Peaches Ridge Draw Odds

[Stein]

The odds are actually a bit worse as you apply for more than one choice.  Gohunt is the best but they don’t run WA.  For states like ours, you need to run simulations to get the true  odds.

Plug it in, run the draw a couple million times and you approach true odds.

Or, buy the lottery ticket and hop Lady Luck is on your side.


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[Biggerhammer]

I drew Observatory Modern Bull with 4 points and Peaches Ridge Modern Bull with 5 Points.

Point is, you never know. The world record California Sheep out of the Swakane Unit was drawn with 6 points.

Throw the dice! 

[wheels]

odds are long but someone has to draw

[Duckhunter14]

I drew Observatory Modern Bull with 4 points and Peaches Ridge Modern Bull with 5 Points.

Point is, you never know. The world record California Sheep out of the Swakane Unit was drawn with 6 points.

Throw the dice!

Let's see some pics Bighammer!

[Biggerhammer]

I’ll laugh my A$$ off if I draw either again with one point this year.

I just have this tingling feeling I’m due for a Colockum Quality Bull permit. 😈

[D-Rock425]

The odds are actually a bit worse as you apply for more than one choice.  Gohunt is the best but they don’t run WA.  For states like ours, you need to run simulations to get the true  odds.

Plug it in, run the draw a couple million times and you approach true odds.

Or, buy the lottery ticket and hop Lady Luck is on your side.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

how are odds worse if you apply for more than one hunt?

[Stein]

The odds are actually a bit worse as you apply for more than one choice.  Gohunt is the best but they don’t run WA.  For states like ours, you need to run simulations to get the true  odds.

Plug it in, run the draw a couple million times and you approach true odds.

Or, buy the lottery ticket and hop Lady Luck is on your side.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

how are odds worse if you apply for more than one hunt?

The guy that has a number lower than you can have it as his first, second or third choice and pull the tag before they get to your number.  Unless I am wrong, in WA, they look at all your choices before going on to the next guy.  Some states only look at your first before going on, then all the seconds, then all the thirds.

[NRA4LIFE]

That is correct.  If you're name comes up, they look at all 4 from your first to last.  If there are any tags left for one of your choices, then you get that tag. 

[Reidus]

That is correct.  If you're name comes up, they look at all 4 from your first to last.  If there are any tags left for one of your choices, then you get that tag.

That's what they say they do anyway.

[D-Rock425]

I just always put in for a super hard to draw hunt with normally very few tags available my first choice then a hunt with more tags available on my 2nd choice.

[Mr Mykiss]

I put in for hunts and maintain a negative attitude for as long as possible throughout the draw process...at some point I cave and start daydreaming about drawing hunts, then
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Dreams shattered!!!!

[Duckhunter14]

I put in for hunts and maintain a negative attitude for as long as possible throughout the draw process...at some point I cave and start daydreaming about drawing hunts, then
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Dreams shattered!!!!

You an me both! Im staying strong with the negative attitude this year though. Im convinced Im not drawing anything and I wont let the draws play with my heart again!   

[D-Rock425]

I think I'm drawing every single year.

[jagermiester]

It's all irrelevant.  I drew a quality with 5 pts.  Dont care what my odds are it's just *censored* ass luck.

Hilarious I think you censored the wrong word

Cmon fellas some lucky dog has to win it. Someday it may be you!
I think its gonna be me this year though I got like 5 points. Sorry 

[notsosneaky]

It’s extremely difficult to establish actual odds of drawing a given tag. The “names in the hat” analogy is lacking because each “name in the hat” is a randomly generated number, only the lowest of which is put on the list. Meaning, overall, thousands of guys with one point have really long odds and a couple hundred guys with 23 points have really long odds.