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Author Topic: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington  (Read 9547 times)

Offline idahohuntr

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Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« on: April 21, 2013, 08:23:14 AM »
I attached a pdf of draw odds by point total from the 2012 applications/tag numbers for all quality elk hunts in washington.  I list each hunt by hunt number and name...so you may have to refer to 2012 regs to look up a specific hunt.
"It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood..." - TR

Offline Halo

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2013, 08:59:21 AM »
Just right, I have a similar Excel spreadsheet worked up, I haven't updated it for this year yet though. The numbers look pretty close to mine though.

Offline Greenhorn

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #2 on: April 24, 2013, 09:49:35 AM »
Depressing!
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Offline Falcon

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #3 on: April 29, 2013, 08:46:21 PM »
Very cool.

Most guys look at this and think doom and gloom.

I am faithful every year with the permit process.

I have been fortunate to draw 2 quality mule deer rut hunt, 1 rut elk hunt, and 2 goat permits. 1 prior to 99.

I am looking someday to draw moose and sheep.  The sheep will be a tough draw, but i remain hopeful.

I think of my chances, and hope to be lucky.

Do me a favor and do sheep and moose odds.

Thanks,

Bryan
Cast all your anxiety upon him, for he cares for you.    1 Peter 5:7

Offline bobcat

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #4 on: April 29, 2013, 08:54:45 PM »
Thank you! I love looking at this kind of stuff!

Offline 6x6in6

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #5 on: April 29, 2013, 09:08:46 PM »
Look at hunt #2019.
That should be moved over to the OIL tag category.   :chuckle:

Good work.  I use the same method of determining odds.
The only difference I do is odds of winning versus percentage of winning.   So my #2019 looks like a 1:89 for that 25 point holder.
I'm going to hedge to guess that the 26 point holder odds will be right around 1:100 for the 2013 draw.

Offline idahohuntr

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #6 on: May 02, 2013, 10:03:35 PM »
Thank you! I love looking at this kind of stuff!

Me too...when its not hunting season its "draw" season :)
"It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood..." - TR

Offline idahohuntr

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #7 on: May 02, 2013, 10:15:01 PM »
Very cool.

Do me a favor and do sheep and moose odds.

Thanks,

Bryan

I put up moose odds in the "Other Big Game" category just a minute ago...haven't looked at sheep yet.
"It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood..." - TR

Offline Maverick

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #8 on: May 03, 2013, 02:13:46 PM »
great post!

Offline vandeman17

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #9 on: May 03, 2013, 02:23:55 PM »
Pretty crazy when people with 20+ points still have less then a 5% chance of drawing.

I am that guy that could have 50 points and still not draw. If I didn't have bad luck I wouldn't have any luck at all.
" I have hunted almost every day of my life, the rest have been wasted"

Offline trophyhunt

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #10 on: May 03, 2013, 03:22:53 PM »
Very cool.

Most guys look at this and think doom and gloom.

I am faithful every year with the permit process.

I have been fortunate to draw 2 quality mule deer rut hunt, 1 rut elk hunt, and 2 goat permits. 1 prior to 99.

I am looking someday to draw moose and sheep.  The sheep will be a tough draw, but i remain hopeful.

I think of my chances, and hope to be lucky.

Do me a favor and do sheep and moose odds.

Thanks,

Bryan
Could you send me a PM of who you know in the wdfw??? I will send money!!!!
“In common with”..... not so much!!

Online Moose Master

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #11 on: May 06, 2013, 05:48:34 PM »
This was way cool of you to take the time to put together.  As a holder of a 2013 multi season tag it will help me make some decision's.  The biggest is wether I get the house done or go hunting!  Guess if I have to put a dog house as a addition I won't need a permit for that.

Offline billythekidrock

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #12 on: May 06, 2013, 05:54:40 PM »
Very cool. Thanks for sharing.




Offline brianb231

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #13 on: May 21, 2013, 01:25:48 PM »
Thanks for putting this together!   :tup:

I can't turn up my 2012 regs - any chance someone can tell me what the hunt number was for Peaches Early Archery?  I THINK it is 2062  ?? :dunno:

Offline 6x6in6

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Re: Draw Odds 2012 for Quality Elk in Washington
« Reply #14 on: May 21, 2013, 01:30:34 PM »
Thanks for putting this together!   :tup:

I can't turn up my 2012 regs - any chance someone can tell me what the hunt number was for Peaches Early Archery?  I THINK it is 2062  ?? :dunno:
Yes, it was 2062 in 2012.

 


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