Free: Contests & Raffles.
Quote from: idahohuntr on June 11, 2014, 11:32:35 AMQuote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 10:09:43 AMQuote from: wolfbait on June 10, 2014, 10:37:43 PMWhere did the Lookout pack come from? USFWS with>>> "southcentral British Columbia"http://www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/mammals/wolf/annualrpt08/FINAL_2008_USFWS_Recovery_Program_Update_3-17-09.pdfWDFW with>>>the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canadahttp://www.conservationnw.org/news/pressroom/press-clips/dna-samples-confirm-gray-wolves-are-back-in-methow-valleyConservation Northwest with>>>>>coastal British Columbiahttp://methowvalleynews.com/2013/06/25/will-federal-delisting-impact-states-wolves/That is really a good question and brings up another more serious question, "Why are there three different answers regarding the DNA results?" I looked at all three links and each story is claiming a different DNA result than the other. There are not 3 different answers. USFWS says the wolves handled in 2008 near Twisp have genetic profiles most similar to wolves from S-C BC. The type of genetic evaluations they use to assign origin are not anything even remotely close to what most people think of DNA testing where you look for a "match"...as in a criminal trial. Thus, folks with little understanding of genetics are assuming that scientists should be able to unequivocally and with 100% certainty say exactly where a wolf originated from. If an animal has a genotype similar to other reproductively isolated populations of wolves it is assigned a probability of originating from that population. What USFWS is saying is that the wolves handled in the Twisp area in 2008 are most similar to gentic profiles of wolves found in S-C BC. The CNW news releases/statements are 2nd hand interpretations of what USFWS did...the 3rd link is obviously CNW trying to trump up genetic differences for ESA listing purposes and actually I don't think they are even discussing the same wolves Basically, I'm saying we've got a game of telephone going on here...you have the original USFWS source and then you've got 2 links from perhaps less reliable sources. Reporters are very prone to pick up a tidbit and run with it if it is the most interesting thing to report so I would not use the methow valley news as a great source for genetic evaluations of wolves...go with USFWS analyses that the wolves in Twisp came from S-C BC and I think you are on the right track. That would also fit common sense even if we forget about all the genetics info wouldn't you agree?This highlights a frustration of mine...while I think it is critical for the public to engage in the management of their resources...if folks are not geneticists or toxicologists things can get pretty screwy if they pretend they are and it is very easy to misconstrue or distort things. Sometimes its done intentionally...other times its done by well meaning folks trying to help...either way it usually does not help address complex resource management problems. Let me see if I can wade through this ....So are you saying that two of those reports are false and one report is correct? Or are you saying that none of these reports are correct and they are all guessing? I could go along with the suggestion that CNW is playing politics, but please tell me again who is correct and who is wrong, WDFW or USFWS, or are they both guessing? If they honestly don't have a clue, why would they claim the wolves came from one place or another?I'm can hardly wait to hear the reply to this!
Quote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 10:09:43 AMQuote from: wolfbait on June 10, 2014, 10:37:43 PMWhere did the Lookout pack come from? USFWS with>>> "southcentral British Columbia"http://www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/mammals/wolf/annualrpt08/FINAL_2008_USFWS_Recovery_Program_Update_3-17-09.pdfWDFW with>>>the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canadahttp://www.conservationnw.org/news/pressroom/press-clips/dna-samples-confirm-gray-wolves-are-back-in-methow-valleyConservation Northwest with>>>>>coastal British Columbiahttp://methowvalleynews.com/2013/06/25/will-federal-delisting-impact-states-wolves/That is really a good question and brings up another more serious question, "Why are there three different answers regarding the DNA results?" I looked at all three links and each story is claiming a different DNA result than the other. There are not 3 different answers. USFWS says the wolves handled in 2008 near Twisp have genetic profiles most similar to wolves from S-C BC. The type of genetic evaluations they use to assign origin are not anything even remotely close to what most people think of DNA testing where you look for a "match"...as in a criminal trial. Thus, folks with little understanding of genetics are assuming that scientists should be able to unequivocally and with 100% certainty say exactly where a wolf originated from. If an animal has a genotype similar to other reproductively isolated populations of wolves it is assigned a probability of originating from that population. What USFWS is saying is that the wolves handled in the Twisp area in 2008 are most similar to gentic profiles of wolves found in S-C BC. The CNW news releases/statements are 2nd hand interpretations of what USFWS did...the 3rd link is obviously CNW trying to trump up genetic differences for ESA listing purposes and actually I don't think they are even discussing the same wolves Basically, I'm saying we've got a game of telephone going on here...you have the original USFWS source and then you've got 2 links from perhaps less reliable sources. Reporters are very prone to pick up a tidbit and run with it if it is the most interesting thing to report so I would not use the methow valley news as a great source for genetic evaluations of wolves...go with USFWS analyses that the wolves in Twisp came from S-C BC and I think you are on the right track. That would also fit common sense even if we forget about all the genetics info wouldn't you agree?This highlights a frustration of mine...while I think it is critical for the public to engage in the management of their resources...if folks are not geneticists or toxicologists things can get pretty screwy if they pretend they are and it is very easy to misconstrue or distort things. Sometimes its done intentionally...other times its done by well meaning folks trying to help...either way it usually does not help address complex resource management problems.
Quote from: wolfbait on June 10, 2014, 10:37:43 PMWhere did the Lookout pack come from? USFWS with>>> "southcentral British Columbia"http://www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/mammals/wolf/annualrpt08/FINAL_2008_USFWS_Recovery_Program_Update_3-17-09.pdfWDFW with>>>the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canadahttp://www.conservationnw.org/news/pressroom/press-clips/dna-samples-confirm-gray-wolves-are-back-in-methow-valleyConservation Northwest with>>>>>coastal British Columbiahttp://methowvalleynews.com/2013/06/25/will-federal-delisting-impact-states-wolves/That is really a good question and brings up another more serious question, "Why are there three different answers regarding the DNA results?" I looked at all three links and each story is claiming a different DNA result than the other.
Where did the Lookout pack come from? USFWS with>>> "southcentral British Columbia"http://www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/mammals/wolf/annualrpt08/FINAL_2008_USFWS_Recovery_Program_Update_3-17-09.pdfWDFW with>>>the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canadahttp://www.conservationnw.org/news/pressroom/press-clips/dna-samples-confirm-gray-wolves-are-back-in-methow-valleyConservation Northwest with>>>>>coastal British Columbiahttp://methowvalleynews.com/2013/06/25/will-federal-delisting-impact-states-wolves/
Quote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 03:06:04 PMQuote from: idahohuntr on June 11, 2014, 11:32:35 AMQuote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 10:09:43 AMQuote from: wolfbait on June 10, 2014, 10:37:43 PMWhere did the Lookout pack come from? USFWS with>>> "southcentral British Columbia"http://www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/mammals/wolf/annualrpt08/FINAL_2008_USFWS_Recovery_Program_Update_3-17-09.pdfWDFW with>>>the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canadahttp://www.conservationnw.org/news/pressroom/press-clips/dna-samples-confirm-gray-wolves-are-back-in-methow-valleyConservation Northwest with>>>>>coastal British Columbiahttp://methowvalleynews.com/2013/06/25/will-federal-delisting-impact-states-wolves/That is really a good question and brings up another more serious question, "Why are there three different answers regarding the DNA results?" I looked at all three links and each story is claiming a different DNA result than the other. There are not 3 different answers. USFWS says the wolves handled in 2008 near Twisp have genetic profiles most similar to wolves from S-C BC. The type of genetic evaluations they use to assign origin are not anything even remotely close to what most people think of DNA testing where you look for a "match"...as in a criminal trial. Thus, folks with little understanding of genetics are assuming that scientists should be able to unequivocally and with 100% certainty say exactly where a wolf originated from. If an animal has a genotype similar to other reproductively isolated populations of wolves it is assigned a probability of originating from that population. What USFWS is saying is that the wolves handled in the Twisp area in 2008 are most similar to gentic profiles of wolves found in S-C BC. The CNW news releases/statements are 2nd hand interpretations of what USFWS did...the 3rd link is obviously CNW trying to trump up genetic differences for ESA listing purposes and actually I don't think they are even discussing the same wolves Basically, I'm saying we've got a game of telephone going on here...you have the original USFWS source and then you've got 2 links from perhaps less reliable sources. Reporters are very prone to pick up a tidbit and run with it if it is the most interesting thing to report so I would not use the methow valley news as a great source for genetic evaluations of wolves...go with USFWS analyses that the wolves in Twisp came from S-C BC and I think you are on the right track. That would also fit common sense even if we forget about all the genetics info wouldn't you agree?This highlights a frustration of mine...while I think it is critical for the public to engage in the management of their resources...if folks are not geneticists or toxicologists things can get pretty screwy if they pretend they are and it is very easy to misconstrue or distort things. Sometimes its done intentionally...other times its done by well meaning folks trying to help...either way it usually does not help address complex resource management problems. Let me see if I can wade through this ....So are you saying that two of those reports are false and one report is correct? Or are you saying that none of these reports are correct and they are all guessing? I could go along with the suggestion that CNW is playing politics, but please tell me again who is correct and who is wrong, WDFW or USFWS, or are they both guessing? If they honestly don't have a clue, why would they claim the wolves came from one place or another?I'm can hardly wait to hear the reply to this! The wolves captured near twisp in 2008 had a genetic profile most similar to wolves found in S.C. BC I would stick with the USFWS report...I do not consider CNW website posts and the Methow Valley News as the best source for scientific information on the genetic analyses of wild animals. The quotes about wolves coming down from Northern BC...how easy is it to distinguish N. BC from SC BC? I don't know...is it important...probably not. The issue is: were these wolves from the NRM DPS or from BC...thats whats important and the answer was clear...they are from BC. Again, I think you don't understand the genetic analyses very well and that is making it difficult for you to correctly interpret what is actually being reported...ESPECIALLY when you are comparing a scientific summary from USFWS to the gossip columns on CNW and a small town newspaper. Also, none of the reports provide certainty levels...so while folks are drawn to the "where did the wolves come from" the scientists report that as a probability (think in terms of drawing a tag )...is it 85% probability they came from SC BC or was the probability 15% but that is the most likely source from the genetic database they had to draw from?I've probably not cleared this up for you because I'm not a professional geneticist, but I don't see any lying or inconsistency here. Furthermore, this whole "where did the wolves come from" is rooted in this bs about wolves being transplanted...folks who believe WDFW and USFWS are committing serious felonies and illegaly transplanting wolves around washington probably do not have the cognitive skills to understand the genetics work that is being done.
Quote from: idahohuntr on June 11, 2014, 04:40:09 PMQuote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 03:06:04 PMQuote from: idahohuntr on June 11, 2014, 11:32:35 AMQuote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 10:09:43 AMQuote from: wolfbait on June 10, 2014, 10:37:43 PMWhere did the Lookout pack come from? USFWS with>>> "southcentral British Columbia"http://www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/mammals/wolf/annualrpt08/FINAL_2008_USFWS_Recovery_Program_Update_3-17-09.pdfWDFW with>>>the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canadahttp://www.conservationnw.org/news/pressroom/press-clips/dna-samples-confirm-gray-wolves-are-back-in-methow-valleyConservation Northwest with>>>>>coastal British Columbiahttp://methowvalleynews.com/2013/06/25/will-federal-delisting-impact-states-wolves/That is really a good question and brings up another more serious question, "Why are there three different answers regarding the DNA results?" I looked at all three links and each story is claiming a different DNA result than the other. There are not 3 different answers. USFWS says the wolves handled in 2008 near Twisp have genetic profiles most similar to wolves from S-C BC. The type of genetic evaluations they use to assign origin are not anything even remotely close to what most people think of DNA testing where you look for a "match"...as in a criminal trial. Thus, folks with little understanding of genetics are assuming that scientists should be able to unequivocally and with 100% certainty say exactly where a wolf originated from. If an animal has a genotype similar to other reproductively isolated populations of wolves it is assigned a probability of originating from that population. What USFWS is saying is that the wolves handled in the Twisp area in 2008 are most similar to gentic profiles of wolves found in S-C BC. The CNW news releases/statements are 2nd hand interpretations of what USFWS did...the 3rd link is obviously CNW trying to trump up genetic differences for ESA listing purposes and actually I don't think they are even discussing the same wolves Basically, I'm saying we've got a game of telephone going on here...you have the original USFWS source and then you've got 2 links from perhaps less reliable sources. Reporters are very prone to pick up a tidbit and run with it if it is the most interesting thing to report so I would not use the methow valley news as a great source for genetic evaluations of wolves...go with USFWS analyses that the wolves in Twisp came from S-C BC and I think you are on the right track. That would also fit common sense even if we forget about all the genetics info wouldn't you agree?This highlights a frustration of mine...while I think it is critical for the public to engage in the management of their resources...if folks are not geneticists or toxicologists things can get pretty screwy if they pretend they are and it is very easy to misconstrue or distort things. Sometimes its done intentionally...other times its done by well meaning folks trying to help...either way it usually does not help address complex resource management problems. Let me see if I can wade through this ....So are you saying that two of those reports are false and one report is correct? Or are you saying that none of these reports are correct and they are all guessing? I could go along with the suggestion that CNW is playing politics, but please tell me again who is correct and who is wrong, WDFW or USFWS, or are they both guessing? If they honestly don't have a clue, why would they claim the wolves came from one place or another?I'm can hardly wait to hear the reply to this! The wolves captured near twisp in 2008 had a genetic profile most similar to wolves found in S.C. BC I would stick with the USFWS report...I do not consider CNW website posts and the Methow Valley News as the best source for scientific information on the genetic analyses of wild animals. The quotes about wolves coming down from Northern BC...how easy is it to distinguish N. BC from SC BC? I don't know...is it important...probably not. The issue is: were these wolves from the NRM DPS or from BC...thats whats important and the answer was clear...they are from BC. Again, I think you don't understand the genetic analyses very well and that is making it difficult for you to correctly interpret what is actually being reported...ESPECIALLY when you are comparing a scientific summary from USFWS to the gossip columns on CNW and a small town newspaper. Also, none of the reports provide certainty levels...so while folks are drawn to the "where did the wolves come from" the scientists report that as a probability (think in terms of drawing a tag )...is it 85% probability they came from SC BC or was the probability 15% but that is the most likely source from the genetic database they had to draw from?I've probably not cleared this up for you because I'm not a professional geneticist, but I don't see any lying or inconsistency here. Furthermore, this whole "where did the wolves come from" is rooted in this bs about wolves being transplanted...folks who believe WDFW and USFWS are committing serious felonies and illegaly transplanting wolves around washington probably do not have the cognitive skills to understand the genetics work that is being done. Feel free to unload your sarcasm and profanity on me too!
Quote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 05:54:38 PMQuote from: idahohuntr on June 11, 2014, 04:40:09 PMQuote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 03:06:04 PMQuote from: idahohuntr on June 11, 2014, 11:32:35 AMQuote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 10:09:43 AMQuote from: wolfbait on June 10, 2014, 10:37:43 PMWhere did the Lookout pack come from? USFWS with>>> "southcentral British Columbia"http://www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/mammals/wolf/annualrpt08/FINAL_2008_USFWS_Recovery_Program_Update_3-17-09.pdfWDFW with>>>the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canadahttp://www.conservationnw.org/news/pressroom/press-clips/dna-samples-confirm-gray-wolves-are-back-in-methow-valleyConservation Northwest with>>>>>coastal British Columbiahttp://methowvalleynews.com/2013/06/25/will-federal-delisting-impact-states-wolves/That is really a good question and brings up another more serious question, "Why are there three different answers regarding the DNA results?" I looked at all three links and each story is claiming a different DNA result than the other. There are not 3 different answers. USFWS says the wolves handled in 2008 near Twisp have genetic profiles most similar to wolves from S-C BC. The type of genetic evaluations they use to assign origin are not anything even remotely close to what most people think of DNA testing where you look for a "match"...as in a criminal trial. Thus, folks with little understanding of genetics are assuming that scientists should be able to unequivocally and with 100% certainty say exactly where a wolf originated from. If an animal has a genotype similar to other reproductively isolated populations of wolves it is assigned a probability of originating from that population. What USFWS is saying is that the wolves handled in the Twisp area in 2008 are most similar to gentic profiles of wolves found in S-C BC. The CNW news releases/statements are 2nd hand interpretations of what USFWS did...the 3rd link is obviously CNW trying to trump up genetic differences for ESA listing purposes and actually I don't think they are even discussing the same wolves Basically, I'm saying we've got a game of telephone going on here...you have the original USFWS source and then you've got 2 links from perhaps less reliable sources. Reporters are very prone to pick up a tidbit and run with it if it is the most interesting thing to report so I would not use the methow valley news as a great source for genetic evaluations of wolves...go with USFWS analyses that the wolves in Twisp came from S-C BC and I think you are on the right track. That would also fit common sense even if we forget about all the genetics info wouldn't you agree?This highlights a frustration of mine...while I think it is critical for the public to engage in the management of their resources...if folks are not geneticists or toxicologists things can get pretty screwy if they pretend they are and it is very easy to misconstrue or distort things. Sometimes its done intentionally...other times its done by well meaning folks trying to help...either way it usually does not help address complex resource management problems. Let me see if I can wade through this ....So are you saying that two of those reports are false and one report is correct? Or are you saying that none of these reports are correct and they are all guessing? I could go along with the suggestion that CNW is playing politics, but please tell me again who is correct and who is wrong, WDFW or USFWS, or are they both guessing? If they honestly don't have a clue, why would they claim the wolves came from one place or another?I'm can hardly wait to hear the reply to this! The wolves captured near twisp in 2008 had a genetic profile most similar to wolves found in S.C. BC I would stick with the USFWS report...I do not consider CNW website posts and the Methow Valley News as the best source for scientific information on the genetic analyses of wild animals. The quotes about wolves coming down from Northern BC...how easy is it to distinguish N. BC from SC BC? I don't know...is it important...probably not. The issue is: were these wolves from the NRM DPS or from BC...thats whats important and the answer was clear...they are from BC. Again, I think you don't understand the genetic analyses very well and that is making it difficult for you to correctly interpret what is actually being reported...ESPECIALLY when you are comparing a scientific summary from USFWS to the gossip columns on CNW and a small town newspaper. Also, none of the reports provide certainty levels...so while folks are drawn to the "where did the wolves come from" the scientists report that as a probability (think in terms of drawing a tag )...is it 85% probability they came from SC BC or was the probability 15% but that is the most likely source from the genetic database they had to draw from?I've probably not cleared this up for you because I'm not a professional geneticist, but I don't see any lying or inconsistency here. Furthermore, this whole "where did the wolves come from" is rooted in this bs about wolves being transplanted...folks who believe WDFW and USFWS are committing serious felonies and illegaly transplanting wolves around washington probably do not have the cognitive skills to understand the genetics work that is being done. Feel free to unload your sarcasm and profanity on me too!Paint yourself as a victim if you want. There's plenty of sarcasm on all sides and you will be hard pressed to find profanity from me.Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
Preliminary results from additional genetic testing indicate the two wolves likely originated from British Columbia-Alberta populations. More comprehensive testing is currently being conducted to determine more specific information.
DNA tests showed that the wolves originated from a population in the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canada.
No smoking gun, but the WDFW News Release says: "the two wolves likely originated from British Columbia-Alberta populations". I looked further through WDFW New Releases and did not see where WDFW changed their statement regarding the origin of the wolves. For the record, at this point it appears wolfbait was actually correct that WDFW and USFWS are claiming different origins of the pack. So there are certainly questions regarding either the claims or the validity of the DNA evidence of where this pack originated.http://wdfw.wa.gov/news/release.php?id=jul2308aWASHINGTON DEPARTMENT OF FISH AND WILDLIFENEWS RELEASEJuly 23, 2008Contact: Harriet Allen, (360) 902-2694QuotePreliminary results from additional genetic testing indicate the two wolves likely originated from British Columbia-Alberta populations. More comprehensive testing is currently being conducted to determine more specific information. http://www.conservationnw.org/news/pressroom/press-clips/dna-samples-confirm-gray-wolves-are-back-in-methow-valleyQuoteDNA tests showed that the wolves originated from a population in the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canada.
Quote from: bearpaw on June 11, 2014, 08:41:48 PMNo smoking gun, but the WDFW News Release says: "the two wolves likely originated from British Columbia-Alberta populations". I looked further through WDFW New Releases and did not see where WDFW changed their statement regarding the origin of the wolves. For the record, at this point it appears wolfbait was actually correct that WDFW and USFWS are claiming different origins of the pack. So there are certainly questions regarding either the claims or the validity of the DNA evidence of where this pack originated.http://wdfw.wa.gov/news/release.php?id=jul2308aWASHINGTON DEPARTMENT OF FISH AND WILDLIFENEWS RELEASEJuly 23, 2008Contact: Harriet Allen, (360) 902-2694QuotePreliminary results from additional genetic testing indicate the two wolves likely originated from British Columbia-Alberta populations. More comprehensive testing is currently being conducted to determine more specific information. http://www.conservationnw.org/news/pressroom/press-clips/dna-samples-confirm-gray-wolves-are-back-in-methow-valleyQuoteDNA tests showed that the wolves originated from a population in the northern British Columbia and Alberta provinces of Canada.This is where I disagree. The genetic method for assigning region or population of origin is not equivalent to getting a dna sample from a human and finding a "match" at the crime scene a la CSI. Rather, it is a probabilistic measure of how similar the genotype of one animal is to other sub-populations. Basically, they have a DNA "database" and they are not looking for a "match"...they are saying what population in our database is closest to the sample we collected. The USFWS report that was linked indicated S.C. BC. If another sample somebody assigned it to Northern BC that is not really inconsistent...wolves migrate large distances and this type of genetic analysis is not some fool proof evaluation like determining whether blood from this guy matches blood at a crime scene....which can be done with almost absolute certainty.Not to mention, the news releases are dumbed down to an 8th grade or less reading level so they can be interpreted by the general public with ease...so if you want to get into specifics to debate the origin of wolves from a pack in say Twisp we need to dig up the actual analyses and not rely on watered down news clips where a journalist and not a scientist makes the call on what exactly gets said.But as you mentioned earlier...I don't think this is really even an issue at this point. Wolves are here and they are not going anywhere. A poll by WDFW showed little support for general wolf hunting seasons (~30% support) and if there are cases where ungulate herds were decreasing because of wolves it was about 50/50 whether wolf control measures should be taken to protect ungulates. We hunters have to do a better job showing the non-hunting voters in this state that we are reasonable, balanced, informed folks who are interested in conserving all of washingtons wildlife. There is no doubt that wolf management/wolf hunting will ultimately end up on the ballot box in this state and it will make the hound/bait stuff look like a pillow fight. Claiming conspiracy after conspiracy and attacking wdfw will not help us, and I can't say it enough: WDFW IS OUR BIGGEST ALLY...especially since we will be asking the public to trust that wdfw will manage their wolves like all the other wildlife in this state.