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Author Topic: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted  (Read 10958 times)

Offline MuleySniper

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #15 on: September 01, 2010, 03:08:32 PM »
Wow! Only six points to draw the Swakane sheep tag? Funny how a local ended up with that "one"  :rolleyes:
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Offline ramslam

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #16 on: September 01, 2010, 03:12:19 PM »
My point was rolling the current system over to a preference point system would not be rational statistically when there are still only 37 permits and 14,000 applicants.

Offline mkcj

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #17 on: September 01, 2010, 03:15:05 PM »
CHEWUCH and PEARRYGIN didn't go up at all seems like everyone Else's area tripled but not these 2

Offline ramslam

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #18 on: September 01, 2010, 03:16:25 PM »
And I found the 2009 drawing summaries.

Here is sheep:

http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/harvest/2009/reports/sheep_hunt_name.php


Here is elk:

http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/harvest/2009/reports/elk_hunt_name.php


I guess its time to compare to really see what the changes in the application process did to draw odds.  

Offline bobcat

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #19 on: September 01, 2010, 03:18:36 PM »
CHEWUCH and PEARRYGIN didn't go up at all seems like everyone Else's area tripled but not these 2


Most of the Quality hunts I have looked at the number of applicants decreased by about half.

This makes sense as the Quality applications went from having 4 choices to only 2 choices.

Offline MuleySniper

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #20 on: September 01, 2010, 03:19:53 PM »
 :yeah:
"Gun control is for wimps and commies. Listen, let's get one thing straight. Guns don't kill people. I do. "
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Offline bobcat

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #21 on: September 01, 2010, 03:20:56 PM »
And I found the 2009 drawing summaries.

Here is sheep:

http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/harvest/2009/reports/sheep_hunt_name.php


Here is elk:

http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/harvest/2009/reports/elk_hunt_name.php


I guess its time to compare to really see what the changes in the application process did to draw odds. 

Those are the Harvest Reports, not the Draw Result Summaries.   :dunno:

Offline billythekidrock

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #22 on: September 01, 2010, 03:23:01 PM »
CHEWUCH and PEARRYGIN didn't go up at all seems like everyone Else's area tripled but not these 2


Most of the Quality hunts I have looked at the number of applicants decreased by about half.

This makes sense as the Quality applications went from having 4 choices to only 2 choices.

I noticed that the 3 local "Quality" buck permit applicants dropped by nearly 1/3. Not at much as I thought but still a significant drop.




Offline ramslam

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #23 on: September 01, 2010, 03:53:59 PM »
Oops, my bad.  I was surfing several pages and when I finally went back to cut and paste I grabbed the wrong links.

Here is sheep.  Its the detailed breakdown and not the summary.

http://wdfw.wa.gov/hunting/harvest/2009/2009permit_summary_sheep.pdf

Offline jackelope

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #24 on: September 01, 2010, 03:56:06 PM »
1006          TUCANNON       1           1        474         4.00           1 0 0 0 5 468


 8)

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Offline Ridgerunner

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #25 on: September 01, 2010, 04:00:59 PM »
Not bad, I got you beat though, 2002 applicants for one tag and it had my name on it, wow!

Offline Ridgerunner

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #26 on: September 01, 2010, 04:02:33 PM »
Looks like quality odds actually went up for the most part which doesn't surprise me, the desert hunt is only half as popular as it used to be.  Glad they finally posted these, now its time to crunch some numbers.

Offline bobcat

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #27 on: September 01, 2010, 04:07:19 PM »
I'm having a difficult time trying to wrap my brain around this, but it seems to me, as I've said in the past, that although the number of applications for each quality permit may have gone down, did the odds really go up? If you take the same number of people applying for quality hunts, and keep the same number of permits for those hunts, then how are odds going to increase? Sure it looks like the odds went up because each person is only putting in for two hunts instead of four. But I still believe odds will be about the same, overall (in the Quality categories.)

Offline jackelope

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #28 on: September 01, 2010, 04:09:03 PM »
I've never been able to even figure out how to calculate odds with our point system. Way too many variables with different # of points, etc.
You can figure out the average number of points it takes, but not the odds.
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Offline Ridgerunner

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Re: 2010 Special Hunt Permit Drawing Results (Summary) has been posted
« Reply #29 on: September 01, 2010, 04:10:00 PM »
I think anyway you cut it odds are pretty long.  Way I look at it its a miniscule difference in terms of % odds but it gives me a little more hope that maybe I'll draw.  

 


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