Free: Contests & Raffles.
Yet the funny thing is I absolutely don't use harvest reports as a guidline to where I want to hunt. I still scout using my two feet.
I talked to a couple of guys in Raymond this year while on an elk hunt , They just started laughing about harvest reports when I talked about success percentages.They said do you really fill that out and send it in ?I told them I did and accurately reported the GMU, but I guess looking at their reaction to me telling them that, under or not reporting, just to skew stats, is not something I ever thought much about before this year.
Well atleast we know the special permit people have to report accurately
Actually there is this neat little coefficient in statistics called a confidence interval....and believe it or not, it is used to measure the accuracy of an estimate. The great thing about a confidence interval is that it can be easily determined from a smaller subset of data....basically the WDFW has pretty good data indicating how many people lie versus tell the truth on their harvest reports. The large volume of data that the WDFW gets from the harvest reports is invaluable.
Quote from: Packers10 on January 03, 2011, 01:04:52 PMActually there is this neat little coefficient in statistics called a confidence interval....and believe it or not, it is used to measure the accuracy of an estimate. The great thing about a confidence interval is that it can be easily determined from a smaller subset of data....basically the WDFW has pretty good data indicating how many people lie versus tell the truth on their harvest reports. The large volume of data that the WDFW gets from the harvest reports is invaluable. Ok, so where does the states data fall in this confidence interval. What data or surveys are they using to determine liars vs non liars? I agree harvest reports are helpful tools, but I would question the states accuracy in determining whether people are lying or not.