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Author Topic: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance  (Read 3892 times)

Offline bearpaw

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Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« on: April 01, 2023, 09:05:43 PM »
I was researching something else and stumbled onto this interesting story:

Quote
If you have zero points you have a .004% chance of drawing a tag. If you have max points (16) you have a 2% chance at drawing. Yikes! 16 years worth of buying points all for 1.5% better odds than someone with zero points.

full story: https://blog.eastmans.com/the-most-coveted-deer-permit-in-montana-that-you-will-never-draw/

Americans are systematically advocating, legislating, and voting away each others rights. Support all user groups & quit losing opportunity!

http://bearpawoutfitters.com Guided Hunts, Unguided, & Drop Camps in Idaho, Montana, Utah, and Wash. Hunts with tags available (no draw needed) for spring bear, fall bear, bison, cougar, elk, mule deer, turkey, whitetail, & wolf! http://trophymaps.com DIY Hunting Maps are also offered

Offline kentrek

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #1 on: April 01, 2023, 10:02:56 PM »
The premiums..where points go to die

I think one could argue in states that don't have a preference for longterm applicants to go short term on the draw strategy

Offline huntnphool

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #2 on: April 01, 2023, 11:17:53 PM »
 There are 180 bucks in general hunt areas! :twocents:
The things that come to those who wait, may be the things left by those who got there first!

Offline Dan-o

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #3 on: April 01, 2023, 11:23:20 PM »
There are 180 bucks in general hunt areas! :twocents:

Where?

Feel fee to PM me.   :chuckle:
Member:   Yakstrakgutp (or whatever we are)
I love the BFRO!!!
I wonder how many people will touch their nose to their screen trying to read this...

Offline huntnphool

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2023, 11:26:03 PM »
There are 180 bucks in general hunt areas! :twocents:

Where?

Feel fee to PM me.   :chuckle:

 :chuckle:
The things that come to those who wait, may be the things left by those who got there first!

Offline bearpaw

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #5 on: April 01, 2023, 11:35:09 PM »
There are 180 bucks in general hunt areas! :twocents:

That's true, but not as many of them as in draw areas.
Americans are systematically advocating, legislating, and voting away each others rights. Support all user groups & quit losing opportunity!

http://bearpawoutfitters.com Guided Hunts, Unguided, & Drop Camps in Idaho, Montana, Utah, and Wash. Hunts with tags available (no draw needed) for spring bear, fall bear, bison, cougar, elk, mule deer, turkey, whitetail, & wolf! http://trophymaps.com DIY Hunting Maps are also offered

Offline huntnphool

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #6 on: April 01, 2023, 11:38:37 PM »
There are 180 bucks in general hunt areas! :twocents:

That's true, but not as many of them as in draw areas.

 Agreed, but if your odds are .004% to draw the permit, does it really matter? :chuckle:
The things that come to those who wait, may be the things left by those who got there first!

Offline bearpaw

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #7 on: April 02, 2023, 07:09:42 AM »
There are 180 bucks in general hunt areas! :twocents:

That's true, but not as many of them as in draw areas.

 Agreed, but if your odds are .004% to draw the permit, does it really matter? :chuckle:

Certainly not regarding that unit and many others where the trophy potential isn't really all that much greater.
Americans are systematically advocating, legislating, and voting away each others rights. Support all user groups & quit losing opportunity!

http://bearpawoutfitters.com Guided Hunts, Unguided, & Drop Camps in Idaho, Montana, Utah, and Wash. Hunts with tags available (no draw needed) for spring bear, fall bear, bison, cougar, elk, mule deer, turkey, whitetail, & wolf! http://trophymaps.com DIY Hunting Maps are also offered

Offline Fidelk

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #8 on: April 02, 2023, 08:33:46 AM »
Same as a lottery. Hope that you win, just don't expect it.

Offline Magnum_Willys

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #9 on: April 02, 2023, 08:40:40 AM »
Technically its 37,500% better odds but still 1 out of 50 chance.

Offline bearpaw

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #10 on: April 02, 2023, 09:16:04 AM »
If you can afford to buy 160 acres in that unit you can qualify for one of the landowner tags, small price to pay....
Americans are systematically advocating, legislating, and voting away each others rights. Support all user groups & quit losing opportunity!

http://bearpawoutfitters.com Guided Hunts, Unguided, & Drop Camps in Idaho, Montana, Utah, and Wash. Hunts with tags available (no draw needed) for spring bear, fall bear, bison, cougar, elk, mule deer, turkey, whitetail, & wolf! http://trophymaps.com DIY Hunting Maps are also offered

Offline actionshooter

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #11 on: April 02, 2023, 09:24:11 AM »
There are 180 bucks in general hunt areas! :twocents:

That's true, but not as many of them as in draw areas.

 Agreed, but if your odds are .004% to draw the permit, does it really matter? :chuckle:

It does if you are putting in Washington... LOL  :chuckle:

Offline huntnphool

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #12 on: April 02, 2023, 05:14:06 PM »
There are 180 bucks in general hunt areas! :twocents:

That's true, but not as many of them as in draw areas.

 Agreed, but if your odds are .004% to draw the permit, does it really matter? :chuckle:

It does if you are putting in Washington... LOL  :chuckle:

 :chuckle:
The things that come to those who wait, may be the things left by those who got there first!

Offline 444Marlin

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #13 on: April 02, 2023, 08:35:48 PM »
I'm too old and late to the party get in the points game for a lot of hunts.  And laws are changing each year where non-residents allocations are getting worse.  It's probably best to enjoy those general season hunts while I can, and save up for outfitted hunt with the money I'd put towards building points.

Offline Onewhohikes

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Re: Permit in Montana that You Will Never Draw .004% chance
« Reply #14 on: April 02, 2023, 09:18:20 PM »
I must admit I have applied for that tag on several occasions

 


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