull moose from euro to shoulder mount. by trophyhunt
[Today at 06:13:41 AM]


2022 Turkeys! Share your harvest. by zwickeyman
[Today at 05:50:17 AM]


58cal muzzy bullets by lazydrifter
[Today at 05:27:15 AM]


Form 4 - Two Day Approval by Dan-o
[Yesterday at 11:19:36 PM]


Eastern WA guide recommendations by Bob33
[Yesterday at 10:49:20 PM]


Machias' 2024 Idaho Spring Bear by TeacherMan
[Yesterday at 10:05:55 PM]


Ollin digiscope by huntnnw
[Yesterday at 10:01:33 PM]


Marlin model 55 by HighlandLofts
[Yesterday at 09:53:27 PM]


Big stud of a club-horn Rocky Mountain bull! by 2MANY
[Yesterday at 09:28:17 PM]


Buck tags - Blacktail by Huckleberry
[Yesterday at 09:04:01 PM]


From Behind by kentrek
[Yesterday at 08:19:43 PM]


NE turkey report by hunter399
[Yesterday at 07:36:14 PM]


VA Loans - My Duty is to Serve Veterans by Rat44
[Yesterday at 04:19:30 PM]


VA Mortgages - The Funding Fee by pianoman9701
[Yesterday at 03:30:32 PM]


VA Mortgages - The Tidewater Process by pianoman9701
[Yesterday at 03:16:15 PM]


Idaho moose, sheep, mountain goat by Fletch
[Yesterday at 02:54:57 PM]


Turkey Shot Shell Dilemma by duckmen1
[Yesterday at 02:53:41 PM]


Buckley Home Sold with 6 offers over asking price by pianoman9701
[Yesterday at 02:45:13 PM]

SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2024, SimplePortal