If your shooting close range, 25 yards or less, go with the Winchester. I would go shell to shell with anyone with the expensive stuff and would drop a bird with every shot. You hit the 40+ yard mark on birds and that's where you start noticing the difference between the various shots. If your consistently pass shoot, I would lean towards the Heavy Metal as it will dirt the birds at the longer distance without crippling them. Again the big key to this is how good of shot you are and how much practice you get. I take guys out that make it out a few times a year and buy the Bismuth, Hevi Shot, etc. and miss like crazy at 20 yards. There's a lot to be said for someone that is confident in there shots.