Looks like the weather may be pretty nasty for the modern firearm opener this weekend. Curious to know how this will affect people's strategies.
My thoughts are that the wind is probably going to keep the deer holding pretty tight. Textbook says that Monday will be the day to be out there because it will be the first calm day in a while...unfortunately Monday is a Monday.
From: NWS Seattle - NOAA Service Account
Sent: Tuesday, October 11, 2016 1:07:17 PM (UTC-08:00) Pacific Time (US & Canada)
Subject: IMPORTANT INFORMATION: Very Significant Weather Expected to Affect the Region Wednesday Night Through This Weekend.
IMPORTANT INFORMATION: Very Significant Weather Expected to Affect the Region Wednesday Night Through This Weekend
Hello,
This message is intended as an informational briefing for public safety decision makers. We ask that you continue to monitor latest information using the resources listed below. You are welcome to share this message with others in your organization. Please do not respond to this email. If you need to contact the office, please use the links and information below.
SYNOPSIS:
A series of early season - strong Pacific storm systems - will affect the region Wednesday night through the weekend. These systems have the potential to bring very strong winds and heavy rainfall to Western Washington, as well as high seas to area waters, especially the coastal waters of Washington. The second system, that will affect the area Saturday and Sunday looks to be the stronger of the two.
HEADLINES:
Flood watch for Mason County for Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon .
FORECAST SPECIFICS:
The first of two strong Pacific storm systems will likely begin to affect the area Wednesday evening as rain begins to spread into the region. Models continue to show the potential for up 1 to 2 inches of rain over the lowlands and 2 to 4 inches in the mountains. Heavier accumulations of 5 or more inches are possible especially along the south facing slopes of the Olympic mountains Wednesday night through Thursday. Snow levels will remain high, above 7000 feet during the heaviest rainfall Wednesday evening and Thursday, lowering to 5000 to 6000 ft on Friday.
Models are also highlighting the potential for a deep surface low tracking northeast onto the North Washington Coast late Thursday/Thursday night followed by a second weaker low during the day on Friday. This will result in the potential for very strong winds especially along the coast and in the north interior. The exact timing, location and strength of significant winds will depend on the track and strength of the surface low which is not certain at this time.
A second, potentially stronger Pacific storm system will affect the region on Saturday and Sunday. Models continue to show a very deep surface low tracking into the area that may bring heavier precipitation and even stronger winds than Thursday's system. In addition to rainfall and winds, this system will also bring seas greater than 30 feet to the coastal waters of Washington and the potential for significant coastal flooding. The details regarding the nature of the impacts of this storm, including the specific timing, location, strength and type of hazards, are dependent upon the track and strength of the surface low, which is not certain at this time.
IMPACTS:
These storm systems have the potential to bring a wide range of potentially significant impacts to the region.
Heavy rain is possible, with rises on area rivers and the potential for flooding.
High winds are possible especially along the coast and the north interior. Impacts relative to strong winds such as widespread power outages and tree damage are possible.
High seas are possible, up to 20 to 25 feet Thursday night into Friday morning and even higher Saturday and Sunday with seas 30 feet or higher.
High seas, combined with other storm effects and tides may produce storm surge flooding along coastal areas of Washington.
CONFIDENCE:
Confidence is moderate to high that one or more strong Pacific storm systems will affect the area beginning Wednesday evening through the weekend.
In addition, confidence is moderate to high that these storm systems will produce a wide range of potentially significant impacts.
Confidence in the specific timing, location and magnitude of impacts is low at this time.
Web Site:
http://www.weather.gov/seattleFacebook:
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National Weather Service, Seattle WA
