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Author Topic: predicting reload velocity  (Read 5051 times)

Offline JimmyHoffa

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predicting reload velocity
« on: September 28, 2015, 05:40:02 PM »
How close are you guys with the velocity you think you're loading for and what the chrono actually spits out?
Reading the powder can/reload manuals/mfg websites, I thought I would be pretty close to published velocities.  But the chrono was either surprisingly low or high.  The loads were pretty consistent amongst themselves.
One example was 30-06 I was hoping to get around 2600 fps, but everything read about 2250 fps.  (the dang .30-30 can do that) So next batch gets a few more grains.  The other example was .338-378.  Expected to get about 2850, chrono is saying 3050.  And the charge was less than max published which had even lower velocity. 
Just kind of curious how closely your results match your predictions.

Offline jasnt

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2015, 09:32:09 PM »
What barrel lengths.  I normally get pretty close.   Books never right cause I've never had a rifle even close to books seating depth
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Offline JimmyHoffa

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2015, 09:53:37 PM »
22-26"  Same barrel/twist and in a few cases same model.  pretty much same atmospherics as book. 
Within a 100 fps, I could've made up some reasonable excuse to convince myself.  Chrono was about 12 feet out, so nothing goofy there.  Made that mistake long ago.... :chuckle:

Offline jasnt

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2015, 06:18:09 AM »
Which chrono?  I have a digital pro that every once in a while gets just the right light conditions and throws crazy speeds. Last week end for example it said my 243 was shooting a 95 vld at 5016fps. 4996, then it snapped out of it going back to 3100
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Offline 2labs

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2015, 06:25:31 AM »
Which chrono?  I have a digital pro that every once in a while gets just the right light conditions and throws crazy speeds. Last week end for example it said my 243 was shooting a 95 vld at 5016fps. 4996, then it snapped out of it going back to 3100



Those probably even sound different  :yike:
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Offline Stein

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2015, 06:32:01 AM »
The moderately priced chonos are all wildly inaccurate.  Shot the loads out to distance and use calculators with known bc to calculate actual velocities.  Most of mine were a couple hundred off.

Offline headshot5

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2015, 06:35:01 AM »
Quote
The moderately priced chonos are all wildly inaccurate.  Shot the loads out to distance and use calculators with known bc to calculate actual velocities.  Most of mine were a couple hundred off.


With how wildly inaccurate ballistic coefficient values are (provided by bullet manufacturers) on most bullets it is hard to say it is just the chrono.   

Offline Bob33

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2015, 06:46:55 AM »
If you're that far off with multiple loads from multiple books it's probably the chrono. Test a known good factory load. Some barrels do shoot slower but not 400 fps
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Offline theleo

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2015, 08:09:45 AM »
22-26"  Same barrel/twist and in a few cases same model.  pretty much same atmospherics as book. 
Within a 100 fps, I could've made up some reasonable excuse to convince myself.  Chrono was about 12 feet out, so nothing goofy there.  Made that mistake long ago.... :chuckle:
Powders matter with barrel lengths. If your trying for a heavy bullet using a magnum powder in your 06 with a 22 inch barrel you lose more velocity per inch of missing barrel compared to what the factory used (probably 24" for the 06). Add in that they probably have tighter chamber dimensions on their test barrel than your factory rifle.

As for the Weatherby, I'd be checking for pressure signs. It's odd to me for it to be that much higher. If the published data is with a 24" tube I'd say 100 fps increase over published makes sense.

Offline high country

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2015, 08:10:01 AM »
The moderately priced chonos are all wildly inaccurate.  Shot the loads out to distance and use calculators with known bc to calculate actual velocities.  Most of mine were a couple hundred off.

Winner.

The reason we chrono loads is for accuracy. When we field validate the load, we don't NEED the bc or the velocity as we now have actual dope to work with. A bc or velocity can be calculated from the results.....and your confidence will be higher.

They're nice for load development, but at the end of the day 200 fps won't make any difference unless you need a vectronix range finder.

Offline Bob33

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2015, 08:22:56 AM »
They're nice for load development, but at the end of the day 200 fps won't make any difference unless you need a vectronix range finder.
At 400 yards the difference between 2600 fps and 2400 fps (with a 3" high zero at 100 yds) is about 8 inches. I'd be concerned about that. :twocents:
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Offline birddogdad

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2015, 08:32:27 AM »
so if you don't have a high end chrono, the  cheapest way is to reverse the math with a distance and drop calc... math never lies!
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Offline JimmyHoffa

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #12 on: September 29, 2015, 10:39:02 AM »
22-26"  Same barrel/twist and in a few cases same model.  pretty much same atmospherics as book. 
Within a 100 fps, I could've made up some reasonable excuse to convince myself.  Chrono was about 12 feet out, so nothing goofy there.  Made that mistake long ago.... :chuckle:
Powders matter with barrel lengths. If your trying for a heavy bullet using a magnum powder in your 06 with a 22 inch barrel you lose more velocity per inch of missing barrel compared to what the factory used (probably 24" for the 06). Add in that they probably have tighter chamber dimensions on their test barrel than your factory rifle.

As for the Weatherby, I'd be checking for pressure signs. It's odd to me for it to be that much higher. If the published data is with a 24" tube I'd say 100 fps increase over published makes sense.
No pressure signs at all.  26" (but that shouldn't be more than 20+ fps)  When I saw the chrono spit out 3096, I was thinking 'uh,oh...hope I can lift the bolt!'  It came up with ease.  Calibrate the scale every batch to eliminate that uncertainty.

Offline Stein

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #13 on: September 29, 2015, 11:06:48 AM »
Quote
The moderately priced chonos are all wildly inaccurate.  Shot the loads out to distance and use calculators with known bc to calculate actual velocities.  Most of mine were a couple hundred off.


With how wildly inaccurate ballistic coefficient values are (provided by bullet manufacturers) on most bullets it is hard to say it is just the chrono.

Look up the G7 values or buy the book, they are incredibly accurate.  Don't go by the manufacturer.  Even with their numbers, you can reverse calculate the velocity way more accurately than a chrono.

There is absolutely no substitute for taking your final load and shooting it from 50 yards to however far you can and base the drop charts off of that. Everything else is guessing.

Offline headshot5

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #14 on: September 29, 2015, 11:42:19 AM »
Quote
Look up the G7 values or buy the book, they are incredibly accurate.  Don't go by the manufacturer.  Even with their numbers, you can reverse calculate the velocity way more accurately than a chrono.

There is absolutely no substitute for taking your final load and shooting it from 50 yards to however far you can and base the drop charts off of that. Everything else is guessing.


LOL,

I was just pointing out that there are more factors than just the chrono.  I don't get too worked up over velocity, I go for accuracy and build all my drop charts based on shooting those distances   The way this thread makes it sound, chronographs are the most worthless thing since the snuggie.


Offline high country

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #15 on: September 29, 2015, 08:07:35 PM »
They're nice for load development, but at the end of the day 200 fps won't make any difference unless you need a vectronix range finder.
At 400 yards the difference between 2600 fps and 2400 fps (with a 3" high zero at 100 yds) is about 8 inches. I'd be concerned about that. :twocents:

But it's a known value. If you're a holder over guy.....shoot a 338 edge, if you're a dope and twist guy.....it matters very little.

3" high introduces a lot of problems for people.....like the 175 yard slightly uphill shot.

Offline jasnt

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #16 on: September 29, 2015, 08:47:39 PM »
They're nice for load development, but at the end of the day 200 fps won't make any difference unless you need a vectronix range finder.
At 400 yards the difference between 2600 fps and 2400 fps (with a 3" high zero at 100 yds) is about 8 inches. I'd be concerned about that. :twocents:

But it's a known value. If you're a holder over guy.....shoot a 338 edge, if you're a dope and twist guy.....it matters very little.

3" high introduces a lot of problems for people.....like the 175 yard slightly uphill shot.
They're nice for load development, but at the end of the day 200 fps won't make any difference unless you need a vectronix range finder.
At 400 yards the difference between 2600 fps and 2400 fps (with a 3" high zero at 100 yds) is about 8 inches. I'd be concerned about that. :twocents:

But it's a known value. If you're a holder over guy.....shoot a 338 edge, if you're a dope and twist guy.....it matters very little.

3" high introduces a lot of problems for people.....like the 175 yard slightly uphill shot.
They're nice for load development, but at the end of the day 200 fps won't make any difference unless you need a vectronix range finder.
At 400 yards the difference between 2600 fps and 2400 fps (with a 3" high zero at 100 yds) is about 8 inches. I'd be concerned about that. :twocents:

But it's a known value. If you're a holder over guy.....shoot a 338 edge, if you're a dope and twist guy.....it matters very little.

3" high introduces a lot of problems for people.....like the 175 yard slightly uphill shot.
why would any one sight in 3"high at 100 :dunno:  if you want to be zero at 250 then zero at 250.   Seems to me that would leave a lot of uncertainty like the up hill 175
https://www.howlforwildlife.org/take_action  It takes 10 seconds and it’s free. To easy to make an excuse not to make your voice heard!!!!!!

The commission shall attempt to maximize the public recreational game fishing and hunting opportunities of all citizens, including juvenile, disabled, and senior citizens.
https://apps.leg.wa.gov/RCW/default.aspx?cite=77.04.012

Offline crabcreekhunter

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #17 on: September 30, 2015, 01:17:56 AM »
I'm a zero at 300 yards guy... 4 inches high at 100... Most my shots are in the 300 to 500 yard range. Makes holdover easier and anything from 100 to 500 no dialing of the scope necessary an then have dope chart for set distances which cuts down on my mils to dial with a 300 yard zero. Simplifies it for me! Not meaning to jack the thread, best way I've found for reload velocity is to shoot from 100 to whatever , work backwards mathematically to find velocity.. As said math doesn't lie
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Offline Stein

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #18 on: September 30, 2015, 12:13:55 PM »
I am a dial and shoot guy, "zeroed" at 100.  Actually, the dial is set to 100 most hunting situations as that is the distance I would need to take a quick shot.  Longer shots almost always give the time to laser and twist.  The nice thing about the dial with distance markers is you can "zero" your gun for any yardage for any situation of hunting without going to the range.

I spent a ton of time at the range and reloading bench, $30 on a turret sticker and now shoot anything from zero out to max range with absolute confidence.

Offline Bob33

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #19 on: September 30, 2015, 12:43:56 PM »
They're nice for load development, but at the end of the day 200 fps won't make any difference unless you need a vectronix range finder.
At 400 yards the difference between 2600 fps and 2400 fps (with a 3" high zero at 100 yds) is about 8 inches. I'd be concerned about that. :twocents:

But it's a known value. If you're a holder over guy.....shoot a 338 edge, if you're a dope and twist guy.....it matters very little.

3" high introduces a lot of problems for people.....like the 175 yard slightly uphill shot.
They're nice for load development, but at the end of the day 200 fps won't make any difference unless you need a vectronix range finder.
At 400 yards the difference between 2600 fps and 2400 fps (with a 3" high zero at 100 yds) is about 8 inches. I'd be concerned about that. :twocents:

But it's a known value. If you're a holder over guy.....shoot a 338 edge, if you're a dope and twist guy.....it matters very little.

3" high introduces a lot of problems for people.....like the 175 yard slightly uphill shot.
They're nice for load development, but at the end of the day 200 fps won't make any difference unless you need a vectronix range finder.
At 400 yards the difference between 2600 fps and 2400 fps (with a 3" high zero at 100 yds) is about 8 inches. I'd be concerned about that. :twocents:

But it's a known value. If you're a holder over guy.....shoot a 338 edge, if you're a dope and twist guy.....it matters very little.

3" high introduces a lot of problems for people.....like the 175 yard slightly uphill shot.
why would any one sight in 3"high at 100 :dunno:  if you want to be zero at 250 then zero at 250.   Seems to me that would leave a lot of uncertainty like the up hill 175
Most shooters sight in at 100 yards because most ranges are 100 yards. There are  few 250 yard ranges although it would be advantageous to test loads at longer distances than 100.
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Offline crabcreekhunter

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #20 on: September 30, 2015, 01:04:46 PM »
It really comes down to how one hunts and knowing their weapon which dictates how they set it up!
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Offline lamrith

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #21 on: September 30, 2015, 03:21:08 PM »
It really comes down to how one hunts and knowing their weapon which dictates how they set it up!
:yeah:  part of zero @ 100 also comes from the glass being used.  Some people have BDC glass for their caliber etc and those often call for 100yrd zero to use the holdovers built into the glass.

Offline JJB11B

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Re: predicting reload velocity
« Reply #22 on: September 30, 2015, 03:27:52 PM »
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