collapse

Advertisement


Author Topic: Multi-season Tag drawing odds  (Read 24131 times)

Offline Tacbeav

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Tracker
  • **
  • Join Date: Jan 2010
  • Posts: 75
Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« on: March 26, 2023, 08:08:16 AM »
I was curious about the multi-season draws odds.  They are not yet available for 2022 on the WDFW website that I could find.  In 2021 for deer, it was 8,500 tags for 21,641 apps, 39% chance.  Elk was 1000 tags for 20588 applicants, 5% chance.

Offline Rainier10

  • Administrator
  • Trade Count: (+5)
  • Explorer
  • *****
  • Join Date: Dec 2010
  • Posts: 16219
  • Location: Over the edge
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #1 on: March 26, 2023, 08:20:54 AM »
It’s worse than that if you factor in the squaring of points.
Pain is temporary, achieving the goal is worth it.

I didn't say it would be easy, I said it would be worth it.

Every father should remember that one day his children will follow his example instead of his advice.


The views and opinions expressed in this post are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of HuntWa or the site owner.

Offline cem3434

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+32)
  • Frontiersman
  • *****
  • Join Date: Apr 2010
  • Posts: 3200
  • Location: Wetside
  • Groups: NRA, MDF, RMEF, NWTF, PF, RGS, WSF, WSTA
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #2 on: March 26, 2023, 08:33:25 AM »
 :yeah: I've put in every year for elk and have never drawn, so I have like 14 or 15 points. I lost track at this point, but my points theoretically give me a better shot at being issued a lower number in the draw than a person with only 1 point. The bottomline is the odds are much worse than your calculations once y ou u figure in squaring of the points.
The best friend a guy could have asked for. RIP chasing pheasants in heaven Denali girl.

Offline trophyhunt

  • Forum Sponsor
  • Trade Count: (+11)
  • Legend
  • *****
  • Join Date: Nov 2008
  • Posts: 20041
  • Location: Wetside
  • Groups: Wa Wild Sheep Life Member
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #3 on: March 26, 2023, 09:34:54 AM »
Will have 12 points this year for elk, but those odds are terrible either way, 20 or 1 point.
“In common with”..... not so much!!

Offline Ghost Hunter

  • Trade Count: (+2)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2007
  • Posts: 5425
  • Location: SW <-> NE
  • Groups: NRA Patron Life Member, RMEF Life, Sponser Member
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #4 on: March 26, 2023, 09:45:37 AM »
I've got 7, 8, 9, 10, & 11 points in elk categories.  That number of squared points amounts to   :tdown:    :sry:
Economy failure = Too many people spending money they don't have on things they don't need to impress people they don't like.

Offline Sundance

  • Political & Covid-19 Topics
  • Trade Count: (+7)
  • Longhunter
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jan 2010
  • Posts: 691
  • Location: Kingston
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #5 on: March 26, 2023, 09:47:08 AM »
I drew elk in 2013 with 5 points, then again in 2022 with 8 points. I guess I will be lucky if I ever draw it again, but I have really enjoyed it when I’ve I had that tag.

Offline dilleytech

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2014
  • Posts: 1711
  • Location: Columbia gorge washington
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #6 on: March 26, 2023, 11:41:20 AM »
I’m going in with 6 elk points and 3 deer points. I have bought the deer tag every fall anyway but I have been in a losing streak. When I started the multi season draw 7 years ago it was about 100% draw odds for deer.

Offline spin05

  • Trade Count: (+2)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2007
  • Posts: 1265
  • Location: Camano Island
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #7 on: March 28, 2023, 12:41:11 AM »
wow that's disappointing odds. I was hoping to draw this year with zero points.   lol

Offline MeepDog

  • Trade Count: (+5)
  • Longhunter
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2021
  • Posts: 722
  • Location: SE Washington
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #8 on: March 28, 2023, 07:36:24 AM »
Meanwhile some dingus is drawing with zero points and not purchasing the tag.  :bash:

Offline trophyhunt

  • Forum Sponsor
  • Trade Count: (+11)
  • Legend
  • *****
  • Join Date: Nov 2008
  • Posts: 20041
  • Location: Wetside
  • Groups: Wa Wild Sheep Life Member
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #9 on: March 28, 2023, 07:51:24 AM »
Meanwhile some dingus is drawing with zero points and not purchasing the tag.  :bash:
:yeah: moronski’s
“In common with”..... not so much!!

Offline dilleytech

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2014
  • Posts: 1711
  • Location: Columbia gorge washington
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #10 on: March 28, 2023, 08:13:18 AM »
wow that's disappointing odds. I was hoping to draw this year with zero points.   lol

You absolutely could.

Offline dilleytech

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2014
  • Posts: 1711
  • Location: Columbia gorge washington
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #11 on: March 28, 2023, 08:14:13 AM »
Meanwhile some dingus is drawing with zero points and not purchasing the tag.  :bash:

Thankfully. So the rest of us can buy it in august.

Offline MeepDog

  • Trade Count: (+5)
  • Longhunter
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2021
  • Posts: 722
  • Location: SE Washington
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #12 on: March 28, 2023, 08:19:54 AM »
Meanwhile some dingus is drawing with zero points and not purchasing the tag.  :bash:
I didn't get redrawn last year until October. I haven't heard a straight answer if they're sticking with the same system as last year, or reverting back to first come first served. Anyone know for certain?

Thankfully. So the rest of us can buy it in august.

Offline Ghost Hunter

  • Trade Count: (+2)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2007
  • Posts: 5425
  • Location: SW <-> NE
  • Groups: NRA Patron Life Member, RMEF Life, Sponser Member
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #13 on: March 28, 2023, 08:35:25 AM »
wow that's disappointing odds. I was hoping to draw this year with zero points.   lol

You absolutely could.

You get a point when you buy the application, so everyone starts with 1 point.  Back to zero when you draw.
Economy failure = Too many people spending money they don't have on things they don't need to impress people they don't like.

Offline dilleytech

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2014
  • Posts: 1711
  • Location: Columbia gorge washington
Re: Multi-season Tag drawing odds
« Reply #14 on: March 28, 2023, 08:36:24 AM »
Meanwhile some dingus is drawing with zero points and not purchasing the tag.  :bash:
I didn't get redrawn last year until October. I haven't heard a straight answer if they're sticking with the same system as last year, or reverting back to first come first served. Anyone know for certain?

Thankfully. So the rest of us can buy it in august.

Oh ya I forgot about that.. what a joke that turned out to be.

 


* Advertisement

* Recent Topics

Diarrhea ? by metlhead
[Today at 04:13:28 AM]


Late Alta Muzzy by teanawayslayer
[Today at 03:46:56 AM]


2025 15th Annual Hunting-Washington Christmas Gift Exchange by Romulus1297
[Today at 12:36:45 AM]


Idaho Non-res hunt draw by highside74
[Yesterday at 11:27:16 PM]


2025 blacktail rut thread by Kingofthemountain83
[Yesterday at 11:03:57 PM]


One of my Wowzhers by High Climber
[Yesterday at 08:48:37 PM]


Looking for Red Hot Replacement Muzzleloader Nipple 2 SKU: M900013 by Westside88
[Yesterday at 08:47:31 PM]


My wife found her first shed by WapitiTalk1
[Yesterday at 08:27:18 PM]


Winchester SX3 problem by grousetracker
[Yesterday at 07:58:31 PM]


Moose in western washington? by Boar
[Yesterday at 07:54:25 PM]


2025 deer, let's see em! by elkrack
[Yesterday at 07:04:08 PM]


Mcnary snow by metlhead
[Yesterday at 06:55:12 PM]


Hunter bags 717 lb black bear by MADMAX
[Yesterday at 05:33:13 PM]


Real world feedback needed: Rangefinder Binos by jamesjett
[Yesterday at 02:34:53 PM]


Throwing a Hail Marry - Late Season Deer or Elk by Soady
[Yesterday at 12:01:27 PM]


Idaho Moose Tag Area 1-1 Hunt 3001 by MADMAX
[Yesterday at 07:53:23 AM]


Ain’t it the truth!!😆😆😆😆 by wadu1
[Yesterday at 07:40:28 AM]


Blue Tongue and EHD outbreak in NE Washington by hunter399
[Yesterday at 06:13:12 AM]


Whos going out for late muzzy Elk? by trophyhunt
[November 28, 2025, 10:33:49 PM]

SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2025, SimplePortal