Oregon Seed Numbers and Application Numbers are posted

[kselkhunter]

I don't understand the difference between the resident applications and the non resident. Are they different pools? Diff odds at all?

Non-residents get allocated a percentage of the tags available in Oregon.  Antelope is 3% limit, elk/deer/bear is 5% limit, and sheep/goat is no less than 5% and no more than 10%. And every other year the outfitters get access to half of the non-resident tags (whatever tags the outfitters don't purchase by April 15 goes back into the controlled drawing for non-residents). 

So your odds vary based on how many non-residents apply for the specific tag you applied for, compared to how many non-resident tags are available for that hunt. 

[Ricochet]

Ron Wold's site, http://oregontags.com/ will give you an idea of your chances as a non-resident. Find your hunt, find your point level, and see what percentage you have.  If he says you have a 10% chance, then your application number better be within 10% above the seed number. Nothing will be exact as the application numbers are randomly generated but it'll give you an idea. When I say 10% above the seed, I mean ten percent of the total possibilities, i.e. 10% of the total of 10,000,000 possible number combinations would be 1,000,000. No genius level math involved, Ron's algorithms have already estimated the number of current applicants, (both resident and non-resident, different charts IF the number of non-resident applications exceeds the limit) at your point level so the draw percentage is the percentage of the total possibilities you need to be within to draw. Some of the severely limited hunts will show a 0% chance for non-residents, which means there was only 1 tag available and it goes to an outfitter on alternating years.

[HAGEMANIAC]

My Elk # is 8002372, so I'm assuming that is awful?

[ShaneTyTrey]

My Elk # is 8002372, so I'm assuming that is awful?

Yes, that is awful.

[Browndawg]

My Elk # is 8002372, so I'm assuming that is awful?

Yes, that is awful.

Your number is closer than mine. Disappointing for sure.

[ShaneTyTrey]

Mine were all pretty bad also.

[HAGEMANIAC]

My Elk # is 8002372, so I'm assuming that is awful?

Yes, that is awful.

Your number is closer than mine. Disappointing for sure.

The disappointing part for me is the unit I'd normally hunt went to draw, so that $50 dollar tag now costs me $588 and I would have to burn my points to get it unless I get lucky enough to draw it as a second choice.

[vandeman17]

My Elk # is 8002372, so I'm assuming that is awful?

Ours is bad too

[vandeman17]

Tick tock tick tock

[finnman]

Sorry boys but I have refused to look. Call me old fashion but I am waiting for my official results and my official disappointment. 🤣

[Crunchy]

They draw yet?  After WA I am not holding my breathe.

[kselkhunter]

ODFW only releases official results on June 20th now.  No more early releases.

[vandeman17]

ODFW only releases official results on June 20th now.  No more early releases.

Well shoot. That is a bummer but I will say that knowing this going forward, I will be happy. Tell me ahead of time when the draw date is and I am good with it

[rtspring]

ODFW only releases official results on June 20th now.  No more early releases.

Not true!  The hunting book says “by june 20th”. Also june 20th is a holiday! 

[rtspring]

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