collapse

Advertisement


Author Topic: 22 points  (Read 23276 times)

Offline B4noon

  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Hunter
  • ***
  • Join Date: Nov 2017
  • Posts: 192
Re: 22 points
« Reply #120 on: June 18, 2020, 03:29:37 PM »
I wouldn’t get hung up on points and calculating odds based upon squaring points by potential applicants obviously the more points you have the slight edge you have but just break it down by total applicants if 500 applicants apply for a hunt with 10 tags you have a 1 in 50 chance of drawing regardless off how many 100 thousands names that are in by multiplier factor regardless the applicant pool is what you should base odds on not points some people get lucky some play harder draws it’s not perfect but it works and we don’t have enough quality tags to justify preference to top point holders nor do we have the level or quality to justify OIL

Offline Stein

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+11)
  • Explorer
  • ******
  • Join Date: Sep 2013
  • Posts: 13139
  • Location: Arlington
Re: 22 points
« Reply #121 on: June 18, 2020, 04:49:20 PM »
Would giving a percentage of tags out in preference drawing help at all?  Lets just say 25% of tags go in a preference draw for any hunt that has more than 4 tags?  The remaining 75% would stay in current system.  I don't know enough about preference vs bonus points to know if this,would help at all.
There are only two variables that matter, tags and hunters.  Changing anything else is just tilting the table in this guy’s direction or that guy.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Offline blackveltbowhunter

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+9)
  • Frontiersman
  • *****
  • Join Date: Oct 2009
  • Posts: 4117
  • BLAM
Re: 22 points
« Reply #122 on: June 18, 2020, 07:01:06 PM »
 :yeah:

The only way to increase OVERALL odds is A) increase tag numbers or B) limit hunter applications.

A doesn't happen because it requires work/effort on the part of game managers/commissions

B doesn't happen because the majority of proposed options would cut into budgets funding these same folks.



Offline slim9300

  • Democrat = Socialist
  • Trade Count: (+1)
  • Longhunter
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2011
  • Posts: 560
  • Location: Olympia, WA
Re: 22 points
« Reply #123 on: June 18, 2020, 09:38:20 PM »
:yeah:

The only way to increase OVERALL odds is A) increase tag numbers or B) limit hunter applications.

A doesn't happen because it requires work/effort on the part of game managers/commissions

B doesn't happen because the majority of proposed options would cut into budgets funding these same folks.
This is dead on.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Work hard. Be happy. Annoy a Liberal. :wink:
2012 Bowtech Insanity CPXL (Crackerized!) #61/31" DL (Gold Tip Pro ~ 455 grains @ 290 fps = 86 lbs. KE!)
University of Washington; Foster School of Business Alum

Offline Oh Mah

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+12)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Oct 2015
  • Posts: 6614
  • Location: region 3 Montana
Re: 22 points
« Reply #124 on: June 19, 2020, 12:18:58 AM »
:yeah:

The only way to increase OVERALL odds is A) increase tag numbers or B) limit hunter applications.

A doesn't happen because it requires work/effort on the part of game managers/commissions

B doesn't happen because the majority of proposed options would cut into budgets funding these same folks.
Exactly right.Thats why i keep saying either O.I.L or they get taken out of the draw for 5 years after successfully drawing.It will do 2 major things.

1)It will take those hunters out of the draw for 5 years.

2)It wont effect the state economically hardly at all.
"Boss of the woods"
(this is in reference to the biggie not me).

Offline huntnphool

  • Chance favors the prepared mind!
  • Political & Covid-19 Topics
  • Trade Count: (+15)
  • Legend
  • ******
  • Join Date: Apr 2007
  • Posts: 32939
  • Location: Pacific NorthWest
Re: 22 points
« Reply #125 on: June 19, 2020, 01:07:45 AM »
:yeah:

The only way to increase OVERALL odds is A) increase tag numbers or B) limit hunter applications.

A doesn't happen because it requires work/effort on the part of game managers/commissions

B doesn't happen because the majority of proposed options would cut into budgets funding these same folks.
Exactly right.Thats why i keep saying either O.I.L or they get taken out of the draw for 5 years after successfully drawing.It will do 2 major things.

1)It will take those hunters out of the draw for 5 years.

2)It wont effect the state economically hardly at all.

 I’ve proposed a couple different systems that would work, seems a lot of you simply insist on complaining rather than looking for actual solutions. ;)
The things that come to those who wait, may be the things left by those who got there first!

Offline GameHunter1959

  • Trade Count: (0)
  • Longhunter
  • *****
  • Join Date: Nov 2011
  • Posts: 530
Re: 22 points
« Reply #126 on: June 19, 2020, 02:02:17 AM »
:yeah:

The only way to increase OVERALL odds is A) increase tag numbers or B) limit hunter applications.

A doesn't happen because it requires work/effort on the part of game managers/commissions

B doesn't happen because the majority of proposed options would cut into budgets funding these same folks.
Exactly right.Thats why i keep saying either O.I.L or they get taken out of the draw for 5 years after successfully drawing.It will do 2 major things.

1)It will take those hunters out of the draw for 5 years.

2)It wont effect the state economically hardly at all.

 I’ve proposed a couple different systems that would work, seems a lot of you simply insist on complaining rather than looking for actual solutions. ;)

Welcome to the Internet!

Offline Threewolves

  • Trade Count: (+1)
  • Sourdough
  • *****
  • Join Date: Apr 2008
  • Posts: 1022
  • Location: North West, USA
  • USA (R)
  • Groups: VFW, NRA
Re: 22 points
« Reply #127 on: June 19, 2020, 05:42:29 AM »
:yeah:

The only way to increase OVERALL odds is A) increase tag numbers or B) limit hunter applications.

A doesn't happen because it requires work/effort on the part of game managers/commissions

B doesn't happen because the majority of proposed options would cut into budgets funding these same folks.
Exactly right.Thats why i keep saying either O.I.L or they get taken out of the draw for 5 years after successfully drawing.It will do 2 major things.

1)It will take those hunters out of the draw for 5 years.

2)It wont effect the state economically hardly at all.
[/quote

5 years seems like not that big of deal in your 20s and 30s but in your 60s and 70s it is a big deal.

Also, did you put in for MT Antelope?
There are only so many sunrises left.

Offline Oh Mah

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+12)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Oct 2015
  • Posts: 6614
  • Location: region 3 Montana
Re: 22 points
« Reply #128 on: June 19, 2020, 08:26:30 AM »
If you are asking me yes,If people are talking about me as the one complaining,I am not complaining.I think the system is fine as is just could be better if tweeked a little here and there.I don't have points more than 8 in any category.I simply (as others have)put forward a few ideas that would work it's just the same same every year.People complain about waiting they have max points blah blah blah me me me come up with ideas then they complain more how it wouldn't quite be perfect for them.

5 years is the same for a 20 year old as it is for an 80 year old,If you got your tag booh hooo on you if you have to be done or wait five years for the other guy that is complaining to get his.
"Boss of the woods"
(this is in reference to the biggie not me).

Offline slim9300

  • Democrat = Socialist
  • Trade Count: (+1)
  • Longhunter
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2011
  • Posts: 560
  • Location: Olympia, WA
Re: 22 points
« Reply #129 on: June 19, 2020, 09:54:41 AM »
:yeah:

The only way to increase OVERALL odds is A) increase tag numbers or B) limit hunter applications.

A doesn't happen because it requires work/effort on the part of game managers/commissions

B doesn't happen because the majority of proposed options would cut into budgets funding these same folks.
Exactly right.Thats why i keep saying either O.I.L or they get taken out of the draw for 5 years after successfully drawing.It will do 2 major things.

1)It will take those hunters out of the draw for 5 years.

2)It wont effect the state economically hardly at all.

 I’ve proposed a couple different systems that would work, seems a lot of you simply insist on complaining rather than looking for actual solutions. ;)
The F&G will never listen to you or anyone for that matter when it comes to the draw system, it’s now too entrenched. You know that. It would cost them a great deal of money regardless of the change they put in place (assuming it was done to increase the odds).


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Work hard. Be happy. Annoy a Liberal. :wink:
2012 Bowtech Insanity CPXL (Crackerized!) #61/31" DL (Gold Tip Pro ~ 455 grains @ 290 fps = 86 lbs. KE!)
University of Washington; Foster School of Business Alum

Offline blackveltbowhunter

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+9)
  • Frontiersman
  • *****
  • Join Date: Oct 2009
  • Posts: 4117
  • BLAM
Re: 22 points
« Reply #130 on: June 19, 2020, 10:44:23 AM »
I have read your ideas in the past phool and don't disagree. I like several of them.  I am not complaining. Its fact. More tags or less applicants increases everyones odds period.

While it's my opinion on the WHY, and I could be way off base. Evidence points me to this conclusion so I'm not just spitballing here.

It's my belief that many departments across the West have effectively given themselves an "out" with point systems across the board. Rather than focusing on improving game numbers or quality and reaping the rewards in increased revenue through improved participation in the draw systems, they " give" you a point. An illusion that your odds are increasing. When in reality all incentive to improve the system is gone. In addition to cash revenue, no one can bow out because they have invested their most precious commodity, time.

 

Offline Oh Mah

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+12)
  • Old Salt
  • ******
  • Join Date: Oct 2015
  • Posts: 6614
  • Location: region 3 Montana
Re: 22 points
« Reply #131 on: June 19, 2020, 12:16:52 PM »
:yeah:

The only way to increase OVERALL odds is A) increase tag numbers or B) limit hunter applications.

A doesn't happen because it requires work/effort on the part of game managers/commissions

B doesn't happen because the majority of proposed options would cut into budgets funding these same folks.
Exactly right.Thats why i keep saying either O.I.L or they get taken out of the draw for 5 years after successfully drawing.It will do 2 major things.

1)It will take those hunters out of the draw for 5 years.

2)It wont effect the state economically hardly at all.

 I’ve proposed a couple different systems that would work, seems a lot of you simply insist on complaining rather than looking for actual solutions. ;)
The F&G will never listen to you or anyone for that matter when it comes to the draw system, it’s now too entrenched. You know that. It would cost them a great deal of money regardless of the change they put in place (assuming it was done to increase the odds).


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Could you please explain how fish and game would lose a great deal of money with this idea?

1)The successful applicants can still purchase the app. but for points only for 5 years unless the other way where they are done done.

2)What difference would it make?I mean so many on here say they will be out of the point system all together if they ever get drawn anyway.So just arguing to argue.

3)New hunters join in every year adding to the draw system why not just be happy you were able to draw a quality or a any bull tag and let the rest have a chance.
"Boss of the woods"
(this is in reference to the biggie not me).

Offline Stein

  • Non-Hunting Topics
  • Trade Count: (+11)
  • Explorer
  • ******
  • Join Date: Sep 2013
  • Posts: 13139
  • Location: Arlington
Re: 22 points
« Reply #132 on: June 19, 2020, 12:35:07 PM »
If everyone can buy points, it won't change any draw odds.  Actually, it will make them SLIGHTLY better for 5 years and then every year after that, there will be new entrants jumping back in with 5-6 points every year dragging the odds right back down.  If you compare the number of quality tags issued to the number of applicants, you will see that it's an insignificant percentage, so any waiting periods won't really move the needle.  It's not the few guys that drew that are the issue, it's the horde that didn't draw that is the problem.

Anytime there are more max point holders than tags, there is going to be a problem.  Make more tags or force less applicants or leave it alone.

Offline slim9300

  • Democrat = Socialist
  • Trade Count: (+1)
  • Longhunter
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2011
  • Posts: 560
  • Location: Olympia, WA
Re: 22 points
« Reply #133 on: June 19, 2020, 12:37:10 PM »
:yeah:

The only way to increase OVERALL odds is A) increase tag numbers or B) limit hunter applications.

A doesn't happen because it requires work/effort on the part of game managers/commissions

B doesn't happen because the majority of proposed options would cut into budgets funding these same folks.
Exactly right.Thats why i keep saying either O.I.L or they get taken out of the draw for 5 years after successfully drawing.It will do 2 major things.

1)It will take those hunters out of the draw for 5 years.

2)It wont effect the state economically hardly at all.

 I’ve proposed a couple different systems that would work, seems a lot of you simply insist on complaining rather than looking for actual solutions. ;)
The F&G will never listen to you or anyone for that matter when it comes to the draw system, it’s now too entrenched. You know that. It would cost them a great deal of money regardless of the change they put in place (assuming it was done to increase the odds).


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Could you please explain how fish and game would lose a great deal of money with this idea?

1)The successful applicants can still purchase the app. but for points only for 5 years unless the other way where they are done done.

2)What difference would it make?I mean so many on here say they will be out of the point system all together if they ever get drawn anyway.So just arguing to argue.

3)New hunters join in every year adding to the draw system why not just be happy you were able to draw a quality or a any bull tag and let the rest have a chance.

Your idea would have a tiny impact on draw odds overall, and would only really increase the odds on low quality hunts like cow/doe tags. The mid-level and premium hunts would be basically unaffected.

Just look at the total applicant pool versus available tags. 5 years worth of successful applicants isn’t a significant number to sway the total pool.

At the same time I think it’s a fair idea.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Work hard. Be happy. Annoy a Liberal. :wink:
2012 Bowtech Insanity CPXL (Crackerized!) #61/31" DL (Gold Tip Pro ~ 455 grains @ 290 fps = 86 lbs. KE!)
University of Washington; Foster School of Business Alum

Offline slim9300

  • Democrat = Socialist
  • Trade Count: (+1)
  • Longhunter
  • *****
  • Join Date: Jul 2011
  • Posts: 560
  • Location: Olympia, WA
22 points
« Reply #134 on: June 19, 2020, 12:37:59 PM »
If everyone can buy points, it won't change any draw odds.  Actually, it will make them SLIGHTLY better for 5 years and then every year after that, there will be new entrants jumping back in with 5-6 points every year dragging the odds right back down.  If you compare the number of quality tags issued to the number of applicants, you will see that it's an insignificant percentage, so any waiting periods won't really move the needle.  It's not the few guys that drew that are the issue, it's the horde that didn't draw that is the problem.

Anytime there are more max point holders than tags, there is going to be a problem.  Make more tags or force less applicants or leave it alone.

This. Beat me to it.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
« Last Edit: June 19, 2020, 12:45:29 PM by slim9300 »
Work hard. Be happy. Annoy a Liberal. :wink:
2012 Bowtech Insanity CPXL (Crackerized!) #61/31" DL (Gold Tip Pro ~ 455 grains @ 290 fps = 86 lbs. KE!)
University of Washington; Foster School of Business Alum

 


* Advertisement

* Recent Topics

Early Huckleberry Bull Moose tag drawn! by jrebel
[Yesterday at 11:04:40 PM]


Looking for a mentor by addicted1
[Yesterday at 10:58:58 PM]


Hunting with a suppressor - dumb idea? by coachg
[Yesterday at 10:52:13 PM]


Reproduction for a Euro Mount in Wa??? by MADMAX
[Yesterday at 09:34:00 PM]


49 DN Moose Success by avidnwoutdoorsman
[Yesterday at 08:24:07 PM]


2025 Canning by b0bbyg
[Yesterday at 07:41:08 PM]


Smoked salmon by buglebuster
[Yesterday at 07:17:16 PM]


Boring & relining .22 barrel, any recommendations? by Boss .300 winmag
[Yesterday at 06:14:28 PM]


Any OBS/IDI Ford Guys here? by Smokeploe
[Yesterday at 04:18:56 PM]


Big Timber Whitetail Food? by elkboy
[Yesterday at 02:56:11 PM]


Methow Wildlife Area Shooting Range by h2ofowlr
[Yesterday at 02:14:24 PM]


Moose's 2025 Upland Season by bighorns2bushytails
[Yesterday at 01:37:20 PM]


wings wings and more wings! by birddogdad
[Yesterday at 10:47:09 AM]


Mt. St. Helens Goat by CNELK
[Yesterday at 09:18:42 AM]


Speer deep curl performance by HntnFsh
[Yesterday at 09:13:04 AM]


Honor Mission - Billy Davis, 80, Navy Vet by pianoman9701
[Yesterday at 08:19:55 AM]


2025 elk success thread!! by MADMAX
[October 07, 2025, 10:30:02 PM]


Westside Muzzy Elk Habitat Help and Rut Help by MADMAX
[October 07, 2025, 09:14:29 PM]


Winthrop - Winter Range Road Closures by MADMAX
[October 07, 2025, 09:09:38 PM]


GROUSE 2025...the Season is looming! by fly-by
[October 07, 2025, 09:02:51 PM]

SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2025, SimplePortal